Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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000
FNUS52 KILM 040934
FWFILM

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST
FOR NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
434 AM EST WED MAR 4 2015

.DISCUSSION...
A WARM FRONT WILL LIFT NORTH ACROSS THE AREA THIS MORNING...WITH
DENSE FOG BECOMING LIMITED TO THE BEACHES THIS AFTERNOON. THIS
SHOULD BE THE WARMEST DAY OF THE YEAR INLAND FROM THE COAST! AN
ARCTIC COLD FRONT WILL DROP SOUTH ACROSS THE CAROLINAS LATE
THURSDAY AFTERNOON. UNSEASONABLY COLD WEATHER WILL BUILD IN
THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN
FOR THE WEEKEND...MOVING OFFSHORE EARLY NEXT WEEK.

WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE.

FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT...MODERATE INLAND...HIGH NEAR THE BEACHES.

NCZ105>110-050145-
INLAND PENDER-COASTAL PENDER-INLAND NEW HANOVER-COASTAL NEW HANOVER-
INLAND BRUNSWICK-COASTAL BRUNSWICK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BURGAW...SURF CITY...TOPSAIL BEACH...
WILMINGTON...CAROLINA BEACH...WRIGHTSVILLE BEACH...LELAND...
BOLIVIA...SHALLOTTE...OCEAN ISLE BEACH...HOLDEN BEACH...OAK ISLAND...
SOUTHPORT
434 AM EST WED MAR 4 2015

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        20           0            50
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         RAIN
LAL                   1            1            1
MAX/MIN TEMP          77           58           67
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH)    SW  9 G20    SW 10        SW 10
WND20FT/LATE(MPH)     SW 14 G23    SW 10        W 13 G22
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.03
PRECIP DURATION       1                         1
INVERSION             63/1100      1800         64/1000
MIN/MAX RH (%)        64           99           55
DSI                   2                         1
HAINES INDEX          3            4            4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   2250                      2010
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 26                     SW 21
VENTILATION RATE      58500                     42210
ADI EARLY             26 FAIR      15 GEN POOR  21 FAIR
ADI LATE              62 GOOD      13 GEN POOR  39 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY       8            5            6
MAX LVORI LATE        4            7            3

REMARKS...AREAS WITHIN 5 MILES OF THE COAST WILL HAVE TEMPERATURES
AS MUCH AS 15 DEGREES COOLER THAN FARTHER INLAND. FOG MAY CONTINUE
ALL DAY AT THE IMMEDIATE COAST.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...BREEZY. CLOUDY WITH RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER
30S. MAXIMUM RH 74 PERCENT. CHANCE OF RAIN 70 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS
20 TO 25 MPH.
.FRIDAY...BREEZY. MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. MINIMUM RH 42 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 20 TO
25 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. MAXIMUM RH
77 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH
48 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. MAXIMUM RH
88 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH 55 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. MAXIMUM RH 94 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
AROUND 60. MINIMUM RH 62 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. MAXIMUM RH 95 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 57 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO
15 MPH.

$$

NCZ096-099-050145-
BLADEN-COLUMBUS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ELIZABETHTOWN...WHITEVILLE
434 AM EST WED MAR 4 2015

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        20           0            70
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         RAIN
LAL                   1            1            1
MAX/MIN TEMP          78           60           69
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH)    SW  9 G20    S 10         SW  9
WND20FT/LATE(MPH)     SW 15 G25    SW 10        W 12 G21
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.05
PRECIP DURATION       1                         2
INVERSION             64/1100      1800         66/1100
MIN/MAX RH (%)        65           99           52
DSI                   2                         1
HAINES INDEX          3            4            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   3190                      2570
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 30                     NW 25
VENTILATION RATE      95700                     64250
ADI EARLY             28 FAIR      15 GEN POOR  33 FAIR
ADI LATE              75 GOOD      13 GEN POOR  59 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       8            6            5
MAX LVORI LATE        4            7            2

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH RAIN LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF LIGHT
SLEET. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. MAXIMUM RH 70 PERCENT. CHANCE OF
PRECIPITATION 70 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS AROUND 40. MINIMUM RH 39 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. MAXIMUM RH
73 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. NOT AS COOL. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH
46 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. MAXIMUM RH
87 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH
51 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS AROUND 40. MAXIMUM RH 93 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 58 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. MAXIMUM RH 93 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 55 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.

$$

NCZ087-SCZ017-024-050145-
ROBESON-MARLBORO-DILLON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUMBERTON...BENNETTSVILLE...DILLON
434 AM EST WED MAR 4 2015

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        20           0            80
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         RAIN
LAL                   1            1            1
MAX/MIN TEMP          78           61           67
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH)    SW  8        SW  9        SW  9
WND20FT/LATE(MPH)     SW 16 G26    SW 10        NW 11 G21
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.09
PRECIP DURATION       1                         5
INVERSION             63/1100      1800         64/1100
MIN/MAX RH (%)        58           99           53
DSI                   2                         1
HAINES INDEX          3            4            2
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   3770                      2600
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 28                     NW 26
VENTILATION RATE      105560                    67600
ADI EARLY             24 FAIR      16 GEN POOR  33 FAIR
ADI LATE              77 GOOD      12 POOR      58 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       8            5            6
MAX LVORI LATE        4            7            2

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...RAIN AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF LIGHT SLEET. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 20S. MAXIMUM RH 68 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION
80 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. MINIMUM RH
38 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. MAXIMUM RH
72 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. NOT AS COOL. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH
44 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. MAXIMUM RH
85 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH
48 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. MAXIMUM RH
90 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 54 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. MAXIMUM RH 90 PERCENT. LIGHT AND VARIABLE
WIND.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 53 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.

$$

SCZ053>056-050145-
INLAND HORRY-COASTAL HORRY-INLAND GEORGETOWN-COASTAL GEORGETOWN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CONWAY...MYRTLE BEACH...
NORTH MYRTLE BEACH...GARDEN CITY...ANDREWS...GEORGETOWN...
MURRELLS INLET
434 AM EST WED MAR 4 2015

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        0            0            50
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         RAIN
LAL                   1            1            1
MAX/MIN TEMP          80           60           74
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH)    SW  9 G20    S 10         SW 11
WND20FT/LATE(MPH)     SW 15 G24    SW 10        W 14 G22
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.03
PRECIP DURATION                                 1
INVERSION             64/1100      1800         67/1000
MIN/MAX RH (%)        61           99           51
DSI                   2                         1
HAINES INDEX          3            4            4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   3470                      2190
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 26                     SW 25
VENTILATION RATE      90220                     54750
ADI EARLY             26 FAIR      15 GEN POOR  31 FAIR
ADI LATE              72 GOOD      12 POOR      53 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       8            5            6
MAX LVORI LATE        3            6            2

REMARKS...AREAS WITHIN 3-5 MILES OF THE COAST WILL HAVE TEMPERATURES
AS MUCH AS 15 DEGREES COOLER THAN FARTHER INLAND. FOG MAY CONTINUE
ALL DAY AT THE IMMEDIATE COAST.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...BREEZY. CLOUDY WITH RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER
30S. MAXIMUM RH 76 PERCENT. CHANCE OF RAIN 70 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS
20 TO 25 MPH.
.FRIDAY...BREEZY. MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. MINIMUM RH 45 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 20 TO
25 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. MAXIMUM RH
80 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. NOT AS COOL. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S.
MINIMUM RH 52 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. MAXIMUM RH
88 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH 55 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. MAXIMUM RH 92 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 64 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE MID 40S. MAXIMUM RH 96 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 62 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO
15 MPH.

$$

SCZ023-032-033-039-050145-
DARLINGTON-FLORENCE-MARION-WILLIAMSBURG-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DARLINGTON...FLORENCE...MARION...KINGSTREE
434 AM EST WED MAR 4 2015

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU

CLOUD AMOUNT          PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        0            0            80
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         RAIN
LAL                   1            1            1
MAX/MIN TEMP          80           61           74
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH)    SW  9 G21    S  9         SW 10
WND20FT/LATE(MPH)     SW 15 G25    SW  9        W 14 G21
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.06
PRECIP DURATION                                 2
INVERSION             64/1100      1800         68/1100
MIN/MAX RH (%)        58           99           51
DSI                   2                         1
HAINES INDEX          3            4            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   4200                      2700
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 29                     W 28
VENTILATION RATE      121800                    75600
ADI EARLY             29 FAIR      14 GEN POOR  38 FAIR
ADI LATE              81 GOOD      11 POOR      65 GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       8            6            8
MAX LVORI LATE        3            7            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S.
MAXIMUM RH 70 PERCENT. CHANCE OF RAIN 70 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 10 TO
15 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. MINIMUM RH
41 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. MAXIMUM RH
77 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. NOT AS COOL. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH
48 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. MAXIMUM RH
87 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
AROUND 60. MINIMUM RH 50 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. MAXIMUM RH 92 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 58 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. MAXIMUM RH 93 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 54 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION ABOVE NORMAL.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.

$$

TRA





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