Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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FNUS52 KILM 242021
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Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
421 PM EDT Sun Sep 24 2017

.DISCUSSION...
High pressure will maintain warm and dry weather into Monday.
Hurricane Maria will remain well offshore from the forecast area
as it moves northward thru the mid-week period. It will be at
it`s closest approach late Mon thru Wed resulting in breezy
winds and a low chance of rain mainly from Cape Fear northward.
A cold front is expected to reach the area Friday, bringing
cooler weather and dry conditions for the upcoming weekend.

Fog potential for tonight...None.

NCZ105>110-251230-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
421 PM EDT Sun Sep 24 2017

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        MCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            30           30
Precip type           None         None         Showers      Showers
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          66           83           69           84
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    NE  7        N  9         N 10         N 12 G23
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     NE  8        N 10         N  9         N 13 G24
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.03         0.07
Precip duration                                 1            1
Inversion             1800         71/0900      1800         73/0900
Dispersion            Good                      Excellent
Max/Min RH (%)        96           59           96           64
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          4            3            2            2
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                3830                      3560
Transport wnd (mph)                NE 21                     N 20
Ventilation rate                   80430                     71200
ADI early             55 Gen good  38 Fair      36 Fair      48 Gen good
ADI late              6 Very poor  56 Gen good  10 poor      52 Gen good
Max LVORI early       5            6            5            6
Max LVORI late        6            1            6            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 91 percent. North winds 15 to
20 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 59 percent. North winds 15 to 20 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
91 percent. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
57 percent. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
82 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
48 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
87 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 50 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
83 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 52 percent.
North winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

NCZ096-099-251230-
Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Elizabethtown, Bladenboro, Whiteville,
Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
421 PM EDT Sun Sep 24 2017

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0            20
Precip type           None         None         None         Showers
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          65           84           68           86
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    NE  6        NE  8        NE  8        N  9
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     NE  7        NE 10        N  7         N 11
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.04
Precip duration                                              1
Inversion             1800         70/0900      1800         72/0900
Dispersion            Fair                      Good
Max/Min RH (%)        93           56           97           60
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          4            3            2            2
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                4700                      3980
Transport wnd (mph)                NE 20                     N 20
Ventilation rate                   94000                     79600
ADI early             55 Gen good  39 Fair      37 Fair      45 Gen good
ADI late              6 Very poor  57 Gen good  8 poor       54 Gen good
Max LVORI early       4            6            5            6
Max LVORI late        5            1            6            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 92 percent. North winds around
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 53 percent. North winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
90 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 50 percent.
North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
81 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
43 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 60. Maximum RH
86 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 45 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
83 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ087-251230-
Robeson-
Including the city of Lumberton
421 PM EDT Sun Sep 24 2017

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud amount          MClear       PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          64           86           67           87
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    NE  6        NE  9        NE  8        N 10
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     NE  7        NE 12        N  7         N 12
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             1800         69/0900      1800         72/0900
Dispersion            Fair                      Good
Max/Min RH (%)        91           51           95           56
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          5            3            3            2
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                5480                      4260
Transport wnd (mph)                NE 18                     N 20
Ventilation rate                   98640                     85200
ADI early             58 Gen good  34 Fair      36 Fair      44 Gen good
ADI late              7 poor       56 Gen good  9 poor       55 Gen good
Max LVORI early       3            5            4            6
Max LVORI late        5            1            6            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
92 percent. North winds around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
49 percent. North winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
91 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
80 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 39 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 60. Maximum RH
85 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 41 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
83 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ053>056-251230-
Inland Horry-Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-
Including the cities of Conway, Red Hill, Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown,
and Murrells Inlet
421 PM EDT Sun Sep 24 2017

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          66           84           68           86
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    NE  7        NE  9        N  8         N 10
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     NE  7        NE 11        N  8         N 11 G20
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             1800         70/0900      1800         73/0900
Dispersion            Fair                      Good
Max/Min RH (%)        91           56           94           58
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          4            3            3            2
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                4550                      3840
Transport wnd (mph)                NE 17                     N 17
Ventilation rate                   77350                     65280
ADI early             51 Gen good  33 Fair      35 Fair      42 Gen good
ADI late              5 Very poor  51 Gen good  9 poor       47 Gen good
Max LVORI early       4            6            4            6
Max LVORI late        5            1            5            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
89 percent. North winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
55 percent. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
90 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 50 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
84 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
49 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
86 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 53 percent.
East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
84 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 52 percent.
Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

SCZ032-033-039-251230-
Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree
421 PM EDT Sun Sep 24 2017

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          65           86           67           87
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    NE  6        NE  8        NE  7        N  9
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     NE  6        NE 10        N  6         N 10
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             1800         70/0900      1800         72/0900
Dispersion            Fair                      Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        91           52           93           55
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          5            3            3            2
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                5320                      4190
Transport wnd (mph)                NE 16                     N 16
Ventilation rate                   85120                     67040
ADI early             55 Gen good  32 Fair      43 Gen good  39 Fair
ADI late              4 Very poor  52 Gen good  7 poor       50 Gen good
Max LVORI early       4            6            5            6
Max LVORI late        6            1            6            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
92 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 48 percent.
North winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
89 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
82 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 43 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
86 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 47 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
84 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-251230-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon
421 PM EDT Sun Sep 24 2017

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          64           87           67           87
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    NE  5        NE  8        NE  6        N  9
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     NE  6        NE 11        N  6         N 10
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             1800         70/0900      1800         72/0900
Dispersion            Fair                      Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        89           47           93           54
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          5            2            3            2
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                5820                      4430
Transport wnd (mph)                NE 16                     N 16
Ventilation rate                   93120                     70880
ADI early             56 Gen good  33 Fair      44 Gen good  37 Fair
ADI late              4 Very poor  53 Gen good  8 poor       57 Gen good
Max LVORI early       3            5            5            6
Max LVORI late        5            1            5            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
91 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 47 percent.
North winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
88 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 44 percent. North
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
80 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 39 percent. North
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 60. Maximum RH
84 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 42 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
81 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

dough



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