Flood Potential Outlook
Issued by NWS Phoenix, AZ

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WATER SUPPLY OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PHOENIX AZ
126 PM MST FRI FEB 6 2015

SEASONAL PRECIPITATION TO DATE...
   BELOW NORTHERN AND MOST OF SOUTH-CENTRAL ARIZONA
   ABOVE SOUTHEAST ARIZONA
CURRENT RESERVOIR STORAGE...
   BELOW MEDIAN
MONTHLY RUNOFF FORECAST...
   BELOW TO NEAR MEAN FLOW FOR FEBRUARY THROUGH MAY
THREE MONTH PRECIPITATION OUTLOOK...
   ABOVE NORMAL MARCH THROUGH MAY

PRECIPITATION SUMMARY OCT 1 2014 THROUGH JAN 31 2015...

STATION                 CURRENT   AVERAGE

  COOLIDGE                4.09     3.31
  DOUGLAS                 3.11     3.29
  FLAGSTAFF               6.92     7.34
  MCNARY                  7.93     8.85
  PAYSON                  6.67     7.46
  PHOENIX                 1.85     3.02
  TUCSON                  6.04     3.33
  WICKENBURG  4.93     3.94
  WINSLOW                 3.14     2.12

RESERVOIRS...AS OF FEBRUARY 6, 2015...EXCEPT AS NOTED

   RESERVOIR/SYSTEM    PERCENT     VOLUME IN
                         FULL       ACRE-FT
   LITTLE COLORADO RIVER
      LYMAN LAKE          20           5955
   COLORADO RIVER
      LAKE POWELL         46       11128000  FEB 5 2015
      LAKE MEAD           41       10748000  FEB 5 2015
      LAKE MOHAVE         94        1706500  FEB 5 2015
      LAKE HAVASU         93         575900  FEB 5 2015
    BILL WILLIAMS RIVER
      ALAMO LAKE           6          54346
   SALT RIVER
      SALT SYSTEM         54        1075429
   VERDE RIVER
      VERDE SYSTEM        43         122430
   AGUA FRIA RIVER
      LAKE PLEASANT       92         781269
   GILA RIVER
      SAN CARLOS          13         116500
      PAINTED ROCK         M            M

AREAS OF INTEREST...WWW.CBRFC.NOAA.GOV/WSUP/PUB2/MAP/HTML/CPUB.PHP
                    (ALL LOWER CASE)

WEATHER OUTLOOK COURTESY OF CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER...

LONG RANGE WEATHER FOR MARCH...APRIL...MAY
   ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES WESTERN HALF OF ARIZONA
   EQUAL CHANCES OF BELOW NORMAL...NORMAL...ABOVE NORMAL
      EASTERN HALF OF ARIZONA

THE NEXT ARIZONA HYDROLOGIC SUMMARY AND OUTLOOK WILL BE ISSUED ON OR
ABOUT MARCH 5 2015.

$$

MCLANE














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