Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI

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000
FNUS53 KGRR 221909
FWFGRR

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI
309 PM EDT Wed Mar 22 2017

...Dry tonight...

.DISCUSSION...Another dry and chilly night is expected. South winds
Thursday will pull moisture northward and dewpoints will being to increase.
Showers are expected to develop Thursday night as a front moves south from
Canada.




MIZ037>039-043>045-230815-
Mason-Lake-Osceola-Oceana-Newaygo-Mecosta-
Including the cities of Ludington, Baldwin, Reed City, Hart,
Fremont, and Big Rapids
309 PM EDT Wed Mar 22 2017

.Tonight...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
Min temperature.....9-14.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......20 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1300-1800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....100-200 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent).
Max temperature.....39-44.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........29-34 percent near Lake Michigan AND 21-26
                    percent Inland.
   24 hr trend......18 percent drier near Lake Michigan AND 14
                    percent drier Inland.
20-foot winds.......South winds 7 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......2400-2900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....500-600 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Scattered rain showers
                    until 2100, then numerous rain showers.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent.
Min temperature.....33-38.
   24 hr trend......21 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......South winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......700-1200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....100-200 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........0.10-0.27 in.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Numerous rain showers
                    until 1400, then scattered rain showers.
Chance of precipitation 60 percent.
Max temperature.....55-60.
   24 hr trend......11 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........69-74 percent.
   24 hr trend......54 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......0-500 ft AGL near Lake Michigan AND 900-1400 ft
                    AGL inland.
Transport winds.....Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....100-300 (poor to good).
Pcpn Amount.........0.03-0.29 in.


$$

MIZ040-046-230815-
Clare-Isabella-
Including the cities of Clare and Mount Pleasant
309 PM EDT Wed Mar 22 2017

.Tonight...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (20-30 percent).
Min temperature.....8-13.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......28 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 6 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1400-1900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....100 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent) until 1900, then
                    cloudy (85-95 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 42.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........23-28 percent.
   24 hr trend......2 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......2600-3100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....500-600 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Scattered rain showers
                    until 2100, then numerous rain showers.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 34.
   24 hr trend......21 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......500-1000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....100-200 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........0.14-0.20 in.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Scattered rain
                    showers.
Chance of precipitation 50 percent.
Max temperature.....55-60.
   24 hr trend......14 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........69-74 percent.
   24 hr trend......49 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......600-1100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....100-200 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........0.02-0.20 in.


$$

MIZ050-056-064-071-230815-
Muskegon-Ottawa-Allegan-Van Buren-
Including the cities of Muskegon, Grand Haven, Jenison, Holland,
and South Haven
309 PM EDT Wed Mar 22 2017

.Tonight...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
Min temperature.....16-21.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Max humidity........91-96 percent.
   24 hr trend......10 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southeast around 5 mph
                    overnight.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1200-1700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East around 5 mph shifting to the southeast
                    overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....100-200 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent).
Max temperature.....43-48.
   24 hr trend......10 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........24-29 percent.
   24 hr trend......14 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 8 to 13 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......2600-3100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....600-700 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Scattered rain
                    showers until 2100, then numerous rain showers
                    until 0200, then scattered rain showers.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent.
Min temperature.....37-42.
   24 hr trend......24 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........88-93 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......South winds 8 to 13 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......600-1100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....100-200 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.14 in.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent).
Max temperature.....63-68.
   24 hr trend......18 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........59-64 percent.
   24 hr trend......36 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 11 to 16 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......300-800 ft AGL near Lake Michigan AND 1600-2100
                    ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....Southwest 20 to 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....500-600 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.06 in.


$$

MIZ051-052-057>059-230815-
Montcalm-Gratiot-Kent-Ionia-Clinton-
Including the cities of Greenville, Alma, Grand Rapids, Ionia,
and St. Johns
309 PM EDT Wed Mar 22 2017

.Tonight...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent).
Min temperature.....13-18.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......14 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southeast around 5 mph
                    overnight.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1200-1700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....100 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 45.
   24 hr trend......10 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........22-27 percent.
   24 hr trend......13 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 8 to 13 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......2700-3200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....600-700 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Scattered rain showers
                    until 2100, then numerous rain showers until
                    0200, then scattered rain showers.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent.
Min temperature.....35-40.
   24 hr trend......23 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........88-93 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......South winds 7 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......200-700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....100 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........0.04-0.19 in.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Scattered rain showers
                    until 1400.
Chance of precipitation 30 percent.
Max temperature.....60-65.
   24 hr trend......17 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........65-70 percent.
   24 hr trend......48 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1400-1900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....400-500 (good to good).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.05 in.


$$

MIZ065>067-072>074-230815-
Barry-Eaton-Ingham-Kalamazoo-Calhoun-Jackson-
Including the cities of Hastings, Charlotte, Lansing, Kalamazoo,
Battle Creek, and Jackson
309 PM EDT Wed Mar 22 2017

.Tonight...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (20-30 percent).
Min temperature.....13-18.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......22 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southeast around 5 mph
                    overnight.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1200-1700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....100 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 45.
   24 hr trend......10 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........22-27 percent.
   24 hr trend......10 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 8 to 13 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......2600-3100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....600-700 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Scattered rain
                    showers until 2100, then numerous rain showers
                    until 0200, then scattered rain showers.
Chance of precipitation 60 percent.
Min temperature.....36-41.
   24 hr trend......23 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........88-93 percent.
   24 hr trend......13 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South winds 8 to 13 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......100-600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....100 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........0.01-0.18 in.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 66.
   24 hr trend......19 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........59-64 percent.
   24 hr trend......40 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 12 to 17 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......1600-2100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....500-600 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$


.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Cloudy. Numerous showers in the evening, then
periods of showers overnight. Lows in the mid 40s. Southwest winds
5 to 8 mph shifting to the southeast 5 to 7 mph overnight.
.SATURDAY...Cloudy with periods of showers. Highs around 50. East
winds 7 to 12 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Cloudy. Periods of showers in the evening, then
numerous showers overnight. Lows in the lower 40s. East winds 7 to
12 mph.
.SUNDAY...Cloudy with numerous showers. Highs in the lower 50s. East
winds 6 to 11 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. North winds
5 to 9 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs in the mid 50s. Northwest winds 5 to
9 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with scattered showers. Lows around
40.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 50s.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs around 50.



$$


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