Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI

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FNUS53 KGRR 031945
FWFGRR

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
345 PM EDT TUE MAY 3 2016

...RAIN SHOWERS TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT WILL DROP SOUTH INTO THE LOWER PENINSULA TONIGHT AND
MOVE EAST OF THE AREA ON WEDNESDAY. SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT
WITH AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM POSSIBLE. THE RAIN SHOWERS WILL
LINGER THROUGH MUCH OF WEDNESDAY ESPECIALLY OVER CENTRAL AND
EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE STATE. RAIN SHOWERS WILL GRADUALLY MOVE
SOUTH AND EAST OF THE REGION WEDNESDAY NIGHT. IT WILL BE COOL
TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING AS SOME COLDER CANADIAN ORIGIN AIR
FILTERS SOUTH ON NORTHERLY WINDS.

MIZ037>039-043>045-040815-
MASON-LAKE-OSCEOLA-OCEANA-NEWAYGO-MECOSTA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUDINGTON...BALDWIN...REED CITY...HART...
FREMONT...BIG RAPIDS
345 PM EDT TUE MAY 3 2016

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 0500. RAIN SHOWERS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......80 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....39-44.
   24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTHWEST AROUND 9 MPH OVERNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-800 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 2500-3000
                    FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTHWEST OVERNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...1100 (EXCELLENT) DECREASING TO 600 (EXCELLENT)
                    OVERNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.21-0.28 IN.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....46-51.
   24 HR TREND......19 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........65-70 PERCENT NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 56-61
                    PERCENT INLAND.
   24 HR TREND......21 PERCENT WETTER NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 35
                    PERCENT WETTER INLAND.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTH WINDS 14 TO 19 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500-3000 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
                    3400-3900 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 25 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...900-1000 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.03-0.28 IN.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) UNTIL 0600...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 38.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTH WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2300-2800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 25 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 10 MPH
                    OVERNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...700 (EXCELLENT) DECREASING TO 200 (FAIR)
                    OVERNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.03 IN.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT) UNTIL 1900...THEN
                    SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....59-64.
   24 HR TREND......14 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........49-54 PERCENT NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 41-46
                    PERCENT INLAND.
   24 HR TREND......16 PERCENT DRIER NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 20
                    PERCENT DRIER INLAND.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTH WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200-2700 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
                    6200-6700 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...300-500 (GOOD TO GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ040-046-040815-
CLARE-ISABELLA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLARE...MOUNT PLEASANT
345 PM EDT TUE MAY 3 2016

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 2300...THEN RAIN SHOWERS AND A
                    CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......80 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 45.
   24 HR TREND......12 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........91-96 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6400-6900 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1700-2200 FT AGL
                    OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...900 (EXCELLENT) DECREASING TO 400 (GOOD)
                    OVERNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.16-0.24 IN.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY.
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....49-54.
   24 HR TREND......17 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........63-68 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......42 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000-4500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...900 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.19-0.34 IN.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 40.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTH WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2100-2600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 20 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 10 MPH
                    OVERNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...200-600 (FAIR TO EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.03 IN.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 63.
   24 HR TREND......13 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........43-48 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......27 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTH WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7000-7500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...500 (GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ050-056-064-071-040815-
MUSKEGON-OTTAWA-ALLEGAN-VAN BUREN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MUSKEGON...GRAND HAVEN...JENISON...
HOLLAND...SOUTH HAVEN
345 PM EDT TUE MAY 3 2016

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) UNTIL 2200...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 2300. CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS. RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 2300.
CHANCE OF PCPN......80 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....42-47.
   24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......700-1200 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
                    2100-2600 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...200-300 (FAIR TO GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.19-0.29 IN.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS
                    LIKELY UNTIL 1400...THEN A CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....47-52.
   24 HR TREND......16 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........58-63 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......37 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTH WINDS 14 TO 19 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3600-4100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 20 TO 25 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...900-1200 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.06-0.21 IN.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) UNTIL 0600...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 41.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........88-93 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTH WINDS 11 TO 16 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200-2700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 25 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 15 MPH
                    OVERNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...300-700 (GOOD TO EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.05 IN.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT) UNTIL 1900...THEN
                    SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....59-64.
   24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........43-48 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......18 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHWEST WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3300-3800 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
                    5900-6400 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...400-600 (GOOD TO EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ051-052-057>059-040815-
MONTCALM-GRATIOT-KENT-IONIA-CLINTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GREENVILLE...ALMA...GRAND RAPIDS...IONIA...
ST. JOHNS
345 PM EDT TUE MAY 3 2016

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) UNTIL 2200...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 2300...THEN RAIN SHOWERS AND
                    A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......80 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....43-48.
   24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500-3000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...400-500 (GOOD TO GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.10-0.28 IN.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......NEAR 100 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....51-56.
   24 HR TREND......16 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........61-66 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......32 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5100-5600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 15 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 25 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...800-900 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.12-0.41 IN.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 41.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2100-2600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...300-700 (GOOD TO EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.09 IN.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 63.
   24 HR TREND......12 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........44-49 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......16 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTH WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7000-7500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...600-800 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ065>067-072>074-040815-
BARRY-EATON-INGHAM-KALAMAZOO-CALHOUN-JACKSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HASTINGS...CHARLOTTE...LANSING...
KALAMAZOO...BATTLE CREEK...JACKSON
345 PM EDT TUE MAY 3 2016

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) UNTIL 2300...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 0200. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
                    AFTER 2300. RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 0200.
CHANCE OF PCPN......80 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 47.
   24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........88-93 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5700-6200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1200-1700 FT AGL
                    OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...200-300 (FAIR TO GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.04-0.23 IN.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......80 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....51-56.
   24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........62-67 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......32 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTHWEST AROUND 12 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7700-8200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 10 MPH INCREASING TO NORTH AROUND
                    25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...1400-1500 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.18-0.45 IN.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 42.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........91-96 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTH WINDS 11 TO 16 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2700-3200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 25 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 15 MPH
                    OVERNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...300-600 (GOOD TO EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.09 IN.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 62.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........48-53 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......14 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTH WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5500-6000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7800-8300 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...800-1200 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$


.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 70. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...WARMER. MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...COLDER. PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
50.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS AROUND 70.



$$



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