Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Buffalo, NY

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000
FNUS51 KBUF 010533
FWFBUF

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Western New York
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
133 AM EDT Mon May 1 2017

.DISCUSSION...
A warm front will move slowly northward across the region overnight
along with scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms. Very warm
air will then briefly push into the area Monday before a cold front
crosses the area in the afternoon and evening. This front will produce
a line of showers and thunderstorms with the potential for damaging
winds and heavy rainfall. In the wake of the front...much cooler and
unsettled weather will then overspread the region for the rest of the
week.

NYZ001-002-010-011-010900-
Niagara-Orleans-Northern Erie-Genesee-
133 AM EDT Mon May 1 2017

                            Overnight          Mon    Mon Night          Tue
Cloud cover                     MCldy        MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Precip chc (%)                     80           90           60           50
Precip type                     Tstms        Tstms        Tstms      Showers
Min/Max Temp                       40           81           47           51
AM Wind (mph)                                 S  5                     SW 12
PM Wind (mph)                                 S  9        SW 10        SW 19
Precip amount                    0.16         0.31         0.13         0.08
Precip duration                     3            5            3            5
Precip begin                     1 AM   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip end                 Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Max/Min Humidity (%)              100           41           88           60
Haines Index                        2            3            3            3
LAL                                 3            5            5            1
Mixing height (ft-AGL)             70         2730          140         5620
Transport wind (kt)              S 13         S 14         S 13        SW 34
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                 910        38220         1820       191080
Dispersion Index                    1           38            2          191
REMARKS...None.

$$

NYZ012-019>021-085-010900-
Wyoming-Chautauqua-Cattaraugus-Allegany-Southern Erie-
133 AM EDT Mon May 1 2017

                            Overnight          Mon    Mon Night          Tue
Cloud cover                     MCldy        MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Precip chc (%)                     40           90           60           60
Precip type                     Tstms        Tstms        Tstms      Showers
Min/Max Temp                       55           78           44           50
AM Wind (mph)                                 S 11                     SW 12
PM Wind (mph)                                 S 12        SW 10        SW 15
Precip amount                    0.03         0.32         0.16         0.13
Precip duration                     1            5            4            8
Precip begin                     1 AM         8 AM   Continuing   Continuing
Precip end                       5 AM   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Max/Min Humidity (%)              100           46           93           53
Haines Index                        2            3            3            3
LAL                                 1            5            5            1
Mixing height (ft-AGL)            150         5210           80         5340
Transport wind (kt)              S 16         S 18        SW 18        SW 25
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                2400        93780         1440       133500
Dispersion Index                    2           94            1          134
REMARKS...None.

$$

NYZ003>005-013-014-010900-
Monroe-Wayne-Northern Cayuga-Livingston-Ontario-
133 AM EDT Mon May 1 2017

                            Overnight          Mon    Mon Night          Tue
Cloud cover                     MCldy        MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Precip chc (%)                     30           80           90           50
Precip type                     Tstms        Tstms        Tstms      Showers
Min/Max Temp                       42           83           48           53
AM Wind (mph)                                 S  8                     SW 10
PM Wind (mph)                                 S 10         S 11        SW 16
Precip amount                    0.03         0.15         0.31         0.10
Precip duration                     1            2            6            5
Precip begin                     1 AM         1 PM   Continuing   Continuing
Precip end                 Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Max/Min Humidity (%)              100           41           91           55
Haines Index                        3            2            3            4
LAL                                 1            5            5            1
Mixing height (ft-AGL)            170         2420          140         6630
Transport wind (kt)              S 17         S 16         S 17        SW 26
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                2890        38720         2380       172380
Dispersion Index                    3           39            2          172
REMARKS...None.

$$

NYZ006>008-010900-
Oswego-Jefferson-Lewis-
133 AM EDT Mon May 1 2017

                            Overnight          Mon    Mon Night          Tue
Cloud cover                     MCldy        MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Precip chc (%)                     40           30           90           60
Precip type                     Tstms        Tstms        Tstms      Showers
Min/Max Temp                       42           79           48           53
AM Wind (mph)                                 S  7                     SW  9
PM Wind (mph)                                 S  8         S  9        SW 12
Precip amount                    0.05         0.13         0.51         0.16
Precip duration                     1            2            6            8
Precip begin                     2 AM   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip end                 Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Max/Min Humidity (%)               92           40           99           56
Haines Index                        2            2            3            3
LAL                                 4            3            5            1
Mixing height (ft-AGL)            270         3200          100         5630
Transport wind (kt)             SE 15         S 13         S 13        SW 19
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                4050        41600         1300       106970
Dispersion Index                    4           42            1          107
REMARKS...None.

$$

.EXTENDED FORECAST...

.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with scattered showers. Lows in
the lower 40s.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with scattered showers. Highs in the
upper 40s.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain. Lows in the
upper 30s. Highs in the lower 50s.
.FRIDAY...Rain. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the mid 50s.
.SATURDAY...Cloudy with showers likely. Lows in the lower 40s.
Highs in the mid 50s.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Scattered rain showers. Lows around 40.
Highs in the lower 50s.

WIND TUESDAY NIGHT...Southwest around 15 mph.
WIND WEDNESDAY...Southwest around 10 mph.
WIND THURSDAY...West around 10 mph.
WIND FRIDAY...Northeast 5 to 10 mph.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures below normal.  Precipitation near normal.

$$



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