Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS State College, PA

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000
FNUS51 KCTP 221900
FWFCTP

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Central Pennsylvania
National Weather Service State College PA
200 PM EST Wed Feb 22 2017

.DISCUSSION...
It will remain very warm through Saturday.

A weak front will drop down from the north on Thursday, but should not
get too far into PA before bouncing back to the north as a warm front.

Strengthening low pressure will move northeast across the Upper Great
Lakes late Friday into early Saturday. The cold front trailing south
from this low will bring showers, and perhaps even a few thunderstorms
with gusty winds and small hail during the day Saturday.

Gusty west wind of 35 to 45 mph will develop in the wake of the front
Saturday into Saturday night.

PAZ004>006-010-011-230915-
Warren-McKean-Potter-Elk-Cameron-
Including the cities of Warren, Bradford, Coudersport, St. Marys,
Ridgway, and Emporium
200 PM EST Wed Feb 22 2017

                              Tonight          Thu    Thu Night          Fri

Cloud Cover                     MCldy        MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Precip Type                   showers      showers      showers        tstms
Chance Precip (%)                  10           40           50           40
Temp (24h trend)              47 (+6)      62 (+1)           46           67
RH % (24h trend)              96 (-4)     62 (+24)          100           57
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)                         SW  6                     SE  5
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)          LGT/VAR        SW  7      LGT/VAR     S  9 G17
Precip Amount                    0.01         0.07         0.11         0.06
Precip Duration                     1            4            5            3
Precip Begin                     6 PM   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                 Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             60         3810          240         4580
Transport Wnd (mph)              S  5        SW 15        SE  3         S 20
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                   0        72100           40       105030
Dispersion                          1            5            1            5
DSI                                 0            1            0            1
LAL                          NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS16-25 STRIKES
Haines Index                        3            3            3            3
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent    Excellent

REMARKS...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the mid 40s. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Rain and snow showers. Highs in the lower 50s.
Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of snow showers.
Colder. Lows in the mid 20s. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny. Colder. Highs in the mid 30s. West winds
10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 20s. West winds
5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs in the upper 30s. West winds 5 to
10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of snow showers. Lows
in the mid 20s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain showers. Highs in
the mid 40s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with rain showers likely. Lows in
the mid 30s. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain showers. Highs
in the upper 40s. South winds 15 to 20 mph.

$$

PAZ012-017-018-230915-
Northern Clinton-Clearfield-Northern Centre-
Including the cities of Renovo, DuBois, Clearfield,
and Philipsburg
200 PM EST Wed Feb 22 2017

                              Tonight          Thu    Thu Night          Fri

Cloud Cover                     MCldy       Cloudy        MCldy        MCldy
Precip Type                      None      showers      showers        tstms
Chance Precip (%)                   0           40           40           30
Temp (24h trend)              45 (+3)      64 (+5)           48           68
RH % (24h trend)            100 (+18)     54 (+15)          100           57
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)                       LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)          LGT/VAR        SW  7      LGT/VAR         S  8
Precip Amount                    0.00         0.05         0.07         0.05
Precip Duration                                  4            3            3
Precip Begin                                  6 AM   Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                              Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)            210         3380          110         5610
Transport Wnd (mph)              S  6        SW 16        SE  2         S 17
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                   0        57740            0       104970
Dispersion                          1            5            1            5
DSI                                 0            1            0            1
LAL                          NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS 9-15 STRIKES
Haines Index                        3            3            3            3
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent    Excellent

REMARKS...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the upper 40s. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Rain and snow showers. Highs in the mid 50s.
Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Much colder. Lows in the upper
20s. West winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny. Colder. Highs in the upper 30s. West
winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 20s. West winds
10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 40s. West winds 5 to
10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of snow showers. Lows
in the upper 20s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain showers. Highs in
the upper 40s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Lows in the
upper 30s. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain showers. Highs
in the upper 40s. South winds 15 to 20 mph.

$$

PAZ024-033-230915-
Cambria-Somerset-
Including the cities of Johnstown and Somerset
200 PM EST Wed Feb 22 2017

                              Tonight          Thu    Thu Night          Fri

Cloud Cover                     MCldy        MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Precip Type                      None      showers      showers        tstms
Chance Precip (%)                   0           50           20           20
Temp (24h trend)              46 (+1)      64 (+2)           48           69
RH % (24h trend)            100 (+23)     60 (+17)          100           54
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)                         SW  6                      S  5
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)          LGT/VAR        SW  7      LGT/VAR         S  9
Precip Amount                    0.00         0.07         0.01         0.02
Precip Duration                                  4            1            1
Precip Begin                                  6 AM   Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                              Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             10         3260            0         6960
Transport Wnd (mph)              S  5        SW 17         S  3         S 16
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                   0        91750            0       108350
Dispersion                          1            5            1            5
DSI                                 0            1            0            1
LAL                          NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS 9-15 STRIKES
Haines Index                        3            3            3            4
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent    Excellent

REMARKS...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the upper 40s. South winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SATURDAY...Rain and snow showers. Highs in the mid 50s.
Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Much colder. Lows in the mid
20s. West winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny. Colder. Highs in the upper 30s. West
winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s. West winds
10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of light snow. Highs in the
lower 40s. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of snow showers. Lows
in the lower 30s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain showers. Highs in
the lower 50s. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Not as cool.
Lows in the mid 40s. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Breezy. Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain showers.
Highs in the lower 50s. South winds 20 to 25 mph.

$$

PAZ019-025>028-034-035-230915-
Southern Centre-Blair-Huntingdon-Mifflin-Juniata-Bedford-Fulton-
Including the cities of State College, Altoona, Huntingdon,
Mount Union, Lewistown, Mifflintown, Bedford, and McConnellsburg
200 PM EST Wed Feb 22 2017

                              Tonight          Thu    Thu Night          Fri

Cloud Cover                     PCldy        MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Precip Type                      None      showers      showers        tstms
Chance Precip (%)                   0           50           20           20
Temp (24h trend)              44 (+2)      67 (+5)           49           70
RH % (24h trend)            100 (+15)     49 (+12)          100           51
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)                       LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)          LGT/VAR        SW  6      LGT/VAR         S  7
Precip Amount                    0.00         0.07         0.01         0.01
Precip Duration                                  3            1            1
Precip Begin                                 10 AM   Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                              Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             80         4990           50         5520
Transport Wnd (mph)             SW  3        SW 17        SE  2         S 14
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                   0        95270            0        87760
Dispersion                          1            5            1            5
DSI                                 0            1            0            1
LAL                          NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS 9-15 STRIKES
Haines Index                        3            3            3            3
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent    Excellent

REMARKS...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the lower 50s. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Showers. Highs in the upper 50s. Southwest winds
15 to 20 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Much colder. Lows around 30.
West winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Colder. Highs around 40. West winds 15 to
20 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s. West winds
10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs in the mid 40s. West winds 10 to
15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of snow and rain
showers. Lows in the lower 30s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain showers. Highs
around 50. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Lows in the
lower 40s. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain showers. Highs
in the lower 50s. South winds 15 to 20 mph.

$$

PAZ037-041-042-230915-
Tioga-Northern Lycoming-Sullivan-
Including the cities of Mansfield, Wellsboro, Trout Run,
and Laporte
200 PM EST Wed Feb 22 2017

                              Tonight          Thu    Thu Night          Fri

Cloud Cover                     MCldy        MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Precip Type                      None      showers      showers        tstms
Chance Precip (%)                   0           30           30           30
Temp (24h trend)              45 (+6)      63 (+5)           45           65
RH % (24h trend)             96 (+10)     58 (+25)           96           57
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)                         SW  5                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)          LGT/VAR        SW  8      LGT/VAR     S  9 G17
Precip Amount                    0.00         0.04         0.06         0.05
Precip Duration                                  3            3            3
Precip Begin                                  6 AM   Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                              Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             30         3370          170         2960
Transport Wnd (mph)              S  5        SW 14         E  2         S 16
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                   0        57560            0        70240
Dispersion                          1            5            1            5
DSI                                 0            1            0            1
LAL                          NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS 9-15 STRIKES
Haines Index                        2            3            3            3
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent    Excellent

REMARKS...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the upper 40s. South winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SATURDAY...Breezy, showers. Highs in the mid 50s. Southwest
winds 20 to 25 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Much colder. Lows in the upper
20s. West winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny. Colder. Highs in the mid 30s. West winds
10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 20s. West winds
10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of light snow. Highs in the
upper 30s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain showers. Highs in
the mid 40s. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with rain showers likely. Lows in
the upper 30s. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Breezy. Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain showers.
Highs in the mid 40s. South winds 20 to 25 mph.

$$

PAZ045-046-049>053-058-230915-
Southern Clinton-Southern Lycoming-Union-Snyder-Montour-
Northumberland-Columbia-Schuylkill-
Including the cities of Lock Haven, Williamsport, Lewisburg,
Selinsgrove, Danville, Sunbury, Shamokin, Bloomsburg, Berwick,
and Pottsville
200 PM EST Wed Feb 22 2017

                              Tonight          Thu    Thu Night          Fri

Cloud Cover                     PCldy        MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Precip Type                      None      showers      showers        tstms
Chance Precip (%)                   0           40           20           20
Temp (24h trend)              42 (+2)      65 (+7)           46           69
RH % (24h trend)            100 (+11)     56 (+21)           96           57
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)                       LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)          LGT/VAR        SW  5      LGT/VAR         S  7
Precip Amount                    0.00         0.06         0.03         0.03
Precip Duration                                  2            2            1
Precip Begin                                  1 PM   Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                              Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             20         3350           30         4140
Transport Wnd (mph)              S  2        SW 13         E  2         S 18
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                   0        48360            0        73850
Dispersion                          1            5            1            5
DSI                                 0            1            0            1
LAL                          NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS 9-15 STRIKES
Haines Index                        3            3            3            3
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent    Excellent

REMARKS...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the lower 50s. South winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SATURDAY...Showers. Highs in the lower 60s. South winds 15 to
20 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Colder. Lows in the lower 30s.
West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Much colder. Highs around 40. West winds
10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s. West winds
10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs in the lower 40s. West winds 5 to
10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain showers. Highs in
the upper 40s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Lows in the
upper 30s. South winds 15 to 20 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain showers. Highs
in the upper 40s. South winds 15 to 20 mph.

$$

PAZ036-056-057-059-063>066-230915-
Franklin-Perry-Dauphin-Lebanon-Cumberland-Adams-York-Lancaster-
Including the cities of Chambersburg, Newport, Harrisburg,
Hershey, Lebanon, Carlisle, Gettysburg, York, and Lancaster
200 PM EST Wed Feb 22 2017

                              Tonight          Thu    Thu Night          Fri

Cloud Cover                     PCldy        MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Precip Type                      None      showers      showers      showers
Chance Precip (%)                   0           40           20           10
Temp (24h trend)              43 (+3)      69 (+8)           50           71
RH % (24h trend)             100 (+4)      47 (+7)           96           53
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)                       LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)          LGT/VAR        SW  5      LGT/VAR         S  8
Precip Amount                    0.00         0.08         0.03         0.00
Precip Duration                                  2            2            1
Precip Begin                                  1 PM   Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                              Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             40         4940            0         4550
Transport Wnd (mph)              S  5        SW 15        SW  5         S 21
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                   0        76330            0        91440
Dispersion                          1            5            1            5
DSI                                 0            1            0            1
LAL                          NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS  1-8 STRIKES
Haines Index                        4            3            4            5
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent    Excellent

REMARKS...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the mid 50s. South winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SATURDAY...Cloudy with showers likely. Highs in the mid 60s.
South winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Much colder. Lows in the lower
30s. Northwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Much colder. Highs in the lower 40s. West
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. West winds
5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs in the mid 40s. West winds 5 to
10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain showers. Highs
around 50. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the lower 40s. South winds 15 to 20 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain showers. Highs
in the lower 50s. South winds 15 to 20 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$


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