Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Buffalo, NY

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000
FNUS51 KBUF 220843
FWFBUF

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR WESTERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
443 AM EDT WED OCT 22 2014

.DISCUSSION...

LOW PRESSURE OFF OF THE DELMARVA COASTLINE WILL SLOWLY LIFT
NORTHEASTWARD TO THE CANADIAN MARITIMES BY THE END OF THE WEEK.
THIS SYSTEM WILL KEEP COOL AND CLOUDY CONDITIONS ACROSS OUR AREA
THROUGH FRIDAY ALONG WITH PERIODIC OPPORTUNITIES FOR RAIN...THE
BEST CHANCES FOR WHICH WILL BE FROM THE FINGER LAKES EASTWARD
ACROSS THE NORTH COUNTRY. ANOTHER FASTER MOVING SYSTEM WILL THEN
PUSH A COLD FRONT ACROSS OUR REGION THIS WEEKEND ALONG WITH ANOTHER
CHANCE FOR SOME SHOWERS...BEFORE SUNSHINE AND WARMER WEATHER
RETURN EARLY NEXT WEEK.

NYZ001-002-010-011-222115-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-
443 AM EDT WED OCT 22 2014

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          THU
CLOUD COVER                     MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     30           30           40
PRECIP TYPE                   SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS
MAX/MIN TEMP                       52           41           55
AM WIND (MPH)                    N 12                      N 10
PM WIND (MPH)                    N 13         N  9        NW 12
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.02         0.01         0.03
PRECIP DURATION                     2            1            2
PRECIP BEGIN                     6 AM         4 AM   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                      12 PM   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               61           89           60
HAINES INDEX                        2            2            2
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              2650           70         3090
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              N 16         N 17         N 15
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               42400         1190        46350
DISPERSION INDEX                   42            1           46
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ012-019>021-085-222115-
WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-
443 AM EDT WED OCT 22 2014

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          THU
CLOUD COVER                     MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     40           40           40
PRECIP TYPE                   SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS
MAX/MIN TEMP                       48           39           52
AM WIND (MPH)                    N 10                      N 12
PM WIND (MPH)                    N 12         N  9        NW 14
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.04         0.03         0.03
PRECIP DURATION                     2            2            2
PRECIP BEGIN                     6 AM        11 PM   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                 CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               71           92           64
HAINES INDEX                        2            2            2
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              2850           70         3070
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              N 18         N 16        NW 20
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               51300         1120        61400
DISPERSION INDEX                   51            1           61
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ003>005-013-014-222115-
MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-
443 AM EDT WED OCT 22 2014

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          THU
CLOUD COVER                     MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     40           40           60
PRECIP TYPE                   SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS
MAX/MIN TEMP                       51           42           53
AM WIND (MPH)                    N 11                      N 14
PM WIND (MPH)                    N 14         N 12        NW 14
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.04         0.05         0.11
PRECIP DURATION                     2            2            8
PRECIP BEGIN                     6 AM   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                 CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               66           88           65
HAINES INDEX                        2            2            2
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              3020           70         3380
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              N 23         N 22        NW 22
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               69460         1540        74360
DISPERSION INDEX                   69            2           74
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ006>008-222115-
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
443 AM EDT WED OCT 22 2014

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          THU
CLOUD COVER                     MCLDY        MCLDY       CLOUDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     30           60           80
PRECIP TYPE                   SHOWERS      SHOWERS         RAIN
MAX/MIN TEMP                       51           39           51
AM WIND (MPH)                   NE 10                      N 12
PM WIND (MPH)                    N 14         N 12         N 13
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.01         0.08         0.16
PRECIP DURATION                     2            5           10
PRECIP BEGIN                    10 AM   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                 CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               64           93           72
HAINES INDEX                        2            2            2
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              3300           70         3080
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              N 20        NE 23         N 23
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               66000         1610        70840
DISPERSION INDEX                   66            2           71
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

.EXTENDED FORECAST...

.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
MID 50S.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
50S.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S.

WIND THURSDAY NIGHT...NORTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.
WIND FRIDAY...NORTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.
WIND SATURDAY...WEST AROUND 10 MPH.
WIND SUNDAY...NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION NEAR NORMAL.

$$







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