Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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FNUS52 KILM 221958
FWFILM

Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
258 PM EST Thu Feb 22 2018

.DISCUSSION...
Warm and humid conditions will continue for a few more days as
the area remains under the influence of high pressure offshore.
A cold front will move across the region early next week bringing
a chance for rain with slightly cooler conditions in it`s wake.

Fog potential for tonight...high.

NCZ105>110-231200-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
258 PM EST Thu Feb 22 2018

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud amount          MClear       PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0            20
Precip type           None         None         None         Showers
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          54           82           58           80
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S  4         S  3         S  4         SW  4
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     LGT/VAR      S  8         SW  4        SW  8
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.02
Precip duration                                              1
Inversion             1800         66/0900      1800         68/0900
Dispersion            Very Poor                 Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        100          57           100          54
DSI                                3                         3
Haines Index          4            4            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                4750                      4520
Transport wnd (mph)                S 12                      SW 20
Ventilation rate                   57000                     90400
ADI early             6 Very poor  29 Fair      8 poor       64 Good
ADI late              1 Very poor  47 Gen good  9 poor       73 Good
Max LVORI early       6            9            5            5
Max LVORI late        10           2            6            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the upper 70s. Minimum RH 64 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers.
Lows around 60. Maximum RH 96 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers. Highs
around 70. Minimum RH 63 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Cooler. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 82 percent. North winds
10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
87 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
45 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 87 percent. South winds
5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 58 percent. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.

$$

NCZ096-099-231200-
Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Elizabethtown, Bladenboro, Whiteville,
Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
258 PM EST Thu Feb 22 2018

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0            20
Precip type           None         None         None         Showers
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          56           82           59           80
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S  4         S  3         S  5         SW  6
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     S  3         S  7         SW  5        SW  8
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.02
Precip duration                                              1
Inversion             1800         66/0900      1800         68/0900
Dispersion            Poor                      Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        100          53           100          53
DSI                                3                         3
Haines Index          4            4            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                4870                      4520
Transport wnd (mph)                S 15                      SW 18
Ventilation rate                   73050                     81360
ADI early             5 Very poor  30 Fair      12 poor      63 Good
ADI late              2 Very poor  64 Good      11 poor      73 Good
Max LVORI early       6            9            4            5
Max LVORI late        10           1            6            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
97 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the lower 80s. Minimum RH 56 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers.
Lows around 60. Maximum RH 93 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers. Cooler.
Highs around 70. Minimum RH 60 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Cooler. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 82 percent. North winds
around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 40 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
86 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
42 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 85 percent. South winds
around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 55 percent. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.

$$

NCZ087-231200-
Robeson-
Including the city of Lumberton
258 PM EST Thu Feb 22 2018

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0            20
Precip type           None         None         None         Showers
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          59           81           60           81
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S  5         S  4         S  6         SW  7
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     S  4         S  8         SW  6        SW 10
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.03
Precip duration                                              1
Inversion             1800         65/0900      1800         69/0900
Dispersion            Fair                      Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        100          52           100          52
DSI                                3                         3
Haines Index          4            4            3            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                4860                      4430
Transport wnd (mph)                S 15                      SW 18
Ventilation rate                   72900                     79740
ADI early             4 Very poor  30 Fair      23 Fair      48 Gen good
ADI late              2 Very poor  61 Good      14 Gen poor  54 Gen good
Max LVORI early       6            9            4            5
Max LVORI late        10           2            5            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
95 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the lower 80s. Minimum RH 53 percent. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers.
Lows around 60. Maximum RH 91 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers. Cooler.
Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 58 percent. Northwest winds
around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Cooler. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 81 percent. North winds
around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 39 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
83 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
40 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers. Lows around 50. Maximum RH 85 percent. South winds around
5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 54 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ054>056-058-059-231200-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee, North Myrtle Beach,
Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown, Murrells Inlet,
Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris, Green Sea, and Aynor
258 PM EST Thu Feb 22 2018

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0            20
Precip type           None         None         None         Showers
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          57           82           59           81
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S  4         SE  4        S  5         SW  6
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     LGT/VAR      S  9         SW  4        SW  8
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.02
Precip duration                                              1
Inversion             1800         66/0900      1800         70/0900
Dispersion            Very Poor                 Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        100          57           99           54
DSI                                3                         3
Haines Index          4            4            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                4850                      4680
Transport wnd (mph)                S 12                      SW 17
Ventilation rate                   58200                     79560
ADI early             5 Very poor  29 Fair      14 Gen poor  57 Gen good
ADI late              1 Very poor  43 Gen good  9 poor       65 Good
Max LVORI early       6            9            4            5
Max LVORI late        9            2            6            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
98 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the upper 70s. Minimum RH 60 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 94 percent. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers. Highs
around 70. Minimum RH 64 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Cooler. Lows around 50. Maximum RH 85 percent. North winds 5 to
10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
86 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
49 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 88 percent. South winds
5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 59 percent. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.

$$

SCZ032-033-039-231200-
Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree
258 PM EST Thu Feb 22 2018

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0            20
Precip type           None         None         None         Showers
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          59           82           59           81
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S  5         S  3         S  5         SW  6
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     S  3         S  7         S  5         SW  8
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.02
Precip duration                                              1
Inversion             1800         66/0900      1800         69/0900
Dispersion            Poor                      Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        100          52           99           49
DSI                                3                         3
Haines Index          4            4            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                4920                      4650
Transport wnd (mph)                S 15                      SW 16
Ventilation rate                   73800                     74400
ADI early             3 Very poor  30 Fair      22 Fair      57 Gen good
ADI late              2 Very poor  61 Good      9 poor       60 Gen good
Max LVORI early       6            9            4            5
Max LVORI late        10           1            6            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
95 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the lower 80s. Minimum RH 53 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 92 percent. West winds around
5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers. Cooler.
Highs around 70. Minimum RH 61 percent. Northwest winds around
5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Cooler. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 85 percent. North winds
around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 40 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
86 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 44 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 88 percent. South winds
around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 55 percent. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-231200-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon
258 PM EST Thu Feb 22 2018

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0            20
Precip type           None         None         None         Showers
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          60           82           60           81
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S  5         S  3         S  6         SW  7
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     S  4         S  7         SW  6        SW 10
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.03
Precip duration                                              1
Inversion             1800         65/0900      1800         69/0900
Dispersion            Fair                      Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        97           51           99           51
DSI                                3                         3
Haines Index          4            4            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                4860                      4470
Transport wnd (mph)                S 14                      SW 18
Ventilation rate                   68040                     80460
ADI early             4 Very poor  30 Fair      14 Gen poor  61 Good
ADI late              2 Very poor  56 Gen good  13 Gen poor  66 Good
Max LVORI early       6            9            4            5
Max LVORI late        10           2            5            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
94 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the lower 80s. Minimum RH 53 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers.
Lows around 60. Maximum RH 90 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers. Cooler.
Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 60 percent. Northwest winds
around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Cooler. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 82 percent. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 39 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
83 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 42 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 86 percent. South winds
around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 54 percent. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures below normal.  Precipitation near normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

15



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