Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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FNUS52 KILM 222005
FWFILM

Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
305 PM EST Wed Nov 22 2017

.DISCUSSION...
Area of low pressure developing in the Gulf of Mexico late this evening,
will intensify as it tracks across Florida late Thursday and remain
over the Atlantic Waters. Only light rain is expected along the coast.
Seasonably cool and dry conditions will prevail this weekend and early
next week, as a series of mainly dry cold fronts sweep across the
forecast area and off the coast.

Fog potential for tonight...5SM or less: None

NCZ105>110-231215-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
305 PM EST Wed Nov 22 2017

                      Tonight      Thanksgiving Thu Night    Fri

Cloud amount          MClear       PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            20           20
Precip type           None         None         Showers      Showers
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          36           55           36           59
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    N  7         NE  6        NE  4        NE  6
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     N  8         NE  6        NE  4        NE  6
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.02         0.01
Precip duration                                 1            1
Inversion             1800         48/1000      1800         50/1000
Dispersion            Good                      Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        85           39           94           45
DSI                                1                         1
Haines Index          4            4            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                2550                      1950
Transport wnd (mph)                NE  9                     E 10
Ventilation rate                   22950                     19500
ADI early             5 Very poor  20 Gen poor  3 Very poor  20 Gen poor
ADI late              6 Very poor  20 Gen poor  3 Very poor  24 Fair
Max LVORI early       3            4            5            5
Max LVORI late        4            2            6            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 92 percent. Northeast winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
57 percent. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
77 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
North winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
73 percent. North winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 43 percent.
North winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 40. Maximum RH 83 percent.
North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 53 percent.
Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
86 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 62 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ096-099-231215-
Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Elizabethtown, Bladenboro, Whiteville,
Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
305 PM EST Wed Nov 22 2017

                      Tonight      Thanksgiving Thu Night    Fri

Cloud amount          MClear       PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          35           54           34           58
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    N  6         NE  5        LGT/VAR      NE  4
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     NE  6        NE  5        LGT/VAR      NE  4
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             1800         45/1000      1800         49/1000
Dispersion            Fair                      Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        81           44           89           46
DSI                                1                         1
Haines Index          4            4            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                2410                      2050
Transport wnd (mph)                NE  8                     E  9
Ventilation rate                   19280                     18450
ADI early             4 Very poor  21 Fair      2 Very poor  20 Gen poor
ADI late              5 Very poor  23 Fair      2 Very poor  23 Fair
Max LVORI early       3            4            5            6
Max LVORI late        4            2            6            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH 93 percent. North winds around
5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
53 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
80 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 43 percent.
North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Clear, colder. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH
76 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 41 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
86 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 52 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
89 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 59 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.

$$

NCZ087-231215-
Robeson-
Including the city of Lumberton
305 PM EST Wed Nov 22 2017

                      Tonight      Thanksgiving Thu Night    Fri

Cloud amount          MClear       PCldy        MClear       PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          35           54           32           58
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    N  6         NE  6        NE  3        NE  4
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     NE  7        NE  5        NE  3        NE  5
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             1800         46/1000      1800         48/1000
Dispersion            Fair                      Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        82           42           92           44
DSI                                1                         1
Haines Index          4            4            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                2450                      2140
Transport wnd (mph)                NE  8                     E  9
Ventilation rate                   19600                     19260
ADI early             5 Very poor  24 Fair      2 Very poor  19 Gen poor
ADI late              6 Very poor  23 Fair      2 Very poor  27 Fair
Max LVORI early       3            4            5            6
Max LVORI late        4            2            7            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
89 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
48 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
81 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 39 percent.
North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Clear, colder. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH
79 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 37 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
85 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
90 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 55 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.

$$

SCZ053>056-231215-
Inland Horry-Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-
Including the cities of Conway, Red Hill, Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown,
and Murrells Inlet
305 PM EST Wed Nov 22 2017

                      Tonight      Thanksgiving Thu Night    Fri

Cloud amount          PCldy        MCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            20           30
Precip type           None         None         Showers      Showers
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          39           55           38           60
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    N  6         NE  7        NE  5        NE  7
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     N  7         NE  6        NE  5        NE  7
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.03         0.02
Precip duration                                 1            1
Inversion             1800         49/1000      1800         51/1000
Dispersion            Fair                      Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        87           43           95           46
DSI                                1                         1
Haines Index          4            4            3            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                2040                      1990
Transport wnd (mph)                NE 10                     E 10
Ventilation rate                   20400                     19900
ADI early             5 Very poor  20 Gen poor  4 Very poor  20 Gen poor
ADI late              7 poor       22 Fair      4 Very poor  23 Fair
Max LVORI early       3            4            5            4
Max LVORI late        4            2            5            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH 91 percent. North winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
54 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
79 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
North winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH 73 percent.
North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 43 percent.
North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 40. Maximum RH 83 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 55 percent. East
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
87 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 62 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ032-033-039-231215-
Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree
305 PM EST Wed Nov 22 2017

                      Tonight      Thanksgiving Thu Night    Fri

Cloud amount          PCldy        MCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            20           20
Precip type           None         None         Showers      Showers
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          39           55           36           59
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    N  6         NE  6        NE  4        NE  5
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     NE  6        NE  6        NE  4        NE  5
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.01         0.01
Precip duration                                 1            1
Inversion             1800         48/1000      1800         49/1000
Dispersion            Fair                      Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        83           45           86           47
DSI                                1                         1
Haines Index          4            3            3            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                2260                      2010
Transport wnd (mph)                NE  9                     E  9
Ventilation rate                   20340                     18090
ADI early             4 Very poor  22 Fair      3 Very poor  20 Gen poor
ADI late              7 poor       24 Fair      3 Very poor  25 Fair
Max LVORI early       4            4            5            5
Max LVORI late        4            2            5            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows around 40. Maximum RH 89 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
49 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
82 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs around 60. Minimum RH 40 percent. North winds
5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH 76 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 39 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
87 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
91 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 57 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-231215-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon
305 PM EST Wed Nov 22 2017

                      Tonight      Thanksgiving Thu Night    Fri

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          37           55           33           58
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    N  6         NE  6        NE  3        NE  4
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     NE  6        NE  5        NE  3        NE  5
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             1800         47/1000      1800         48/1000
Dispersion            Fair                      Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        80           41           91           45
DSI                                1                         1
Haines Index          4            3            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                2440                      2190
Transport wnd (mph)                NE  8                     E  9
Ventilation rate                   19520                     19710
ADI early             5 Very poor  25 Fair      2 Very poor  19 Gen poor
ADI late              6 Very poor  24 Fair      2 Very poor  25 Fair
Max LVORI early       3            4            5            6
Max LVORI late        4            2            6            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
88 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
48 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
81 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 40 percent.
North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Clear, colder. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH
77 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 38 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
85 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
90 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 55 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation below normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

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