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Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX
000
FNUS54 KMAF 160754
FWFMAF
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for West Texas/Southeast New Mexico
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
254 AM CDT Tue Apr 16 2024
.DISCUSSION...
Elevated and near critical fire weather conditions are expected
to develop this afternoon across Southeast New Mexico and most of
West Texas given continued very dry, warm, and breezy conditions.
Winds today will be lighter than yesterday, around 10-20 mph with
some higher gusts, particularly across the mountains. The lighter
winds will temper fire weather concerns somewhat, precluding critical
conditions, even as ERCs tick up closer to or surpass the 90th
percentile. IA will be the primary concern, with elevated conditions
continuing each day through Thursday as warm and very dry conditions
persist. A cold front will bring cooler temperatures and increased
moisture Friday through the weekend, with widespread wetting rains
possible Saturday and Sunday.
&&
For point-specific forecasts please see the Point Fire Weather
Matrix product issued by the Midland/Odessa National Weather
Service Office.
NMZ116-162230-
Sacramento Foothills and Guadalupe Mountains-
154 AM MDT Tue Apr 16 2024
Today Tonight Wed
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Mclear
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 77 (0) 45 (-2) 84
RH % (24h trend) 7 (0) 28 (-1) 5
Wind 20ft/early(mph) W 13 W 13 W 7
Wind 20ft/late(mph) W 17 W 9 SW 11
LAL 1 1 1
Haines Index 4 5 5
Wind 10000 FT MSL 47 25 18
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 7410 10000
Transport Wnd (kts) W 25 W 19
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 185250 190000
Vent Category Excellent Excellent
RFTI 5 4 3
RFTI Category Critical Near Crit Near Crit
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid
80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds
10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows around 50. Highs in the upper 70s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. North winds 10 to
15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers and a slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows around 50. Highs in the upper 60s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Chance of
precipitation 40 percent. East winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum
relative humidity above 15 percent. Northeast winds around
10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Warmer. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the
upper 70s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. South
winds around 10 mph.
$$
NMZ117-162230-
Chaves Plains-
154 AM MDT Tue Apr 16 2024
Today Tonight Wed
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Clear
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 82 (-3) 47 (-3) 88
RH % (24h trend) 8 (+3) 35 (+5) 5
Wind 20ft/early(mph) W 12 W 12 NW 6
Wind 20ft/late(mph) W 16 NW 8 W 9
LAL 1 1 1
Haines Index 5 4 5
Wind 10000 FT MSL 46 28 21
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 9170 10640
Transport Wnd (kts) W 23 W 18
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 210910 191520
Vent Category Excellent Excellent
RFTI 3 3 2
RFTI Category Near Crit Near Crit Elevated
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY...Clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the upper 80s.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds 5 to
10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Not as warm. Lows in the upper 40s.
Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum relative humidity above
15 percent. North winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers and a slight
chance of thunderstorms. Cooler. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in
the upper 60s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Chance
of precipitation 50 percent. East winds around 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and a slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the upper
60s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Chance of
precipitation 30 percent. East winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Warmer. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Southeast
winds 10 to 15 mph.
$$
NMZ118-162230-
Eddy Plains-
154 AM MDT Tue Apr 16 2024
Today Tonight Wed
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Mclear
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 84 (-3) 48 (-3) 90
RH % (24h trend) 6 (0) 25 (+2) 5
Wind 20ft/early(mph) W 9 W 13 NW 6
Wind 20ft/late(mph) W 13 W 8 SW 9
LAL 1 1 1
Haines Index 5 5 5
Wind 10000 FT MSL 33 21 15
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 8450 10110
Transport Wnd (kts) W 18 W 16
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 152100 161760
Vent Category Excellent Excellent
RFTI 3 4 1
RFTI Category Near Crit Near Crit Elevated
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the lower
90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Not as warm. Lows in the lower 50s.
Highs around 80. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent.
North winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers and a slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the lower
70s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Chance of
precipitation 50 percent. East winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the upper 60s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. East winds 10 to
15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Warmer. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in
the lower 80s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent.
Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
$$
NMZ119-162230-
Lea-
154 AM MDT Tue Apr 16 2024
Today Tonight Wed
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Mclear
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 82 (-4) 49 (-2) 88
RH % (24h trend) 6 (+1) 31 (+6) 6
Wind 20ft/early(mph) W 13 W 11 NW 7
Wind 20ft/late(mph) W 16 W 8 W 9
LAL 1 1 1
Haines Index 5 5 5
Wind 10000 FT MSL 44 23 15
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 7630 9450
Transport Wnd (kts) W 25 W 16
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 190750 151200
Vent Category Excellent Excellent
RFTI 3 3 1
RFTI Category Near Crit Near Crit Elevated
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the
upper 80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West
winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Not as warm. Lows in the upper 40s.
Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent.
Northeast winds around 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a slight chance
of thunderstorms. Cooler. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the mid
60s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. East winds around 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and a slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the mid
60s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Chance of
precipitation 40 percent. East winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Warmer. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the
upper 70s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Southeast
winds around 10 mph.
$$
TXZ270-271-162230-
Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet-
Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains-
Including the cities of Guadalupe Mountains National Park and
Pine Springs
254 AM CDT Tue Apr 16 2024 /154 AM MDT Tue Apr 16 2024/
Today Tonight Wed
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 75 (-3) 50 (0) 82
RH % (24h trend) 7 (+1) 16 (-7) 6
Wind 20ft/early(mph) W 15 W 18 W 7
Wind 20ft/late(mph) W 23 W 10 W 14
LAL 1 1 1
Haines Index 4 5 5
Wind 10000 FT MSL 32 26 23
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 5380 8710
Transport Wnd (kts) W 26 W 19
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 139880 165490
Vent Category Very good Excellent
RFTI 7 6 4
RFTI Category Extreme Critical Near Crit
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the lower
80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds
10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid
70s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. East winds 10 to
15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. A 30 percent chance of showers. Lows
in the mid 50s. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum relative humidity
above 15 percent. East winds around 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of showers. Lows in
the upper 40s. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum relative humidity
above 15 percent. East winds around 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Warmer. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in
the mid 70s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent.
Northwest winds around 15 mph.
$$
TXZ272-273-275>282-162230-
Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor-Eastern Culberson County-
Chinati Mountains-Marfa Plateau-Davis Mountains-
Davis Mountains Foothills-Central Brewster County-Chisos Basin-
Presidio Valley-Lower Brewster County-
Including the cities of Van Horn, Marfa, Fort Davis, Alpine,
Big Bend National Park, Panther Junction, Marathon, Chisos Basin,
Presidio, Lajitas, and Castolon
254 AM CDT Tue Apr 16 2024
Today Tonight Wed
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mcldy
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 87 (-4) 53 (-2) 92
RH % (24h trend) 4 (-3) 15 (-15) 5
Wind 20ft/early(mph) NW 9 W 9 NW 5
Wind 20ft/late(mph) W 13 NW 6 SW 8
LAL 1 1 1
Haines Index 4 5 5
Wind 10000 FT MSL 36 23 14
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 6570 8550
Transport Wnd (kts) W 21 NW 15
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 137970 128250
Vent Category Very good Very good
RFTI 4 3 2
RFTI Category Near Crit Near Crit Elevated
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the
lower 90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent.
North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of showers. Lows in
the upper 50s. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum relative humidity
above 15 percent. North winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers and a slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the
upper 70s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Chance of
precipitation 50 percent. North winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers and a slight chance
of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the lower 70s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Chance of
precipitation 50 percent. Northeast winds around 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows around 50. Highs in the lower 80s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Northeast winds
around 10 mph.
$$
TXZ045>048-050>053-059>063-067>070-075-082-274-162230-
Gaines-Dawson-Borden-Scurry-Andrews-Martin-Howard-Mitchell-Loving-
Winkler-Ector-Midland-Glasscock-Ward-Crane-Upton-Reagan-Pecos-
Terrell-Reeves County Plains-
Including the cities of Seminole, Lamesa, Gail, Snyder, Andrews,
Stanton, Big Spring, Colorado City, Mentone, Kermit, Odessa,
Midland, Garden City, Monahans, Crane, McCamey, Rankin, Big Lake,
Fort Stockton, Dryden, Sanderson, and Pecos
254 AM CDT Tue Apr 16 2024
Today Tonight Wed
Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 88 (-3) 52 (-4) 92
RH % (24h trend) 6 (-9) 28 (-16) 6
Wind 20ft/early(mph) W 9 SW 8 W 5
Wind 20ft/late(mph) W 13 W 6 W 7
LAL 1 1 1
Haines Index 4 5 5
Wind 10000 FT MSL 39 26 17
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 7670 8500
Transport Wnd (kts) W 21 W 15
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 161070 127500
Vent Category Excellent Very good
RFTI 3 2 0
RFTI Category Near Crit Elevated Nil
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the mid
90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Southeast
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Not as warm. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the
upper 70s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Northeast
winds around 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs around 70. Minimum
relative humidity above 15 percent. Chance of precipitation
70 percent. Northeast winds around 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the mid 60s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Northeast winds
around 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Warmer. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs
around 80. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. East winds
around 10 mph.
$$
- National Weather Service
- Wichita, Kansas Weather Forecast Office
- 2142 S. Tyler Road
- Wichita, KS 67209-3016
- 316-942-3102
- Page Author: ICT Webmaster
- Web Master's E-mail: w-ict.webmaster@noaa.gov
- Page last modified: Sep 19th, 2023 19:10 UTC