Drought Information Statement
Issued by NWS Shreveport, LA

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AXUS74 KSHV 191655
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DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1055 AM CST FRI JAN 19 2018

...FREQUENT WETTING RAINS DURING DECEMBER HAS RESULTED IN SOME IMPROVEMENT
TO DROUGHT CONDITIONS ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE ARK-LA-TEX...

SYNOPSIS...

NEAR TO ABOVE NORMAL RAIN FELL OVER MUCH OF NORTHEAST TEXAS, EXTREME
SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA, AND SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS MAINLY DURING THE SECOND HALF
OF DECEMBER, WITH BELOW NORMAL RAIN HAVING FALLEN ACROSS DEEP EAST TEXAS
AND MUCH OF NORTH LOUISIANA. THESE RAINS, COUPLED WITH THE BELOW NORMAL
TEMPERATURES OBSERVED DURING THE FINAL WEEK OF THE MONTH, RESULTED IN AN
IMPROVEMENT TO DROUGHT CONDITIONS ACROSS THESE AREAS, AND EVEN ELIMINATING
DROUGHT ACROSS PORTIONS OF EAST TEXAS AND SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS. HOWEVER,
BELOW NORMAL RAINFALL HAS BEEN OBSERVED THROUGH MUCH OF JANUARY ACROSS
PORTIONS OF EXTREME NORTHEAST TEXAS, SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA, AND SOUTHWEST
ARKANSAS NORTH OF THE INTERSTATE 30 CORRIDOR, AS WELL AS MUCH OF NORTHERN
LOUISIANA AND SOUTHCENTRAL ARKANSAS. WIDESPREAD RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF FOUR
TO SIX INCHES OF RAIN HAS FALLEN AREAWIDE SINCE DECEMBER 1ST, WITH
ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS OF EIGHT TO TEN INCHES ACROSS MUCH OF SOUTHWEST
ARKANSAS. THE GREATEST RAINFALL DEFICITS SINCE DECEMBER 1ST REMAINS OVER
PORTIONS OF DEEP EAST TEXAS AND ALL OF NORTH LOUISIANA, WHERE WIDESPREAD
TWO TO FOUR INCH DEFICITS EXIST. THIS IS IN ADDITION TO THE SIGNIFICANT
DEFICITS THAT HAVE EXISTED SINCE THE START OF THE FALL. THE RECENT SPELL
OF COLD TEMPERATURES SINCE CHRISTMAS HAS SLOWED THE EXPANSION OF THE
DROUGHT, BUT HAS ALSO SLOWED THE GROWTH OF THE COOL SEASON GRASSES AND
POSSIBLY HARMED SOME OF THE WINTER CROPS, NECESSITATING THE NEED FOR
ADDITIONAL HAY AND FOOD SUPPLIES FOR CATTLE.

SEVERE DROUGHT CONDITIONS (D2) PERSIST ACROSS MUCH OF NORTHERN LOUISIANA
EAST OF A HOMER, TO SHREVEPORT, TO MANSFIELD AND NATCHITOCHES LINE, WITH
MODERATE DROUGHT CONDITIONS (D1) WEST OF THIS AREA OVER THE REMAINDER OF
EXTREME NORTHWEST LOUISIANA AND INTO PORTIONS OF DEEP EAST TEXAS EAST OF A
CARTHAGE TO NACOGDOCHES, TO LUFKIN LINE. MODERATE DROUGHT ALSO PERSISTS
ACROSS NORTHEAST TEXAS AND SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS NORTH OF THE INTERSTATE 30
CORRIDOR AS WELL AS SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA, WITH ABNORMALLY DRY CONDITIONS (D0)
OVER THE REMAINDER OF EAST TEXAS AND SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS.


SUMMARY OF IMPACTS...

AGRICULTURAL IMPACTS.
BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE FINAL WEEK OF DECEMBER AND MUCH OF
JANUARY, AND ABOVE NORMAL RAINFALL THAT FELL ACROSS MUCH OF NORTHEAST TEXAS,
EXTREME SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA, AND SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS DURING THE LATTER HALF OF
DECEMBER HAS RESULTED IN AN IMPROVEMENT IN SOIL MOISTURE CONDITIONS OVER THESE
AREAS. HOWEVER, WHERE RAINFALL DEFICITS CONTINUE TO MOUNT ACROSS NORTH
LOUISIANA, TOPSOIL MOISTURE DEFICITS EXIST AS WELL WITH LITTLE IMPROVEMENT
EXPECTED THROUGH AT LEAST THE END OF JANUARY. GIVEN THE RECENT EXTENDED PERIOD
OF BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES, COOL SEASON FORAGES HAVE SLOWED AND SOME MAY BE
DAMAGED. MOST PRODUCERS ARE ALREADY FEEDING HAY AND SUPPLEMENTS, WITH
ADDITIONAL SUPPLEMENTS NEEDED AS WE CONTINUE THROUGH THE COLD SEASON.

FIRE DANGER IMPACTS.
GIVEN THE RECENT COLD AND WET SPELL OVER THE REGION, NO BURNS BANS ARE IN
EFFECT FOR ANY PORTION OF THE REGION. FIRE DANGER IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN
LOW TO MODERATE AREAWIDE THROUGHOUT THE REMAINDER OF JANUARY, AS NEAR TO
SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED, WITH ONLY INTERMITTENT
BOUTS OF WETTING RAINS.

CURRENT WATER RESTRICTIONS.
VOLUNTARY WATER RESTRICTIONS ARE IN EFFECT FOR SMALLER RURAL WATER
SYSTEMS ACROSS EAST TEXAS. NO OTHER KNOWN WATER RESTRICTIONS ARE IN EFFECT
AT THIS TIME.


CLIMATE SUMMARY...
AFTER A PERIOD OF ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES WERE OBSERVED DURING THE FIRST
THREE WEEKS OF DECEMBER, THE FINAL TEN DAYS OF THE MONTH OBSERVED BELOW
NORMAL TEMPERATURES, WHICH CULMINATED INTO NEAR TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPERATURES ON AVERAGE TO END THE MONTH. BELOW IS A LIST OF THE DECEMBER
TEMPERATURES AND THEIR DEPARTURES FROM NORMAL, FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS ACROSS
THE FOUR STATE REGION:

CITY:                    DEC. AVG.      DEP. FROM NORMAL
                        TEMPERATURE

SHREVEPORT LA              48.5              +0.4

MONROE LA                  48.3              +0.1

TEXARKANA AR               45.7              +0.2

EL DORADO AR               45.7              +0.2

DEQUEEN AR                 44.3              +1.3

TYLER TX                   48.4              +0.2

LONGVIEW TX                48.3              +0.3

LUFKIN TX                  49.3              -0.9

SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA MESONET STATIONS:
MT. HERMAN                 42.4              +0.1
BROKEN BOW                 43.6              +1.3
IDABEL                     44.0              +1.6

NEAR TO ABOVE NORMAL RAINFALL FELL ACROSS MUCH OF NORTHEAST TEXAS AND
SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS, WITH BELOW NORMAL RAINFALL FALLING ELSEWHERE ACROSS
PORTIONS OF DEEP EAST TEXAS AND MUCH OF NORTH LOUISIANA. BELOW IS A LIST
OF THE DECEMBER RAINFALL TOTALS, THEIR DEPARTURES FROM NORMAL, AND
PERCENTAGES OF NORMAL, FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS ACROSS THE FOUR STATE REGION:

CITY:                  DEC. RAINFALL/   PERCENTAGE
                     (DEP. FROM NORMAL)  OF NORMAL

SHREVEPORT LA          4.12 (-0.65)          86%
(RECORDS SINCE 1872)

MONROE LA              3.52 (-1.77)          67%
(RECORDS SINCE 1893)

NATCHITOCHES LA        2.95 (-2.89)          51%
(RECORDS SINCE 1893)

TEXARKANA AR           6.59 (+1.54)         130%
(RECORDS SINCE 1892)

EL DORADO AR           5.63 (+0.45)         109%
(RECORDS SINCE 1892)

HOPE 3NE AR            8.84 (+3.46)         164%
(RECORDS SINCE 1892)

DEQUEEN AR             5.25 (+0.89)         120%
(RECORDS SINCE 1902)

MT. PLEASANT TX        4.62 (+0.20)         105%
(RECORDS SINCE 1905)

TYLER TX               5.29 (+1.05)         125%
(AIRPORT)

TYLER TX               7.71 (+3.22)         172%
(COOPERATIVE OBSERVING STATION)

LONGVIEW TX            5.33 (+0.84)         119%
(RECORDS SINCE 1902)

MARSHALL TX            4.68 (-0.36)          93%
(RECORDS SINCE 1893)

LUFKIN TX              3.61 (-0.83)          81%
(RECORDS SINCE 1907)

SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA MESONET STATIONS:
MT. HERMAN             4.08 (-0.72)          85%
BROKEN BOW             3.49 (-1.31)          73%
IDABEL                 2.75 (-1.81)          60%

MUCH BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES HAVE BEEN OBSERVED THROUGH THE FIRST
THREE WEEKS OF JANUARY, AS A RESULT OF MULTIPLE ARCTIC FRONTAL PASSAGES.
THIS HAS SLOWED THE DROUGHT DETERIORATION ACROSS THE AREA. BELOW IS A
LIST OF THE JANUARY TEMPERATURES (THROUGH JANUARY 18TH) AND THEIR
DEPARTURES FROM NORMAL, FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS ACROSS THE FOUR STATE
REGION:

CITY:                    JAN. AVG.      DEP. FROM NORMAL
                        TEMPERATURE
                       (THROUGH 1/18)

SHREVEPORT LA              37.6              -8.6

MONROE LA                  37.2              -8.8

TEXARKANA AR               34.6              -8.9

EL DORADO AR               34.6              -9.4

DEQUEEN AR                 33.6              -7.9

TYLER TX                   37.8              -8.2

LONGVIEW TX                37.3              -8.7

LUFKIN TX                  39.2              -9.7

SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA MESONET STATIONS:
MT. HERMAN                 31.3              -8.7
BROKEN BOW                 32.7              -7.3
IDABEL                     33.2              -7.2

NEAR TO BELOW NORMAL RAINFALL HAS FALLEN SO FAR IN JANUARY AREAWIDE.
BELOW IS A LIST JANUARY RAINFALL TOTALS (THROUGH JANUARY 18TH), AND
THEIR DEPARTURES FROM NORMAL, FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS ACROSS THE FOUR
STATE REGION:

CITY:                  JAN. RAINFALL/    PERCENTAGE
                     (DEP. FROM NORMAL)  OF NORMAL
                       (THROUGH 1/18)

SHREVEPORT LA          1.34 (-0.97)          58%
(RECORDS SINCE 1872)

MONROE LA              1.95 (-0.92)          68%
(RECORDS SINCE 1893)

NATCHITOCHES LA        1.96 (-0.88)          69%
(RECORDS SINCE 1893)

TEXARKANA AR           2.05 (+0.07)         104%
(RECORDS SINCE 1892)

EL DORADO AR           1.73 (-0.66)          72%
(RECORDS SINCE 1892)

HOPE 3NE AR            2.11 (-0.31)          87%
(RECORDS SINCE 1892)

DEQUEEN AR             0.59 (-1.37)          30%
(RECORDS SINCE 1902)

MT. PLEASANT TX        0.75 (-1.00)          43%
(RECORDS SINCE 1905)

TYLER TX               1.12 (-0.65)          63%
(AIRPORT)

TYLER TX               1.79 (-0.17)          91%
(COOPERATIVE OBSERVING STATION)

LONGVIEW TX            2.38 (+0.53)         129%
(RECORDS SINCE 1902)

MARSHALL TX            1.98 (-0.16)          93%
(RECORDS SINCE 1893)

LUFKIN TX              1.22 (-1.14)          52%
(RECORDS SINCE 1907)

SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA MESONET STATIONS:
MT. HERMAN             0.56 (-1.35)          85%
BROKEN BOW             0.65 (-1.26)          73%
IDABEL                 0.57 (-1.29)          31%


PRECIPITATION/TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK...
A WARMUP WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THIS WEEKEND, WITH ISOLATED AREAS OF LIGHT
RAIN AND DRIZZLE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE REGION AS SOUTHERLY WINDS ALLOW FOR
A GRADUAL DEEPENING OF LOW LEVEL MOISTURE. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE
EXPECTED TO INCREASE SUNDAY AFTERNOON OVER EAST TEXAS, SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA
AND POSSIBLY THE WESTERN SECTIONS OF SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS ALONG AND AHEAD OF
A COLD FRONT AND ASSOCIATED UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM, AND GRADUALLY SPREAD
EAST ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA SUNDAY NIGHT. ISOLATED STRONG
STORMS CAN NOT BE RULED OUT SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND NIGHT, WITH RAINFALL
AMOUNTS OF 0.50-1.00 INCHES POSSIBLE, WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS UP TO
2 INCHES POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST TEXAS, SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA,
AND ADJACENT SECTIONS OF SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS. LITTLE IF ANY IMPROVEMENT IN
DROUGHT CONDITIONS IS EXPECTED BY EARLY NEXT WEEK, WITH A RETURN TO MORE
SEASONAL TEMPERATURES SET TO BEGIN MONDAY AND PERSIST THROUGH MUCH OF NEXT
WEEK BEFORE WARMER TEMPERATURES RETURN NEXT WEEKEND. SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS MAY INCREASE BY NEXT WEEKEND AHEAD OF THE NEXT COLD FRONT
THAT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA.

THE THREE MONTH TEMPERATURE AND PRECIPITATION OUTLOOK FOR FEBRUARY-MARCH-
APRIL, ISSUED BY THE CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER (CPC), INDICATES
ABOVE NORMAL PROBABILITIES FOR ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AREAWIDE, BUT
EQUAL CHANCES FOR SEEING EITHER BELOW NORMAL, NEAR NORMAL, OR ABOVE NORMAL
RAINFALL AREAWIDE. THIS IS IN RESPONSE TO A WEAK LA NINA THAT CONTINUES
IN THE EQUATORIAL PACIFIC, WHICH WILL PERSIST THROUGH EARLY SPRING.
THUS, DROUGHT CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH AT LEAST THE
EARLY SPRING MONTHS OVER MUCH OF THE REGION.


HYDROLOGIC SUMMARY AND OUTLOOK...
MANY LAKES AND RESERVOIRS HAVE RECOVERED ACROSS NORTHEAST TEXAS AND
SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS IN WAKE OF THE RAINS THAT FELL DURING DECEMBER.
HOWEVER, POOLS STAGES REMAIN ONE TO THREE FEET BELOW NORMAL ACROSS
PORTIONS OF EXTREME EASTERN TEXAS AND NORTH LOUISIANA, WHERE OVERALL
RAINFALL DEFICITS ARE LARGEST. RIVER STREAMFLOWS ARE ALSO WELL BELOW
NORMAL ACROSS SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND PORTIONS OF ADJACENT SOUTHWEST
ARKANSAS ALONG THE LITTLE RIVER BASIN, AS WELL AS ACROSS ALL OF NORTH
LOUISIANA. LITTLE CHANGE TO ADDITIONAL SLOW FALLS ARE EXPECTED THROUGHOUT
THE REMAINDER OF JANUARY.


NEXT ISSUANCE DATE...

THE NEXT DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED IN MID FEBRUARY.

&&

RELATED WEB SITES...

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT HOMEPAGE: WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SHV
NATIONAL INTEGRATED DROUGHT INFORMATION SYSTEM: WWW.DROUGHT.GOV
U.S. DROUGHT MONITOR: WWW.DROUGHT.UNL.EDU/DM/MONITOR.HTML
DROUGHT IMPACT REPORTER: WWW.DROUGHTREPORTER.UNL.EDU
CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER: WWW.CPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV
LA OFFICE OF STATE CLIMATOLOGY: WWW.LOSC.LSU.EDU
TX OFFICE OF STATE CLIMATOLOGY: WWW.MET.TAMI.EDU/OSC
OK CLIMATOLOGICAL SURVEY: HTTP://CLIMATE.OK.GOV
UNITED STATE GEOLOGICAL SURVEY: HTTP://WATER.USGS.GOV
TEXAS A&M AGRICULTURAL COMMUNICATIONS-AGNEWS: HTTP://AGNEWS.TAMU.EDU
LA DEPT. OF AGRICULTURE AND FORESTRY: HTTP://WWW.LDAF.STATE.LA.US/
TEXAS FOREST SERVICE: HTTP://WWW.TEXASFORESTSERVICE.TAMU.EDU
ARKANSAS FIRE INFO: HTTP://WWW.ARKFIREINFO.ORG
OKLAHOMA FORESTRY SERVICES: HTTP://WWW.FORESTRY.OK.GOV/WILDLAND-FIRE
LSU AG CENTER: HTTP://WWW.LSUAGCENTER.COM

ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS...

THE U.S. DROUGHT MONITOR FACILITATED COLLABORATION AMONGST VARIOUS
AGENCIES...INCLUDING THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...STATE
CLIMATOLOGISTS...THE CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER...AND THE U.S. DROUGHT
MITIGATION CENTER. INFORMATION FROM THIS STATEMENT HAS BEEN GATHERED
FROM NWS/FAA OBSERVATIONS SITES...THE USDA...THE CORPS OF ENGINEERS...
USGS...TEXAS FOREST SERVICE...TEXAS INTERAGENCY COORDINATION CENTER...
ARKANSAS FORESTRY COMMISSION...AND THE OKLAHOMA FORESTRY SERVICES.

QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS...

IF YOU HAVE ANY QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS ABOUT THIS DROUGHT INFORMATION
STATEMENT...PLEASE CONTACT:

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE
5655 HOLLYWOOD AVE.
SHREVEPORT LA 71109

PHONE: (318) 631-3669
EMAIL: SR-SHV.WEBMASTER@NOAA.GOV

$$

15/HANSFORD


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