Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6
000
FNUS53 KDTX 191954
FWFDTX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
347 PM EDT FRI SEP 19 2014

.DISCUSSION...
.A WARMER AND MORE MOIST AIRMASS WILL QUICKLY MOVE INTO THE REGION
TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS BECOMING LIKELY
SATURDAY. BREEZY SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS WILL DEVELOP AS WELL...WITH WIND
GUSTS TO 25-30 MPH LIKELY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO
REDEVELOP SUNDAY BEFORE A COOLER AND DRIER AIRMASS MOVES IN FOR THE
BEGINNING OF THE WORK WEEK.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-201400-
MIDLAND-BAY-SAGINAW-SHIAWASSEE-GENESEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MIDLAND-BAY CITY-SAGINAW-OWOSSO-FLINT
347 PM EDT FRI SEP 19 2014

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) UNTIL 6 AM...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AFTER 5 AM. POP...20 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....51-56.
   24 HR TREND......18 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........92-99 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......920-1120 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (40).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
                    UNTIL 2 PM...THEN SHOWERS LIKELY AND
                    CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. POP...70 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....71-76.
   24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........58-68 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2210-2710 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH...INCREASING TO AROUND
                    25 MPH BY AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (820).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.26-0.50 IN.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SHOWERS
                    LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL
                    MIDNIGHT...THEN CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT
                    CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. POP...60 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....56-61.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......560-760 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH...DECREASING TO AROUND
                    10 MPH LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (20).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SHOWERS
                    LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. POP...60
                    PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....63-68.
   24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........58-66 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 10 TO 15 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST LATE.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9190-9690 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 10 MPH...BECOMING NORTH LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1360).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-201400-
HURON-TUSCOLA-SANILAC-LAPEER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BAD AXE-CARO-SANDUSKY-LAPEER
347 PM EDT FRI SEP 19 2014

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). POP...20
                    PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....50-55.
   24 HR TREND......15 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........89-99 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......800-1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (20).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
                    UNTIL 2 PM...THEN SHOWERS LIKELY AND
                    CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. POP...80 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....72-77.
   24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........60-66 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1770-2270 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 20 TO 25 MPH...INCREASING TO AROUND
                    30 MPH LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (650).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.26-0.50 IN.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). SHOWERS LIKELY AND
                    CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL MIDNIGHT...THEN
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS. POP...60 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....55-60.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......660-860 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 25 MPH...BECOMING WEST 10 TO
                    15 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (20).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SHOWERS
                    LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. POP...60
                    PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....62-67.
   24 HR TREND......11 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........60-70 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH...BECOMING NORTH AROUND
                    15 MPH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7420-7920 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST
                    AROUND 15 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON...THEN...BECOMING NORTH LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1450).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-201400-
ST CLAIR-LIVINGSTON-OAKLAND-MACOMB-WASHTENAW-WAYNE-LENAWEE-MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...
PORT HURON-HOWELL-PONTIAC-WARREN-ANN ARBOR-DETROIT-ADRIAN-MONROE
347 PM EDT FRI SEP 19 2014

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (30-40 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....49-54.
   24 HR TREND......13 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........90-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2 PM. CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 2 PM.
                    POP...60 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....74-79.
   24 HR TREND......13 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........49-59 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3620-4120 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH...INCREASING TO 20 TO
                    25 MPH BY AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1180).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.26-0.50 IN.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SHOWERS LIKELY
                    AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL MIDNIGHT...THEN
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS. POP...60 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....59-64.
   24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........93-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......800-1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (20).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.26-0.50 IN.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). SHOWERS LIKELY
                    AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. POP...60 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....67-72.
   24 HR TREND......11 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........54-64 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 10 TO 15 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST LATE.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9490-9990 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 15 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND
                    20 MPH LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (2420).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
60S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 70S.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
70S.

$$

DT






USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.