Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS State College, PA

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000
FNUS51 KCTP 160908
FWFCTP

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Central Pennsylvania
National Weather Service State College PA
408 AM EST Sat Dec 16 2017

.DISCUSSION...
Lake effect snow showers will persist over the Northwest Mountains for most of
today. The remainder of central PA will be cool and dry with a few flurries. By
Sunday, some rain and snow showers will move into the region and last into Monday
as we trend toward some warmer weather next week.

PAZ004-162115-
Warren-
Including the city of Warren
408 AM EST Sat Dec 16 2017

                                Today      Tonight          Sun

Cloud Cover                    Cloudy        MCldy        MCldy
Precip Type              Snow Showers Snow Showers         Snow
Chance Precip (%)                  80           30           30
Temp (24h trend)              28 (+5)      18 (+2)           36
RH % (24h trend)              65 (+3)      100 (0)           69
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)             W  8                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)             W  7      LGT/VAR        SW  5
Precip Amount                    0.13         0.01         0.00
Precip Duration                     9            3            2
Precip Begin                     6 AM   Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                 Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)           2570          360         1940
Transport Wnd (mph)              W 18        SE  1         S  7
Vent Rate (kt-ft)               47170            0        12580
Dispersion                          5            1            4
DSI                                 0            0            1
LAL                          NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS
Haines Index                        3            2            2
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent

REMARKS...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY...Cloudy with a chance of rain and snow. Lows around 30.
Highs in the upper 30s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain and snow showers.
Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the lower 40s. Southwest winds
10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with snow showers likely. Colder. Lows
in the mid 20s. Highs in the lower 30s. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 20s. Highs in the
upper 30s. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with rain and snow showers likely. Lows
in the upper 20s. Highs around 40. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

PAZ005-010-017-162115-
McKean-Elk-Clearfield-
Including the cities of Bradford, St. Marys, Ridgway, DuBois,
and Clearfield
408 AM EST Sat Dec 16 2017

                                Today      Tonight          Sun

Cloud Cover                     MCldy        PCldy        MCldy
Precip Type              Snow Showers Snow Showers         Snow
Chance Precip (%)                  50           20           30
Temp (24h trend)              32 (+8)      18 (+3)           37
RH % (24h trend)              53 (+3)      100 (0)           61
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)         W 10 G18                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)         W  8 G18      LGT/VAR        SW  5
Precip Amount                    0.06         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration                     3            1            2
Precip Begin                     6 AM   Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                 Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)           3150          730         2070
Transport Wnd (mph)              W 26         W  6        SW  7
Vent Rate (kt-ft)              100930            0        18220
Dispersion                          5            1            5
DSI                                 0            0            1
LAL                          NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS
Haines Index                        3            3            3
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent

REMARKS...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY...Cloudy with a chance of rain and snow. Lows around 30.
Highs in the upper 30s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain and snow showers.
Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the lower 40s. West winds 15 to
20 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain and snow showers.
Colder. Lows in the mid 20s. Highs in the lower 30s. West winds
15 to 20 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 20s. Highs in the
upper 30s. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain and snow showers.
Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the lower 40s. Southwest winds
10 to 15 mph.

$$

PAZ006-011-012-018-162115-
Potter-Cameron-Northern Clinton-Northern Centre-
Including the cities of Coudersport, Emporium, Renovo,
and Philipsburg
408 AM EST Sat Dec 16 2017

                                Today      Tonight          Sun

Cloud Cover                     MCldy        PCldy        MCldy
Precip Type              Snow Showers Snow Showers         Snow
Chance Precip (%)                  40           20           20
Temp (24h trend)              32 (+7)      18 (+3)           36
RH % (24h trend)             53 (+16)      100 (0)           61
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)         W 10 G21                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)         W  9 G21      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Precip Amount                    0.03         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration                     2            1            1
Precip Begin                     6 AM   Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                 Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)           3560          680         2100
Transport Wnd (mph)              W 26         S  2         S  6
Vent Rate (kt-ft)              118120          400        13950
Dispersion                          5            1            4
DSI                                 0            0            1
LAL                          NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS
Haines Index                        3            3            2
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent

REMARKS...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY...Cloudy with a chance of rain and snow. Lows around 30.
Highs in the upper 30s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain and snow showers.
Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the mid 40s. West winds 15 to
20 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain and snow showers.
Colder. Lows in the mid 20s. Highs in the lower 30s. West winds
15 to 20 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 20s. Highs in the
upper 30s. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain and snow showers.
Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the lower 40s. Southwest winds
15 to 20 mph.

$$

PAZ024-033-162115-
Cambria-Somerset-
Including the cities of Johnstown and Somerset
408 AM EST Sat Dec 16 2017

                                Today      Tonight          Sun

Cloud Cover                     MCldy       MClear        MCldy
Precip Type              Snow Showers         None    Snow/rain
Chance Precip (%)                  30            0           40
Temp (24h trend)              34 (+8)      23 (+5)           41
RH % (24h trend)              50 (+5)      100 (0)           57
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)         W 14 G29                     SW  5
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)         W 12 G27     W  7 G18        SW  6
Precip Amount                    0.02         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration                     2                         2
Precip Begin                     6 AM                      7 AM
Precip End                       6 PM                Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)           2610          270         1830
Transport Wnd (mph)              W 29         W 10        SW 10
Vent Rate (kt-ft)               90680          270        19730
Dispersion                          5            1            5
DSI                                 0            0            1
LAL                          NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS
Haines Index                        3            3            3
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent

REMARKS...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY...Cloudy with a chance of rain and snow. Lows in the
lower 30s. Highs in the lower 40s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain and snow showers.
Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the mid 40s. West winds 15 to
20 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of rain showers. Colder.
Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the mid 30s. West winds 15 to
20 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 20s. Highs around 40.
South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain showers. Lows in
the lower 30s. Highs in the mid 40s. Southwest winds 15 to
20 mph.

$$

PAZ019-027-028-162115-
Southern Centre-Mifflin-Juniata-
Including the cities of State College, Lewistown, and Mifflintown
408 AM EST Sat Dec 16 2017

                                Today      Tonight          Sun

Cloud Cover                     PCldy        PCldy        MCldy
Precip Type                      None Snow Showers         Snow
Chance Precip (%)                   0           10           30
Temp (24h trend)              36 (+7)      22 (+4)           39
RH % (24h trend)              46 (+1)      92 (-8)           57
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)         W  9 G20                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)         W  9 G20      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Precip Amount                    0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration                                  1            2
Precip Begin                                  7 PM   Continuing
Precip End                              Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)           3940          500         2230
Transport Wnd (mph)              W 25         S  2         S  5
Vent Rate (kt-ft)              125360           30        22340
Dispersion                          5            1            5
DSI                                 0            0            1
LAL                          NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS
Haines Index                        3            3            3
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent

REMARKS...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY...Cloudy with a chance of rain and snow. Lows in the
lower 30s. Highs in the lower 40s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain and snow showers. Lows
in the mid 30s. Highs in the upper 40s. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Colder. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs
in the upper 30s. West winds 15 to 20 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 20s. Highs around 40.
South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain and snow showers.
Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the upper 40s. Southwest winds
10 to 15 mph.

$$

PAZ025-026-162115-
Blair-Huntingdon-
Including the cities of Altoona, Huntingdon, and Mount Union
408 AM EST Sat Dec 16 2017

                                Today      Tonight          Sun

Cloud Cover                     PCldy       MClear        MCldy
Precip Type                      None         None    Snow/rain
Chance Precip (%)                   0            0           40
Temp (24h trend)              38 (+9)      23 (+5)           41
RH % (24h trend)              46 (+3)      96 (-4)           57
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)         W 11 G25                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)         W 10 G24      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Precip Amount                    0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration                                               2
Precip Begin                                               7 AM
Precip End                                           Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)           4050          200         2600
Transport Wnd (mph)              W 29        SW  3        SW  7
Vent Rate (kt-ft)              115700            0        20500
Dispersion                          5            1            5
DSI                                 0            0            1
LAL                          NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS
Haines Index                        3            3            3
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent

REMARKS...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain and snow. Lows in
the lower 30s. Highs in the lower 40s. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain and snow showers. Lows
in the upper 30s. Highs in the upper 40s. West winds 15 to
20 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Colder. Lows around 30. Highs in the
upper 30s. West winds 15 to 20 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 20s. Highs in the
lower 40s. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain and snow showers.
Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the upper 40s. Southwest winds
15 to 20 mph.

$$

PAZ034-035-162115-
Bedford-Fulton-
Including the cities of Bedford and McConnellsburg
408 AM EST Sat Dec 16 2017

                                Today      Tonight          Sun

Cloud Cover                     PCldy       MClear        MCldy
Precip Type                      None         None    Snow/rain
Chance Precip (%)                   0            0           30
Temp (24h trend)              39 (+9)      25 (+6)           42
RH % (24h trend)              42 (+7)      92 (-4)           52
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)         W 10 G21                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)         W 10 G21      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Precip Amount                    0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration                                               2
Precip Begin                                               7 AM
Precip End                                           Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)           3930          120         2550
Transport Wnd (mph)              W 28         W  5        SW  9
Vent Rate (kt-ft)              109270            0        24220
Dispersion                          5            1            5
DSI                                 0            0            1
LAL                          NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS
Haines Index                        3            3            3
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent

REMARKS...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain and snow. Lows in
the lower 30s. Highs in the mid 40s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain and snow showers. Lows
in the upper 30s. Highs in the lower 50s. West winds 15 to
20 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Colder. Lows around 30. Highs in the
upper 30s. Northwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the
lower 40s. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain showers. Lows in
the lower 30s. Highs around 50. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.

$$

PAZ037-041-042-162115-
Tioga-Northern Lycoming-Sullivan-
Including the cities of Mansfield, Wellsboro, Trout Run,
and Laporte
408 AM EST Sat Dec 16 2017

                                Today      Tonight          Sun

Cloud Cover                     MCldy        PCldy        MCldy
Precip Type              Snow Showers Snow Showers         Snow
Chance Precip (%)                  30           20           10
Temp (24h trend)              29 (+4)      16 (+2)           33
RH % (24h trend)              56 (+9)      100 (0)           66
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)         W  9 G18                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)         W  8 G17      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Precip Amount                    0.03         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration                     2            1            1
Precip Begin                     6 AM   Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                 Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)           3450          780         1280
Transport Wnd (mph)              W 18         E  2         E  2
Vent Rate (kt-ft)               83990            0         3910
Dispersion                          5            1            2
DSI                                 0            0            1
LAL                          NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS
Haines Index                        3            2            2
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent

REMARKS...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY...Cloudy with a chance of rain and snow. Lows in the
upper 20s. Highs in the upper 30s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain and snow showers.
Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the mid 40s. Southwest winds
10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Colder. Lows in the mid 20s. Highs in
the lower 30s. West winds 15 to 20 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 20. Highs in the mid 30s.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain and snow showers.
Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the mid 40s. Southwest winds
15 to 20 mph.

$$

PAZ045-046-049>053-162115-
Southern Clinton-Southern Lycoming-Union-Snyder-Montour-
Northumberland-Columbia-
Including the cities of Lock Haven, Williamsport, Lewisburg,
Selinsgrove, Danville, Sunbury, Shamokin, Bloomsburg, and Berwick
408 AM EST Sat Dec 16 2017

                                Today      Tonight          Sun

Cloud Cover                     MCldy        PCldy        MCldy
Precip Type              Snow Showers Snow Showers         Snow
Chance Precip (%)                  10           20           20
Temp (24h trend)              35 (+8)      20 (+3)           36
RH % (24h trend)              51 (+3)      92 (-8)           59
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)         W  7 G18                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)         W  8 G18      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Precip Amount                    0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration                     1            1            1
Precip Begin                     7 AM   Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                 Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)           3330          790         1390
Transport Wnd (mph)              W 20         W 13        SE  3
Vent Rate (kt-ft)               85160            0         7540
Dispersion                          5            1            3
DSI                                 0            0            1
LAL                          NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS
Haines Index                        3            3            2
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent

REMARKS...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY...Cloudy with a chance of rain and snow. Lows around 30.
Highs in the lower 40s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain and snow showers. Lows
in the mid 30s. Highs in the upper 40s. Southwest winds 10 to
15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Colder. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs
in the mid 30s. West winds 15 to 20 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 20s. Highs in the
upper 30s. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain and snow showers.
Lows around 30. Highs in the upper 40s. Southwest winds 10 to
15 mph.

$$

PAZ036-056-057-059-063>066-162115-
Franklin-Perry-Dauphin-Lebanon-Cumberland-Adams-York-Lancaster-
Including the cities of Chambersburg, Newport, Harrisburg,
Hershey, Lebanon, Carlisle, Gettysburg, York, and Lancaster
408 AM EST Sat Dec 16 2017

                                Today      Tonight          Sun

Cloud Cover                     PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip Type                      None         None    Snow/rain
Chance Precip (%)                   0            0           20
Temp (24h trend)              39 (+9)      23 (+4)           41
RH % (24h trend)              41 (-2)     88 (-12)           52
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)         W  8 G17                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)         W  9 G18      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Precip Amount                    0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration                                               2
Precip Begin                                               7 AM
Precip End                                           Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)           3100            0         2630
Transport Wnd (mph)             SW 22        SW 10         S  6
Vent Rate (kt-ft)               87120            0        20620
Dispersion                          5            1            5
DSI                                 1            0            1
LAL                          NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS
Haines Index                        3            3            3
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent

REMARKS...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain and snow. Lows in
the lower 30s. Highs in the mid 40s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the
lower 50s. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Colder. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs
around 40. Northwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the
lower 40s. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain showers. Lows in
the lower 30s. Highs in the lower 50s. Southwest winds 10 to
15 mph.

$$

PAZ058-162115-
Schuylkill-
Including the city of Pottsville
408 AM EST Sat Dec 16 2017

                                Today      Tonight          Sun

Cloud Cover                     PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip Type                      None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)                   0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)              34 (+8)      18 (+1)           35
RH % (24h trend)              51 (-4)      92 (-8)           61
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)         W  8 G17                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)         W  9 G17      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Precip Amount                    0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)           2740          640         1400
Transport Wnd (mph)             SW 20         W 12         S  5
Vent Rate (kt-ft)               51880          730         6220
Dispersion                          5            1            3
DSI                                 0            0            1
LAL                          NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS
Haines Index                        3            3            2
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent

REMARKS...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain and snow. Lows in
the upper 20s. Highs in the lower 40s. West winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the upper
40s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Colder. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs
in the mid 30s. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 20s. Highs in the
upper 30s. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain and snow showers.
Not as cool. Lows around 30. Highs in the upper 40s. Southwest
winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures below normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$


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