Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Buffalo, NY

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071
FNUS51 KBUF 230233
FWFBUF

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Western New York
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
1033 PM EDT Wed Mar 22 2017

.DISCUSSION...
High pressure will build over the lower Great Lakes tonight and then
east of the region on Thursday. One more night of very cold
temperatures will give way to a moderating trend Thursday into the
weekend as warmer air moves into the region. A frontal boundary will
stall across the region this weekend, with several disturbances
moving along the front and bringing periods of rain over the weekend
and into the first half of next week.

NYZ001-002-010-011-230900-
Niagara-Orleans-Northern Erie-Genesee-
1033 PM EDT Wed Mar 22 2017

                              Tonight          Thu    Thu Night          Fri
Cloud cover                     Clear       MClear        MCldy       Cloudy
Precip chc (%)                      0            0           40           80
Precip type                      None         None         Rain         Rain
Min/Max Temp                        8           39           33           52
AM Wind (mph)                              Lgt/Var                      S 10
PM Wind (mph)                   NW  9         S  5      Lgt/Var        SW 14
Precip amount                    0.00         0.00         0.07         0.19
Precip duration                                               1            6
Precip begin                                               3 AM   Continuing
Precip end                                           Continuing   Continuing
Max/Min Humidity (%)               85           22           68           59
Haines Index                        4            4            4            2
LAL                                 1            1            1            1
Mixing height (ft-AGL)              0         3680            0          740
Transport wind (kt)             NW  8        SW  4        SE  6        SW 21
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                   0        14720            0        15540
Dispersion Index                    0           15            0           16
REMARKS...None.

$$

NYZ012-019>021-085-230900-
Wyoming-Chautauqua-Cattaraugus-Allegany-Southern Erie-
1033 PM EDT Wed Mar 22 2017

                              Tonight          Thu    Thu Night          Fri
Cloud cover                     Clear       MClear        MCldy       Cloudy
Precip chc (%)                      0            0           50           80
Precip type                      None         None     Frz Rain     Frz Rain
Min/Max Temp                        4           41           29           54
AM Wind (mph)                              Lgt/Var                      S 10
PM Wind (mph)                   NW  8      Lgt/Var         S  5        SW 13
Precip amount                    0.00         0.00         0.08         0.16
Precip duration                                               1            6
Precip begin                                               3 AM   Continuing
Precip end                                           Continuing   Continuing
Max/Min Humidity (%)               87           13           78           55
Haines Index                        5            4            4            2
LAL                                 1            1            1            1
Mixing height (ft-AGL)              0         4200            0         1070
Transport wind (kt)             NW  9        SW  5        SE  6        SW 19
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                   0        21000            0        20330
Dispersion Index                    0           21            0           20
REMARKS...None.

$$

NYZ003>005-013-014-230900-
Monroe-Wayne-Northern Cayuga-Livingston-Ontario-
1033 PM EDT Wed Mar 22 2017

                              Tonight          Thu    Thu Night          Fri
Cloud cover                    MClear       MClear        MCldy       Cloudy
Precip chc (%)                      0            0           40           70
Precip type                      None         None     Frz Rain     Frz Rain
Min/Max Temp                        9           39           30           52
AM Wind (mph)                              Lgt/Var                      S  9
PM Wind (mph)                   NW 10      Lgt/Var        SE  5        SW 11
Precip amount                    0.00         0.00         0.04         0.20
Precip duration                                               1            8
Precip begin                                               4 AM   Continuing
Precip end                                           Continuing   Continuing
Max/Min Humidity (%)               83           18           67           51
Haines Index                        4            4            4            2
LAL                                 1            1            1            1
Mixing height (ft-AGL)              0         4220            0          890
Transport wind (kt)             NW 12         W  5        SE  7        SW 17
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                   0        21100            0        15130
Dispersion Index                    0           21            0           15
REMARKS...None.

$$

NYZ006>008-230900-
Oswego-Jefferson-Lewis-
1033 PM EDT Wed Mar 22 2017

                              Tonight          Thu    Thu Night          Fri
Cloud cover                     Clear       MClear        MCldy       Cloudy
Precip chc (%)                      0            0            0           90
Precip type                      None         None         None   Sleet/rain
Min/Max Temp                        2           34           20           43
AM Wind (mph)                              Lgt/Var                      S  8
PM Wind (mph)                   NW  8         W  7      Lgt/Var         S  9
Precip amount                    0.00         0.00         0.00         0.37
Precip duration                                                           10
Precip begin                                                            6 AM
Precip end                                                        Continuing
Max/Min Humidity (%)               97           33           75           58
Haines Index                        5            4            4            2
LAL                                 1            1            1            1
Mixing height (ft-AGL)              0         4510          170          960
Transport wind (kt)             NW 13         W 10         S  9         S 14
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                   0        45100         1530        13440
Dispersion Index                    0           45            2           13
REMARKS...None.

$$

.EXTENDED FORECAST...

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Rain. Lows in the upper 30s.
.SATURDAY...Cloudy with rain likely and a chance of freezing
rain. Highs in the mid 40s.
.SUNDAY...Rain and a chance of freezing rain. Lows in the lower
30s. Highs in the mid 40s.
.MONDAY...Cloudy with rain likely and a chance of freezing rain.
Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the upper 40s.
.TUESDAY...Cloudy with a chance of rain and freezing rain. Lows
around 40. Highs in the upper 40s.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain and snow showers.
Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the mid 40s.

WIND FRIDAY NIGHT...South around 10 mph.
WIND SATURDAY...North around 5 mph.
WIND SUNDAY...Northeast 5 to 10 mph.
WIND MONDAY...East 5 to 10 mph.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$



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