Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI

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FNUS53 KGRR 231929
FWFGRR

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
329 PM EDT THU OCT 23 2014

...SMALL CHANCE OF RAIN TONIGHT OTHWERWISE DRY AND MILD...

.DISCUSSION...
A GENERALLY DRY AND MILD PERIOD IS EXPECTED FOR LOWER MICHIGAN
THROUGH THE COMING WEEKEND. THERE WILL BE A COUPLE OF CHANCES OF
SOME LIGHT RAIN FOR TONIGHT AND AGAIN ON MONDAY WITH A COUPLE OF
DIFFERENT WEAK FRONTAL SYSTEMS. OTHERWISE CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN
RATHER QUIET FOR THE AREA. TEMPERATURES WILL LIKELY TOP OUT AROUND
60 OR EVEN IN THE 60S THROUGH THE UPCOMING WEEKEND.

A BETTER CHANCE OF RAIN WILL COME NEXT WEEK DURING THE TUESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY TIME PERIOD.


MIZ037>039-043>045-240830-
MASON-LAKE-OSCEOLA-OCEANA-NEWAYGO-MECOSTA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUDINGTON...BALDWIN...REED CITY...HART...
FREMONT...BIG RAPIDS
329 PM EDT THU OCT 23 2014

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....37-42.
   24 HR TREND......11 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1300-1800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...100-200 (POOR TO FAIR).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.03 IN.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (65-75 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....54-59.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........67-72 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......20 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200-2700 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
                    3200-3700 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...300-400 (GOOD TO GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) UNTIL 0500...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....40-45.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-1000 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
                    2400-2900 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...200-300 (FAIR TO GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) UNTIL 1200...THEN
                    MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....59-64.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........45-50 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......22 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...WEST WINDS 11 TO 16 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-1500 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
                    3100-3600 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...500 (GOOD) INCREASING TO 1000 (EXCELLENT) IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ040-046-240830-
CLARE-ISABELLA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLARE...MOUNT PLEASANT
329 PM EDT THU OCT 23 2014

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) UNTIL 2300...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 2400.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....36-41.
   24 HR TREND......15 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1100-1600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 0 TO 5 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...0-100 (POOR TO POOR).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.01 IN.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 56.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MIN HUMIDITY........69-74 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......29 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3400-3900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...200-400 (FAIR TO GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) UNTIL 0600...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 43.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2800-3300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...200-300 (FAIR TO GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT) UNTIL 1900...THEN
                    SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 62.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........46-51 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......23 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...WEST WINDS 11 TO 16 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1900-2400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4200-4700 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH INCREASING TO NORTHWEST
                    AROUND 25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...600 (EXCELLENT) INCREASING TO 1200 (EXCELLENT)
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ050-056-064-071-240830-
MUSKEGON-OTTAWA-ALLEGAN-VAN BUREN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MUSKEGON...JENISON...HOLLAND...SOUTH HAVEN
329 PM EDT THU OCT 23 2014

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS AFTER 2100.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 46.
   24 HR TREND......18 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1800-2300 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
                    1100-1600 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...100-200 (POOR TO FAIR).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.03 IN.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) UNTIL 1700...THEN
                    MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....57-62.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........62-67 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......22 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2800-3300 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
                    4000-4500 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...300-500 (GOOD TO GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) UNTIL 0500...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....45-50.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2400-2900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...300 (GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT) UNTIL 1800...THEN
                    SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....61-66.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........48-53 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......14 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1400-1900 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
                    2800-3300 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...400-800 (GOOD TO EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ051-052-057>059-240830-
MONTCALM-GRATIOT-KENT-IONIA-CLINTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GREENVILLE...ALMA...GRAND RAPIDS...IONIA...
ST. JOHNS
329 PM EDT THU OCT 23 2014

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) UNTIL 2300...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 2200.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....40-45.
   24 HR TREND......15 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-1500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...0 (POOR).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.02 IN.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (65-75 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 59.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........67-72 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......21 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3800-4300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...200-400 (FAIR TO GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) UNTIL 0600...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....42-47.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000-2500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...200 (FAIR).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT) UNTIL 1800...THEN
                    SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 63.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........48-53 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......19 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1900-2400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3900-4400 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH INCREASING TO WEST
                    AROUND 25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...500 (GOOD) INCREASING TO 1100 (EXCELLENT) IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ065>067-072>074-240830-
BARRY-EATON-INGHAM-KALAMAZOO-CALHOUN-JACKSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HASTINGS...CHARLOTTE...LANSING...
KALAMAZOO...BATTLE CREEK...JACKSON
329 PM EDT THU OCT 23 2014

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) UNTIL 0100...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) UNTIL 0600...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 2200.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....41-46.
   24 HR TREND......18 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH
                    OVERNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......0-400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...0 (POOR).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.02 IN.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 59.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........67-72 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......24 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4300-4800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...200-500 (FAIR TO GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) UNTIL 0600...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 47.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2600-3100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...200-300 (FAIR TO GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT) UNTIL 1900...THEN
                    SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........48-53 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......19 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500-3000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...400-800 (GOOD TO EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$


.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS
6 TO 11 MPH.
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST 5 TO 7 MPH OVERNIGHT.
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS 6 TO
11 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...WARMER. PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTH
WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S.
.WEDNESDAY...COOLER. PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE MID 50S.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S.



$$






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