Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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FNUS52 KILM 301918
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Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
318 PM EDT Thu Mar 30 2017

.DISCUSSION...
An upper level system will bring plenty of showers and storms tonight
into early tomorrow ahead of a cold front. High pressure will build
back in over the area this weekend. Another storm system will affect
the region late next Monday.

Fog potential for tonight...None.

NCZ105>110-311130-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
318 PM EDT Thu Mar 30 2017

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud amount          PCldy        MCldy        PCldy        MClear
Precip chc (%)        50           100          40           0
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms        None
LAL                   3            5            3            1
Min/Max Temp          59           76           56           77
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SE  8        S 11 G20     SW 10 G23    NW  7
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SE 10        SW 15 G25    W  7         NW  7
Precip amount         0.11         0.48         0.02         0.00
Precip duration       1            9            0
Inversion             2000         68/1000      2000         61/0900
Dispersion            Good                      Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        89           59           84           41
DSI                                2                         3
Haines Index          4            3            4            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                4650                      5620
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 35                     NW 20
Ventilation rate                   162750                    112400
ADI early             44 Gen good  62 Good      54 Gen good  68 Good
ADI late              10 poor      101 Very good5 Very poor  85 Good
Max LVORI early       4            5            4            4
Max LVORI late        5            3            4            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
88 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 48 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 52 percent.
Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 98 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. South winds 15 to 20 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 60 percent.
Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
51 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
93 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 58 percent. West
winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

NCZ096-099-311130-
Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Elizabethtown, Bladenboro, Whiteville,
Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
318 PM EDT Thu Mar 30 2017

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud amount          MCldy        MCldy        PCldy        MClear
Precip chc (%)        50           90           40           0
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms        None
LAL                   3            5            3            1
Min/Max Temp          60           77           55           77
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SE  8        S 10         W  9         NW  6
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SE  9        SW 14 G22    W  6         NW  8
Precip amount         0.13         0.42         0.02         0.00
Precip duration       1            7            0
Inversion             2000         68/1000      2000         60/0900
Dispersion            Good                      Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        92           53           87           40
DSI                                2                         3
Haines Index          3            3            4            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                4860                      5310
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 24                     NW 21
Ventilation rate                   116640                    111510
ADI early             46 Gen good  53 Gen good  40 Fair      60 Gen good
ADI late              9 poor       81 Good      4 Very poor  87 Good
Max LVORI early       4            5            3            5
Max LVORI late        5            3            5            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 50. Maximum RH
89 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 42 percent. East
winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Lows around 60. Maximum RH 94 percent. Chance of precipitation
70 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 55 percent. West
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
44 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
86 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 57 percent. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ087-311130-
Robeson-
Including the city of Lumberton
318 PM EDT Thu Mar 30 2017

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud amount          MCldy        MCldy        PCldy        MClear
Precip chc (%)        60           90           0            0
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        None         None
LAL                   4            5            1            1
Min/Max Temp          60           78           54           78
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SE 10        S 11         W 10         NW  6
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SE 10        SW 15 G22    W  6         NW  8
Precip amount         0.15         0.34         0.00         0.00
Precip duration       2            6
Inversion             2000         67/1000      2000         59/0900
Dispersion            Excellent                 Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        94           51           88           39
DSI                                2                         3
Haines Index          3            3            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                5190                      5250
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 24                     NW 21
Ventilation rate                   124560                    110250
ADI early             54 Gen good  40 Fair      51 Gen good  55 Gen good
ADI late              10 poor      75 Good      4 Very poor  87 Good
Max LVORI early       4            5            3            5
Max LVORI late        5            3            5            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
91 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 40 percent. East
winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows
in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 92 percent. Chance of precipitation
70 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 53 percent. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
99 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
42 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
84 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 58 percent. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ053>056-311130-
Inland Horry-Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-
Including the cities of Conway, Red Hill, Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown,
and Murrells Inlet
318 PM EDT Thu Mar 30 2017

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud amount          MCldy        MCldy        MClear       MClear
Precip chc (%)        70           90           0            0
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        None         None
LAL                   4            5            1            1
Min/Max Temp          62           79           56           78
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SE 13 G21    S 12 G21     W 10 G23     NW  6
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SE 12        SW 16 G26    W  6         NW  7
Precip amount         0.17         0.29         0.00         0.00
Precip duration       2            6
Inversion             2000         71/1000      2000         61/0900
Dispersion            Excellent                 Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        89           50           85           39
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          3            3            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                4520                      5310
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 22                     NW 16
Ventilation rate                   99440                     84960
ADI early             53 Gen good  49 Gen good  40 Fair      63 Good
ADI late              12 poor      62 Good      5 Very poor  67 Good
Max LVORI early       4            5            3            5
Max LVORI late        4            1            4            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
90 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 53 percent.
Southeast winds 15 to 20 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Lows around 60. Maximum RH 98 percent. Chance of precipitation
70 percent. South winds 15 to 20 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 55 percent. West
winds 15 to 20 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
47 percent. East winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
90 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 65 percent. West
winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

SCZ024-032-033-039-311130-
Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
318 PM EDT Thu Mar 30 2017

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud amount          MCldy        MCldy        MClear       MClear
Precip chc (%)        70           80           0            0
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        None         None
LAL                   4            5            1            1
Min/Max Temp          62           79           55           79
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SE 12        S 11 G20     W 10 G21     NW  5
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SE 10        SW 16 G25    W  6         NW  7
Precip amount         0.17         0.20         0.00         0.00
Precip duration       3            5
Inversion             2000         70/1000      2000         60/0900
Dispersion            Excellent                 Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        91           44           87           36
DSI                                3                         3
Haines Index          3            3            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                5230                      5270
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 23                     NW 17
Ventilation rate                   120290                    89590
ADI early             53 Gen good  47 Gen good  47 Gen good  57 Gen good
ADI late              10 poor      73 Good      5 Very poor  78 Good
Max LVORI early       4            5            3            5
Max LVORI late        5            1            4            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 50. Maximum RH
89 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 38 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows
around 60. Maximum RH 96 percent. Chance of precipitation
70 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 49 percent. West
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
100 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
41 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
88 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 63 percent. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-311130-
Marlboro-Darlington-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, and North Hartsville
318 PM EDT Thu Mar 30 2017

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud amount          MCldy        MCldy        MClear       MClear
Precip chc (%)        70           80           0            0
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        None         None
LAL                   4            5            1            1
Min/Max Temp          61           78           54           78
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SE 12        S 11 G21     W 10 G20     NW  6
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SE 11        SW 17 G24    W  6         NW  7
Precip amount         0.21         0.24         0.00         0.00
Precip duration       3            5
Inversion             2000         68/1000      2000         59/0900
Dispersion            Excellent                 Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        92           46           87           37
DSI                                2                         3
Haines Index          3            3            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                5400                      5180
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 24                     NW 18
Ventilation rate                   129600                    93240
ADI early             53 Gen good  42 Gen good  51 Gen good  54 Gen good
ADI late              11 poor      76 Good      5 Very poor  79 Good
Max LVORI early       3            5            3            5
Max LVORI late        5            2            4            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
89 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 39 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows
around 60. Maximum RH 94 percent. Chance of precipitation
70 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 52 percent. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
100 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
40 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
84 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 62 percent. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation near normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

5



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