Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY

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000
FNUS53 KJKL 270724
FWFJKL

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EASTERN KENTUCKY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
324 AM EDT WED AUG 27 2014

.DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE IS IN PLACE OVER EASTERN KENTUCKY AT BOTH THE SURFACE
AND ALOFT. A COLD FRONT WILL BE MOVING SOUTH DURING THE DAY TODAY.
THE FRONT WILL BE WEAKENING AS IT BUMPS UP AGAINST THE SURFACE AND
UPPER HIGHS. CURRENT THINKING IS THAT THERE WILL BE SOME
PRECIPITATION NORTH OF THE MOUNTAIN PARKWAY THIS AFTERNOON...HOWEVER
AS THE FRONT CONTINUES TO WEAKEN TONIGHT AS IT MOVES SOUTH...THE
PRECIPITATION WILL BE ENDING. ON THURSDAY...AS THE DIURNAL HEATING
GETS GOING...IT WILL GENERATE SOME SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ALONG
THE REMNANTS OF THE FRONT...GENERALLY SOUTH OF THE MOUNTAIN PARKWAY
DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THE TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE IN
THE MID TO UPPER 80S TODAY AND THEN COOL OFF A LITTLE WITH THE FRONT
TOMORROW.

KYZ044-050>052-058>060-068-069-079-080-083>088-104-106>120-280030-
FLEMING-MONTGOMERY-BATH-ROWAN-ESTILL-POWELL-MENIFEE-ROCKCASTLE-
JACKSON-PULASKI-LAUREL-WAYNE-MCCREARY-WHITLEY-KNOX-BELL-HARLAN-
ELLIOTT-MORGAN-JOHNSON-WOLFE-MAGOFFIN-FLOYD-LEE-BREATHITT-KNOTT-
OWSLEY-PERRY-CLAY-LESLIE-LETCHER-MARTIN-PIKE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLEMINGSBURG...MOUNT STERLING...
OWINGSVILLE...MOREHEAD...IRVINE...STANTON...FRENCHBURG...
MOUNT VERNON...MCKEE...SOMERSET...LONDON...MONTICELLO...
WHITLEY CITY...CORBIN...WILLIAMSBURG...BARBOURVILLE...MIDDLESBORO...
PINEVILLE...HARLAN...SANDY HOOK...WEST LIBERTY...PAINTSVILLE...
CAMPTON...SALYERSVILLE...PRESTONSBURG...BEATTYVILLE...JACKSON...
HINDMAN...BOONEVILLE...HAZARD...MANCHESTER...HYDEN...WHITESBURG...
INEZ...PIKEVILLE
324 AM EDT WED AUG 27 2014

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 87.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........37-47 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................3.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....35.
VENT RATE...........MARGINAL (34600 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......0 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.04 INCHES.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. PATCHY FOG LATE AT NIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 66.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........90-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................2.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
PROB OF PRECIP......10 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.01 INCHES.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 85.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........48-58 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......11 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................2.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTH AROUND 5 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....26.
VENT RATE...........POOR (25600 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......20 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.03 INCHES.

$$

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
EARLY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY
BECOMING LIGHT.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 80S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH IN THE
AFTERNOON.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS EARLY.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
AROUND 70. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.LABOR DAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN
THE MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS EARLY...THEN
A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS LATE AT NIGHT. LOWS IN THE UPPER
60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE
MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$
JJ





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