Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI

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000
FNUS53 KDTX 190748
FWFDTX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Michigan
National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI
348 AM EDT Tue Sep 19 2017

.DISCUSSION...An upper level disturbance will lift across Southeast
Michigan today, providing a chance for showers. High pressure will
expand across the region during the course of the week. The
presence of this high and persistent southerly flow will establish a
period of very warm and dry conditions from today through the end of
the weekend.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-191915-
Midland-Bay-Saginaw-Shiawassee-Genesee-
Including the cities of Midland-Bay City-Saginaw-Owosso-Flint
348 AM EDT Tue Sep 19 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent) until 6 am then
                    mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Patchy fog until
                    10 am. A slight chance of showers after 9 am
                    until noon. A slight chance of thunderstorms
                    after 9 am. Chance of showers after noon.
                    Chance of precipitation 40 percent.
Max temperature.....69-74.
   24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Min humidity........59-69 percent.
   24 hr trend......10 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2900-3400 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northeast 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (300).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of
                    showers and a slight chance of thunderstorms
                    until 8 pm then a slight chance of showers
                    until 2 am. Chance of precipitation 40 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 61.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........100 percent.
   24 hr trend......2 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......850-1050 ft agl.
Transport winds.....East 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (10).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent).
Max temperature.....77-82.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........56-65 percent.
   24 hr trend......8 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4200-4700 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (540).
Pcpn amount.........None.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-191915-
Huron-Tuscola-Sanilac-Lapeer-
Including the cities of Bad Axe-Caro-Sandusky-Lapeer
348 AM EDT Tue Sep 19 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent) until 6 am then
                    mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Patchy fog until
                    10 am. A slight chance of showers after 9 am
                    until 11 am. A slight chance of thunderstorms
                    after 9 am. Chance of showers after 11 am.
                    Chance of precipitation 40 percent.
Max temperature.....69-74.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........69-79 percent.
   24 hr trend......10 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......1610-2110 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northeast 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (230).
Pcpn amount.........0.06-0.10 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of
                    showers and a slight chance of thunderstorms
                    until 8 pm then a slight chance of showers
                    until 2 am. Chance of precipitation 40 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 61.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........100 percent.
   24 hr trend......1 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......690-890 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 10 mph becoming southeast
                    after midnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (10).
Pcpn amount.........0.06-0.10 in.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent).
Max temperature.....75-80.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........61-71 percent.
   24 hr trend......8 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2880-3380 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (490).
Pcpn amount.........None.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-191915-
St Clair-Livingston-Oakland-Macomb-Washtenaw-Wayne-Lenawee-Monroe-
Including the cities of Port Huron-Howell-Pontiac-Warren-Ann
Arbor-Detroit-Adrian-Monroe
348 AM EDT Tue Sep 19 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (65-75 percent) until 4 am then
                    mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Areas of fog
                    until 10 am. A slight chance of showers after
                    3 am until 6 am then chance of showers. A
                    slight chance of thunderstorms after 8 am.
                    Chance of precipitation 50 percent.
Max temperature.....72-77.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Min humidity........69-78 percent.
   24 hr trend......5 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2500-3000 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (180).
Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of
                    showers until 11 pm. A slight chance of
                    thunderstorms until 2 am. A slight chance of
                    showers after 11 pm until 2 am. Chance of
                    precipitation 50 percent.
Min temperature.....59-64.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Max humidity........100 percent.
   24 hr trend......2 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......940-1140 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 10 mph becoming south after
                    midnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (0).
Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 81.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........59-69 percent.
   24 hr trend......12 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4750-5250 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (530).
Pcpn amount.........None.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the lower
80s. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid 80s.
South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid 80s.
South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid 80s.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows around 60. Highs in the lower 80s.

$$

DRK



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