Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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FNUS52 KILM 262104
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Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
404 PM EST Sun Feb 26 2017

.DISCUSSION...
Cool temperatures tonight will drop into the 30s before a warming
trend begins on Monday. A warm front will lift northward early
Tuesday leading to near record high temperatures by mid-week. A cold
front will bring a chance for showers and thunderstorms Thursday
morning, followed by a return to seasonable temperatures late week.
Even cooler temperatures are expected by next weekend.

Fog potential for tonight...None.

NCZ105>110-271315-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
404 PM EST Sun Feb 26 2017

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud amount          Clear        PCldy        MCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            30           30
Precip type           None         None         Showers      Tstms
LAL                   1            1            1            2
Min/Max Temp          30           70           54           76
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    LGT/VAR      E  4         SE  4        S  5
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     LGT/VAR      SE  7        S  3         S 11
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.04         0.09
Precip duration                                 1            2
Inversion             1900         50/0900      1900         63/0900
Max/Min RH (%)        92           36           97           59
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          4            4            4            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                5300                      4120
Transport wnd (mph)                S 15                      SW 25
Ventilation rate                   79500                     103000
ADI early             1 Very poor  66 Good      6 Very poor  53 Gen good
ADI late              1 Very poor  64 Good      3 Very poor  71 Good
Max LVORI early       4            7            5            8
Max LVORI late        6            1            8            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a slight chance of showers with
isolated thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
60 percent. Chance of precipitation 20 percent. Southwest winds
15 to 20 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers with
isolated thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
85 percent. Chance of precipitation 50 percent. Southwest winds
15 to 20 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers with isolated
thunderstorms. Cooler. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
43 percent. Chance of precipitation 50 percent. Northwest winds
10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Colder. Lows around 40. Maximum RH
73 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 28 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
67 percent. North winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 31 percent.
Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
83 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 42 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-271315-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
404 PM EST Sun Feb 26 2017

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud amount          Clear        PCldy        MCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            30           30
Precip type           None         None         Showers      Tstms
LAL                   1            1            1            2
Min/Max Temp          32           71           54           77
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    LGT/VAR      E  3         SE  5        S  5
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     LGT/VAR      SE  7        LGT/VAR      S 11
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.04         0.10
Precip duration                                 2            2
Inversion             1900         47/0900      1900         63/0900
Max/Min RH (%)        85           32           96           57
DSI                                3                         2
Haines Index          4            4            4            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                5380                      4560
Transport wnd (mph)                S 15                      SW 23
Ventilation rate                   80700                     104880
ADI early             1 Very poor  41 Gen good  21 Fair      38 Fair
ADI late              1 Very poor  55 Gen good  2 Very poor  70 Good
Max LVORI early       3            6            4            8
Max LVORI late        5            1            9            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a slight chance of showers with
isolated thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
50 percent. Chance of precipitation 20 percent. Southwest winds
15 to 20 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers with
isolated thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
84 percent. Chance of precipitation 50 percent. Southwest winds
10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers with isolated
thunderstorms. Cooler. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
34 percent. Chance of precipitation 50 percent. Northwest winds
10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Colder. Lows in the upper 30s.
Maximum RH 74 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 25 percent.
Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
65 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 26 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
81 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
36 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

SCZ053>056-271315-
Inland Horry-Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-
Including the cities of Conway, Red Hill, Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown,
and Murrells Inlet
404 PM EST Sun Feb 26 2017

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud amount          Clear        PCldy        MCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            30           30
Precip type           None         None         Showers      Tstms
LAL                   1            1            1            2
Min/Max Temp          32           72           55           77
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    LGT/VAR      E  5         SE  6        S  6
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     LGT/VAR      SE  8        S  4         S 12
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.06         0.09
Precip duration                                 2            2
Inversion             1900         51/0900      1900         65/0900
Max/Min RH (%)        90           39           97           57
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          4            4            4            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                5080                      4630
Transport wnd (mph)                SE 16                     SW 23
Ventilation rate                   81280                     106490
ADI early             1 Very poor  67 Good      11 poor      40 Fair
ADI late              1 Very poor  69 Good      4 Very poor  64 Good
Max LVORI early       3            6            5            8
Max LVORI late        6            1            8            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a slight chance of showers with
isolated thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
55 percent. Chance of precipitation 20 percent. Southwest winds
15 to 20 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers with
isolated thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
88 percent. Chance of precipitation 50 percent. Southwest winds
15 to 20 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers with isolated
thunderstorms. Cooler. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
42 percent. Chance of precipitation 50 percent. Northwest winds
10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Colder. Lows in the lower 40s.
Maximum RH 73 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 27 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
66 percent. North winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 31 percent.
Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
85 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
43 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-271315-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon
404 PM EST Sun Feb 26 2017

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud amount          MClear       PCldy        MCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            30           30
Precip type           None         None         Showers      Tstms
LAL                   1            1            1            2
Min/Max Temp          32           71           53           78
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    LGT/VAR      E  4         SE  6        S  5
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     LGT/VAR      SE  7        LGT/VAR      SW 11
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.05         0.09
Precip duration                                 2            2
Inversion             1900         46/0900      1900         62/0900
Max/Min RH (%)        82           33           97           55
DSI                                3                         2
Haines Index          4            4            4            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                5520                      4870
Transport wnd (mph)                S 14                      SW 23
Ventilation rate                   77280                     112010
ADI early             1 Very poor  20 Gen poor  14 Gen poor  35 Fair
ADI late              1 Very poor  49 Gen good  3 Very poor  71 Good
Max LVORI early       3            6            4            8
Max LVORI late        4            1            9            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a slight chance of showers with
isolated thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
49 percent. Chance of precipitation 20 percent. Southwest winds
15 to 20 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely with isolated
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 87 percent. Chance of
precipitation 60 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers with isolated
thunderstorms. Cooler. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 30 percent.
Chance of precipitation 40 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Colder. Lows in the upper 30s.
Maximum RH 73 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 25 percent.
Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
66 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 26 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
81 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
37 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ032-033-039-271315-
Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree
404 PM EST Sun Feb 26 2017

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud amount          Clear        PCldy        MCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            30           30
Precip type           None         None         Showers      Tstms
LAL                   1            1            1            2
Min/Max Temp          33           72           55           78
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    LGT/VAR      E  4         SE  6        S  6
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     LGT/VAR      SE  8        SE  4        S 11
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.06         0.09
Precip duration                                 2            2
Inversion             1900         49/0900      1900         64/0900
Max/Min RH (%)        88           35           98           53
DSI                                3                         2
Haines Index          4            4            4            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                5470                      5100
Transport wnd (mph)                S 14                      SW 22
Ventilation rate                   76580                     112200
ADI early             1 Very poor  42 Gen good  21 Fair      45 Gen good
ADI late              1 Very poor  58 Gen good  3 Very poor  72 Good
Max LVORI early       3            6            5            9
Max LVORI late        5            1            10           1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a slight chance of showers with
isolated thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
49 percent. Chance of precipitation 20 percent. Southwest winds
15 to 20 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers with
isolated thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
87 percent. Chance of precipitation 50 percent. Southwest winds
10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers with isolated
thunderstorms. Cooler. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
34 percent. Chance of precipitation 40 percent. Northwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Colder. Lows around 40. Maximum RH
74 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 25 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
65 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs around 60. Minimum RH 27 percent. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 40. Maximum RH
84 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
38 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures near normal.  Precipitation near normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

rgz



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