Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI

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FNUS53 KAPX 271900
FWFAPX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
300 PM EDT Tue Jun 27 2017

...More Heavy Rain Expected...

.DISCUSSION...Heavy rain is expected to arrive late Wednesday with
a storm moving through the Great Lakes. Once that storm moves
through Thursday another bout of rainfall shows up Friday. There
will be a continuing chance for scattered showers and
thunderstorms through the weekend.

MIZ016-017-019-021>023-280830-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
300 PM EDT Tue Jun 27 2017

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (20-30 percent).
Min Temperature.....51-56...except 58-63 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......6 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........86-91 percent.
   24 HR Trend......14 percent drier...except 6 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 16 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (10).
Mixing Height.......100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent) until 1200, then
                    mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers after 1400 until 1700, then rain
                    showers.
Max Temperature.....74-79...except around 71 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......7 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........44-49 percent...except 57-62 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......4 percent wetter...except 5 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 24 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (1160).
Mixing Height.......5300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 15 to 24 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.09 in.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Showers and
                    thunderstorms.
Min Temperature.....61-66.
   24 HR Trend......9 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........91-96 percent...except 82-87 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......8 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 10 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 24 mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Fair (170).
Mixing Height.......1000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 18 to 24 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........0.55-1.19 in.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Showers likely
                    until 0800. chance of thunderstorms until 1400.
                    chance of showers after 0800 until 1400.
Max Temperature.....75-80...except 64-69 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........62-67 percent...except 78-83 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......23 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (1240).
Mixing Height.......4600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 21 to 27 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........0.04-0.18 in.


$$

MIZ018-024-030-036-042-280830-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
300 PM EDT Tue Jun 27 2017

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent). Scattered rain
                    showers until 1900. isolated thunderstorms
                    until 2000. isolated rain showers after 1900
                    until 2000.
Min Temperature.....48-53...except 56-61 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........91-96 percent...except 75-80 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......4 percent wetter...except 10 percent drier
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 16 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (0).
Mixing Height.......0 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers after 1400 until 1700, then chance
                    of rain showers.
Max Temperature.....73-78.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........44-49 percent.
   24 HR Trend......5 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (1390).
Mixing Height.......5400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 12 mph increasing to around 24
                    mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.04 in.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Showers and
                    thunderstorms.
Min Temperature.....60-65.
   24 HR Trend......11 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........93-98 percent...except 82-87 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 percent drier...except 7 percent wetter along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 10 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Fair (210).
Mixing Height.......1000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 21 to 24 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........0.30-1.04 in.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Showers likely
                    until 0800. chance of thunderstorms until 1400.
                    chance of showers after 0800 until 1400.
Max Temperature.....76-81...except 67-72 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
Min Humidity........59-64 percent...except 71-76 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......20 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (1500).
Mixing Height.......5500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 21 to 27 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........0.05-0.17 in.


$$

MIZ020-025>027-280830-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
300 PM EDT Tue Jun 27 2017

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent).
Min Temperature.....50-55...except 62-67 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer...except 9 degrees warmer near
                    the coast.
Max Humidity........89-94 percent...except 70-75 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......7 percent drier...except 14 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 24 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (10).
Mixing Height.......100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent) until 1200, then
                    mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Rain showers
                    likely after 1400 until 1700, then rain
                    showers.
Max Temperature.....73-78...except 62-67 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........49-54 percent...except 68-73 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......6 percent wetter...except unchanged along the
                    coast.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph increasing to around
                    15 mph in the afternoon. Gusts up to 35 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (1260).
Mixing Height.......4900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 15 mph increasing to south
                    around 27 mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........0.04-0.13 in.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Showers and
                    thunderstorms.
Min Temperature.....61-66.
   24 HR Trend......14 degrees warmer...except 8 degrees warmer
                    near the coast.
Max Humidity........93-98 percent...except 79-84 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......4 percent wetter...except 11 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 10 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 24 mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Fair (130).
Mixing Height.......800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 18 to 27 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........0.60-0.90 in.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Showers likely
                    and chance of thunderstorms until 0800.
Max Temperature.....75-80...except 61-66 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler.
Min Humidity........60-65 percent...except 78-83 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......12 percent wetter...except 17 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (1140).
Mixing Height.......4200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 21 to 27 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.10 in.


$$

MIZ031>033-280830-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
300 PM EDT Tue Jun 27 2017

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent).
Min Temperature.....49-54.
   24 HR Trend......6 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........89-94 percent...except 95-100 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......5 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (10).
Mixing Height.......100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent) until 1200, then
                    mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers after 1100 until 1400, then rain
                    showers.
Max Temperature.....72-77.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........49-54 percent.
   24 HR Trend......9 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph increasing to around
                    15 mph in the afternoon. Gusts up to 30 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (1260).
Mixing Height.......4800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 15 mph increasing to south
                    around 27 mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........0.03-0.11 in.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Showers and
                    thunderstorms.
Min Temperature.....61-66.
   24 HR Trend......13 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........93-98 percent.
   24 HR Trend......3 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 10 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 24 mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Fair (140).
Mixing Height.......800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 18 to 24 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........0.48-0.76 in.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (65-75 percent). Showers likely
                    and chance of thunderstorms until 0800.
Max Temperature.....75-80...except 67-72 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
Min Humidity........60-65 percent...except 74-79 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......8 percent wetter...except 16 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (1300).
Mixing Height.......4600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 18 to 27 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........0.06-0.14 in.


$$

MIZ028-029-034-035-041-280830-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
300 PM EDT Tue Jun 27 2017

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent). Isolated showers
                    and thunderstorms until 2000.
Min Temperature.....48-53.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........91-96 percent.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (0).
Mixing Height.......0 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 3 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent) until 1200, then
                    mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers after 1400 until 1700, then rain
                    showers likely.
Max Temperature.....73-78.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........44-49 percent.
   24 HR Trend......8 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (1350).
Mixing Height.......5600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 12 mph increasing to around 24
                    mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.05 in.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Showers likely.
                    thunderstorms likely after 2000 until 0500,
                    then chance of thunderstorms.
Min Temperature.....60-65.
   24 HR Trend......13 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........91-96 percent.
   24 HR Trend......2 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 10 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Fair (160).
Mixing Height.......900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........0.27-0.73 in.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Showers likely
                    and chance of thunderstorms until 0800. chance
                    of showers after 0800 until 1400. chance of
                    thunderstorms after 1100 until 1400.
Max Temperature.....76-81.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Min Humidity........56-61 percent.
   24 HR Trend......16 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (1730).
Mixing Height.......5600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 21 to 30 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........0.05-0.17 in.


$$

.EXTENDED...

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. WEST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.INDEPENDENCE DAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

KJF



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