Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY

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FNUS53 KJKL 302019
FWFJKL

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Eastern Kentucky
National Weather Service Jackson KY
419 PM EDT Sun Apr 30 2017

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM EDT MONDAY...

.DISCUSSION...The threat of showers and thunderstorms will continue
through monday morning as an area of low pressure tracks to the
west of the area and pushes through the region. Gusty winds will
also develop late tonight and into Monday. High pressure will
build into the area behind the front and bring dry weather from
Monday afternoon into midweek. However, unsettled weather will
return for the second half of the week.


KYZ068-079-083-084-010830-
Rockcastle-Pulaski-Wayne-McCreary-
Including the cities of Brodhead, Mount Vernon, Burnside,
Somerset, Monticello, Stearns, and Whitley City
419 PM EDT Sun Apr 30 2017

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM EDT MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers in the
                    evening. Scattered thunderstorms. Periods of
                    showers.
Min Temperature.....61-66.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........90-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......20 percent wetter.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 15 mph.
LAL.................4.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
ADI.................82 decreasing to 48 late.
LVORI...............4.
Prob of precip......80 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.29 - 0.60 inches.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming mostly sunny.
                    Periods of showers and isolated thunderstorms
                    in the morning, then scattered showers in the
                    afternoon.
Max Temperature.....68-73.
   24 hr trend......16 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........31-41 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent drier.
Wind (20 ft)........Breezy. Southwest winds 15 to 25 mph.
LAL.................4.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......6600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 25 to 30 mph increasing to around 40
                    mph early in the afternoon.
Dispersion Index....200.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (224600 knot-ft).
ADI.................82 increasing to 134 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............3.
Prob of precip......90 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.31 inches.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy.
Min Temperature.....47-52.
   24 hr trend......14 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........78-86 percent.
   24 hr trend......16 percent drier.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
ADI.................132 decreasing to 41 late.
LVORI...............3.
Prob of precip......10 percent.
QPF (inches)........NONE.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max Temperature.....Around 72.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........27-35 percent.
   24 hr trend......9 percent drier.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 5 to 15 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......8600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 20 to 25 mph increasing to around 35 mph
                    early in the afternoon.
Dispersion Index....200.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (268900 knot-ft).
ADI.................72 increasing to 134 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............3.
Prob of precip......0 percent.
QPF (inches)........NONE.


$$

KYZ044-050>052-058>060-104-106>109-119-010830-
Fleming-Montgomery-Bath-Rowan-Estill-Powell-Menifee-Elliott-
Morgan-Johnson-Wolfe-Magoffin-Martin-
Including the cities of Flemingsburg, Camargo, Jeffersonville,
Mount Sterling, Owingsville, Morehead, Irvine, Ravenna,
Clay City, Stanton, Frenchburg, Sandy Hook, West Liberty,
Paintsville, Campton, Salyersville, and Inez
419 PM EDT Sun Apr 30 2017

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM EDT MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy.
                    Isolated showers and thunderstorms in the
                    evening, then numerous showers and
                    scattered thunderstorms late.
Min Temperature.....62-67.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........86-96 percent.
   24 hr trend......10 percent wetter.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 15 mph.
LAL.................3.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
ADI.................104 decreasing to 39 late.
LVORI...............3.
Prob of precip......60 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.00 - 0.36 inches.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy then becoming mostly sunny. Periods of
                    showers and scattered thunderstorms in the
                    morning, then scattered showers in the
                    afternoon.
Max Temperature.....70-75.
   24 hr trend......14 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........34-44 percent.
   24 hr trend......1 percent drier.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph increasing to 10 to
                    20 mph early in the afternoon.
LAL.................3.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......7300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 30 mph increasing to southwest
                    around 40 mph early in the afternoon.
Dispersion Index....200.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (254800 knot-ft).
ADI.................67 increasing to 142 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............3.
Prob of precip......80 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.21 - 0.34 inches.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy.
Min Temperature.....48-53.
   24 hr trend......12 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........70-76 percent.
   24 hr trend......26 percent drier.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
ADI.................136 decreasing to 52 late.
LVORI...............2.
Prob of precip......10 percent.
QPF (inches)........NONE.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max Temperature.....Around 70.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........27-37 percent.
   24 hr trend......7 percent drier.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 5 to 15 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......8900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 30 to 35 mph increasing to around 40 mph
                    early in the afternoon.
Dispersion Index....200.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (306500 knot-ft).
ADI.................105 increasing to 151 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............2.
Prob of precip......10 percent.
QPF (inches)........NONE.


$$

KYZ069-080-085>088-110>118-120-010830-
Jackson-Laurel-Whitley-Knox-Bell-Harlan-Floyd-Lee-Breathitt-Knott-
Owsley-Perry-Clay-Leslie-Letcher-Pike-
Including the cities of McKee, Annville, London, Corbin,
Williamsburg, Barbourville, Middlesboro, Pineville, Cumberland,
Harlan, Prestonsburg, Wheelwright, Beattyville, Jackson, Hindman,
Pippa Passes, Booneville, Hazard, Manchester, Hyden, Jenkins,
Whitesburg, Coal Run, Elkhorn City, Pikeville,
and South Williamson
419 PM EDT Sun Apr 30 2017

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM EDT MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy.
                    Isolated rain showers and thunderstorms in the
                    evening. Scattered rain showers and
                    thunderstorms late.
Min Temperature.....63-68.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........83-93 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent drier.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 15 mph.
LAL.................4.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
ADI.................93 decreasing to 41 late.
LVORI...............4.
Prob of precip......50 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.00 - 0.38 inches.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy then becoming mostly sunny. Numerous
                    rain showers and scattered thunderstorms in the
                    morning, then scattered rain showers and
                    isolated thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max Temperature.....70-75.
   24 hr trend......14 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........31-41 percent.
   24 hr trend......4 percent drier.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph increasing to 10 to
                    20 mph early in the afternoon.
LAL.................4.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......6400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 30 to 35 mph shifting to the southwest
                    around 40 mph early in the afternoon.
Dispersion Index....196.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (216300 knot-ft).
ADI.................83 increasing to 131 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............3.
Prob of precip......70 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.17 - 0.37 inches.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy.
Min Temperature.....47-52.
   24 hr trend......16 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........74-82 percent.
   24 hr trend......7 percent drier.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
ADI.................129 decreasing to 42 late.
LVORI...............3.
Prob of precip......10 percent.
QPF (inches)........None.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max Temperature.....68-73.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........26-32 percent.
   24 hr trend......5 percent drier.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 5 to 15 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing Height.......8700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 25 to 30 mph increasing to around 35 mph
                    early in the afternoon.
Dispersion Index....200.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (278200 knot-ft).
ADI.................91 increasing to 145 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............2.
Prob of precip......0 percent.
QPF (inches)........None.


$$

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. West winds
5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. A slight chance of showers in the
afternoon. Highs in the upper 60s. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Cloudy. A chance of showers and thunderstorms
in the evening, then a chance of showers. Lows in the lower 50s.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Cloudy. Showers likely and a slight chance of
thunderstorms in the morning, then showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms in the afternoon. Highs in the upper 60s. North
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Cloudy. Showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms in the evening, then showers likely late. Lows
around 50. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Highs in the lower
60s. North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the mid 40s. North winds around 5 mph in the evening becoming
light.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny. A chance of showers in the morning,
then a slight chance of showers in the afternoon. Highs in the
mid 60s. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers in the
evening, then a slight chance of showers. Lows in the mid 40s.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Northwest winds
around 5 mph.

$$
JP



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