Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY

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000
FNUS53 KJKL 041026
FWFJKL

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST KENTUCKY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
526 AM EST SUN DEC 4 2016

.DISCUSSION...AN MID/UPPER LEVEL WAVE WILL BRING RAIN TO EASTERN
KY THROUGH MUCH OF TODAY, BEFORE TAPERING OFF OVERNIGHT.
GENERALLY, BETWEEN 0.10 AND 0.40 INCHES OF RAIN IS EXPECTED FROM
THIS SYSTEM, WITH HIGHEST AMOUNTS EXPECTED ALONG THE TN/VA BORDER.
A BRIEF PERIOD OF DRY WEATHER WILL TAKE HOLD FOR LATE TONIGHT AND
DURING THE DAY MONDAY, HOWEVER A STRONGER SYSTEM WILL BEGIN TO
PUSH NORTHEAST FROM TX AND LOUISIANA DURING THIS TIME, BRINGING
LOW END CHANCES TO THE KY/TN BORDER BY LATE MONDAY. RAIN CHANCES
WILL CONTINUE TO OVERSPREAD EASTERN KY MONDAY NIGHT WHILE
INCREASING IN INTENSITY. WINDS SHOULD REMAIN LIGHT AND VARIABLE
NEAR THE SURFACE DURING THIS TIME. MEANWHILE, EXPECT DECENT
DIRECTIONAL AND SPEED SHEER AS YOU GAIN ALTITUDE, WITH MUCH
STRONGER WESTERLY WINDS EXPECTED IN THE MID AND UPPER LEVELS.


KYZ068-079-083-084-042130-
ROCKCASTLE-PULASKI-WAYNE-MCCREARY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BRODHEAD...MOUNT VERNON...BURNSIDE...
SOMERSET...MONTICELLO...STEARNS...WHITLEY CITY
526 AM EST SUN DEC 4 2016

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. RAIN LIKELY IN THE MORNING...THEN A
                    CHANCE OF RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....45-50.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........74-84 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......21 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....27.
VENT RATE...........POOR (26700 KNOT-FT).
ADI.................13 INCREASING TO 30 IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............5.
PROB OF PRECIP......60 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.07 - 0.19 INCHES.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 39.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........99 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......5-10 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
ADI.................14.
LVORI...............7.
PROB OF PRECIP......50 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.07 INCHES.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........63-71 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......15 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTH AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....16.
VENT RATE...........POOR (16000 KNOT-FT).
ADI.................17.
LVORI...............6.
PROB OF PRECIP......20 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.01 INCHES.


$$

KYZ044-050>052-058>060-104-106>109-119-042130-
FLEMING-MONTGOMERY-BATH-ROWAN-ESTILL-POWELL-MENIFEE-ELLIOTT-
MORGAN-JOHNSON-WOLFE-MAGOFFIN-MARTIN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLEMINGSBURG...CAMARGO...
JEFFERSONVILLE...MOUNT STERLING...OWINGSVILLE...MOREHEAD...
IRVINE...RAVENNA...CLAY CITY...STANTON...FRENCHBURG...
SANDY HOOK...WEST LIBERTY...PAINTSVILLE...CAMPTON...
SALYERSVILLE...INEZ
526 AM EST SUN DEC 4 2016

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....45-50.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........60-70 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......0-5 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 15
                    MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....27.
VENT RATE...........POOR (27100 KNOT-FT).
ADI.................15 INCREASING TO 32 IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............4.
PROB OF PRECIP......50 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.05 INCHES.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    DRIZZLE LATE.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 37.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........99 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
ADI.................21.
LVORI...............6.
PROB OF PRECIP......50 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.09 INCHES.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....45-50.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........59-65 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    EAST IN THE AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....19.
VENT RATE...........POOR (19200 KNOT-FT).
ADI.................18.
LVORI...............5.
PROB OF PRECIP......10 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.


$$

KYZ069-080-085>088-110>118-120-042130-
JACKSON-LAUREL-WHITLEY-KNOX-BELL-HARLAN-FLOYD-LEE-BREATHITT-KNOTT-
OWSLEY-PERRY-CLAY-LESLIE-LETCHER-PIKE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MCKEE...ANNVILLE...LONDON...CORBIN...
WILLIAMSBURG...BARBOURVILLE...MIDDLESBORO...PINEVILLE...
CUMBERLAND...HARLAN...PRESTONSBURG...WHEELWRIGHT...BEATTYVILLE...
JACKSON...HINDMAN...PIPPA PASSES...BOONEVILLE...HAZARD...
MANCHESTER...HYDEN...JENKINS...WHITESBURG...COAL RUN...
ELKHORN CITY...PIKEVILLE...SOUTH WILLIAMSON
526 AM EST SUN DEC 4 2016

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 45.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........68-78 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......14 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH
                    AROUND 15 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....22.
VENT RATE...........POOR (22500 KNOT-FT).
ADI.................11 INCREASING TO 28 IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............5.
PROB OF PRECIP......50 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.02 - 0.21 INCHES.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    DRIZZLE LATE.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 39.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......5-10 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
ADI.................12.
LVORI...............8.
PROB OF PRECIP......50 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.10 INCHES.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........58-68 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    EAST IN THE AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTHEAST IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....17.
VENT RATE...........POOR (16900 KNOT-FT).
ADI.................19.
LVORI...............5.
PROB OF PRECIP......20 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.01 INCHES.


$$

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY NIGHT...A CHANCE OF RAIN IN THE EVENING...THEN RAIN LATE.
LOWS IN THE MID 40S. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...RAIN IN THE MORNING...THEN RAIN LIKELY IN THE
AFTERNOON. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH
SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN IN THE EVENING...
THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...COOLER. PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN IN THE
EVENING...THEN A CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW LATE. LOWS IN THE LOWER
30S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN IN THE
MORNING...THEN A CHANCE OF RAIN AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW IN
THE AFTERNOON. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...COLDER. MOSTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS IN THE EVENING. LOWS AROUND 15. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S. WEST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 17. WEST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. SOUTH WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.

$$
JMW



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