Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN

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000
FNUS54 KMEG 191954
FWFMEG

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for the MidSouth
National Weather Service Memphis TN
254 PM CDT Thu Oct 19 2017

.DISCUSSION...

Daytime temperatures will average around 10 degrees above normal
through Saturday, under a strong upper level high pressure ridge.
This upper ridge will lift east of the area by Saturday, in advance
of a deep upper level low pressure system.

Increased humidity late Saturday and Sunday will result in mild low
temperatures Sunday morning. Numerous showers and thunderstorms are
forecast for Sunday and Monday.

Rain will exit the Midsouth by Tuesday morning, as much cooler and
drier air arrives. By Wednesday, high temperatures will average 10
to 15 degrees below normal. Areas of morning frost will be possible
mid to late next week.


ARZ008-009-017-018-026>028-MOZ113-115-201115-
Clay-Craighead-Dunklin-Greene-Lawrence-Mississippi-Pemiscot-
Poinsett-Randolph-
254 PM CDT Thu Oct 19 2017

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud Cover           MClear       MClear       PCldy        MCldy
Precip Chance (%)     0            0            0            20
Precip Type           NONE         NONE         NONE         showers
Precip Amount (in)    0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Dur (hrs)
Precip Begins
Precip Ends
Temp (24h Trend)      50 (+2)      79 (+1)      56           80
RH % (24h Trend)      93 (-1)      39 (+3)      91           50
AM 20 ft Wind (mph)                Lgt/Var                   S 5-9
PM 20 ft Wind (mph)   SE 2-6       S 4-8        SE 2-6       S 8-12 G18
Mixing Hgt (m-agl)                 963                       1570
Mixing Hgt (ft-agl)                3160                      5152
Mixing Hgt (m-msl)                 1051                      1657
Mixing Hgt (ft-msl)                3449                      5436
Transport Wnd (m/s)                S  5                      S 12
Transport Wnd (mph)                S 12                      S 26
Vent Index (m2/s)                  5255                      19884
Category Day                       3                         5
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F)              71                        76
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)               S  5                      S 10
500m Tspt Wind (mph)               S 12                      S 23
Dispersion Index      4            26           6            76
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                  4            4            4            3
Stability             F            B            E            C
Stagnation Index      3            3            3            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the
lower 60s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the lower
70s. Minimum RH 63 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph becoming
west late in the morning.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the
mid 50s. North winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...A slight chance of showers. Mostly sunny. Highs in the
upper 60s. Minimum RH 55 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...A slight chance of showers. Partly cloudy. Lows
around 50. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
34 percent. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Northwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs around 60. Minimum RH 42 percent. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

ARZ035-036-048-049-058-201115-
Crittenden-Cross-Lee AR-Phillips-St. Francis-
254 PM CDT Thu Oct 19 2017

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud Cover           MClear       MClear       PCldy        MCldy
Precip Chance (%)     0            0            0            20
Precip Type           NONE         NONE         NONE         showers
Precip Amount (in)    0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Dur (hrs)
Precip Begins
Precip Ends
Temp (24h Trend)      50 (+2)      80 (+3)      57           80
RH % (24h Trend)      96 (0)       40 (+5)      90           51
AM 20 ft Wind (mph)                Lgt/Var                   SE 4-8
PM 20 ft Wind (mph)   Lgt/Var      SE 4-8       SE 2-6       S 7-11 G17
Mixing Hgt (m-agl)                 1053                      1602
Mixing Hgt (ft-agl)                3454                      5257
Mixing Hgt (m-msl)                 1115                      1665
Mixing Hgt (ft-msl)                3659                      5462
Transport Wnd (m/s)                SE  5                     S 11
Transport Wnd (mph)                SE 10                     S 24
Vent Index (m2/s)                  5575                      18315
Category Day                       3                         5
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F)              72                        76
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)               S  5                      S 10
500m Tspt Wind (mph)               S 12                      S 22
Dispersion Index      4            25           7            66
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                  4            4            4            3
Stability             F            B            E            C
Stagnation Index      3            3            3            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Thunderstorms likely and a chance of showers.
Lows in the mid 60s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 70s.
Minimum RH 68 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph becoming west late
in the morning.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the
mid 50s. North winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...A chance of showers. Partly sunny. Highs in the upper
60s. Minimum RH 58 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. West winds
around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 35 percent.
Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Northwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH
41 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 43 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

TNZ001>004-019>022-201115-
Benton TN-Carroll-Dyer-Gibson-Henry-Lake-Obion-Weakley-
254 PM CDT Thu Oct 19 2017

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud Cover           MClear       MClear       PCldy        PCldy
Precip Chance (%)     0            0            0            0
Precip Type           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE
Precip Amount (in)    0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Dur (hrs)
Precip Begins
Precip Ends
Temp (24h Trend)      47 (+2)      78 (+4)      53           79
RH % (24h Trend)      98 (0)       38 (0)       90           47
AM 20 ft Wind (mph)                Lgt/Var                   S 3-7
PM 20 ft Wind (mph)   Lgt/Var      SE 2-6       Lgt/Var      S 5-9
Mixing Hgt (m-agl)                 700                       1321
Mixing Hgt (ft-agl)                2297                      4333
Mixing Hgt (m-msl)                 824                       1443
Mixing Hgt (ft-msl)                2705                      4734
Transport Wnd (m/s)                SE  4                     S  9
Transport Wnd (mph)                SE  8                     S 21
Vent Index (m2/s)                  3296                      12987
Category Day                       2                         4
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F)              69                        75
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)               S  4                      S  8
500m Tspt Wind (mph)               S  9                      S 19
Dispersion Index      4            18           6            52
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                  4            4            4            3
Stability             F            B            F            C
Stagnation Index      3            3            3            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SATURDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 70s.
Minimum RH 67 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Showers likely and a slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Northwest winds around 5 mph
becoming northeast late in the evening.
.MONDAY...A chance of showers and a slight chance of
thunderstorms. Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
65 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Partly cloudy. Lows in the
upper 40s. West winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...A slight chance of showers. Mostly sunny. Highs in the
mid 60s. Minimum RH 42 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Northwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH
45 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Patchy frost. Mostly clear. Lows in the upper
30s. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

TNZ048>055-088>091-201115-
Chester-Crockett-Decatur-Fayette-Hardeman-Haywood-Henderson-
Lauderdale-Madison-McNairy-Shelby-Tipton-
254 PM CDT Thu Oct 19 2017

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud Cover           MClear       MClear       PCldy        PCldy
Precip Chance (%)     0            0            0            10
Precip Type           NONE         NONE         NONE         showers
Precip Amount (in)    0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Dur (hrs)
Precip Begins
Precip Ends
Temp (24h Trend)      47 (+4)      79 (+4)      54           80
RH % (24h Trend)      98 (+1)      38 (+2)      91           49
AM 20 ft Wind (mph)                Lgt/Var                   S 3-7
PM 20 ft Wind (mph)   Lgt/Var      SE 2-6       Lgt/Var      S 5-9
Mixing Hgt (m-agl)                 711                       1387
Mixing Hgt (ft-agl)                2334                      4549
Mixing Hgt (m-msl)                 836                       1508
Mixing Hgt (ft-msl)                2742                      4948
Transport Wnd (m/s)                SE  4                     S  9
Transport Wnd (mph)                SE  8                     S 21
Vent Index (m2/s)                  3344                      13572
Category Day                       2                         4
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F)              69                        75
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)               S  4                      S  8
500m Tspt Wind (mph)               S  9                      S 18
Dispersion Index      4            16           6            60
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                  4            4            4            3
Stability             F            B            F            C
Stagnation Index      3            3            3            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SATURDAY NIGHT...A chance of thunderstorms and a slight chance
of showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. South winds
5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 70s.
Minimum RH 68 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Showers likely and a slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Northwest winds around
5 mph becoming northeast late in the evening.
.MONDAY...A chance of showers and a slight chance of
thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
67 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...A slight chance of showers. Partly cloudy. Lows
in the upper 40s. West winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...A slight chance of showers. Mostly sunny. Highs in the
upper 60s. Minimum RH 41 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 40. Northwest winds
5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH
44 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Patchy frost. Mostly clear. Lows in the upper
30s. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

MSZ001-007-008-010>012-020-021-201115-
Coahoma-Desoto-Panola-Quitman-Tallahatchie-Tate-Tunica-Yalobusha-
254 PM CDT Thu Oct 19 2017

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud Cover           MClear       MClear       PCldy        MCldy
Precip Chance (%)     0            0            0            20
Precip Type           NONE         NONE         NONE         showers
Precip Amount (in)    0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Dur (hrs)
Precip Begins
Precip Ends
Temp (24h Trend)      49 (+5)      80 (+3)      57           81
RH % (24h Trend)      98 (0)       38 (+4)      90           51
AM 20 ft Wind (mph)                Lgt/Var                   SE 4-8
PM 20 ft Wind (mph)   Lgt/Var      SE 2-6       SE 2-6       S 5-9
Mixing Hgt (m-agl)                 934                       1481
Mixing Hgt (ft-agl)                3065                      4858
Mixing Hgt (m-msl)                 1006                      1553
Mixing Hgt (ft-msl)                3301                      5094
Transport Wnd (m/s)                SE  4                     S  9
Transport Wnd (mph)                SE  9                     S 21
Vent Index (m2/s)                  4024                      13977
Category Day                       3                         4
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F)              71                        77
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)               SE  4                     S  9
500m Tspt Wind (mph)               SE 10                     S 19
Dispersion Index      4            18           7            60
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                  4            4            3            4
Stability             F            B            F            C
Stagnation Index      3            3            3            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SATURDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 70s.
Minimum RH 68 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph becoming southwest
late in the morning.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Showers likely and a slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. North winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Highs in the upper
60s. Minimum RH 65 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...A slight chance of showers. Partly cloudy. Lows
in the lower 50s. West winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
38 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Northwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH
42 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 42 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

MSZ002>006-009-013>017-022>024-201115-
Alcorn-Benton MS-Calhoun-Chickasaw-Itawamba-Lafayette-Lee MS-
Marshall-Monroe-Pontotoc-Prentiss-Tippah-Tishomingo-Union-
254 PM CDT Thu Oct 19 2017

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud Cover           MClear       MClear       PCldy        PCldy
Precip Chance (%)     0            0            0            0
Precip Type           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE
Precip Amount (in)    0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Dur (hrs)
Precip Begins
Precip Ends
Temp (24h Trend)      47 (+5)      80 (+4)      54           80
RH % (24h Trend)      98 (+1)      36 (+2)      89           50
AM 20 ft Wind (mph)                Lgt/Var                   SE 3-7
PM 20 ft Wind (mph)   Lgt/Var      SE 2-6       Lgt/Var      SE 4-8
Mixing Hgt (m-agl)                 797                       1324
Mixing Hgt (ft-agl)                2614                      4345
Mixing Hgt (m-msl)                 923                       1448
Mixing Hgt (ft-msl)                3028                      4752
Transport Wnd (m/s)                SE  3                     S  8
Transport Wnd (mph)                SE  7                     S 18
Vent Index (m2/s)                  2769                      11584
Category Day                       2                         4
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F)              69                        75
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)               SE  3                     S  7
500m Tspt Wind (mph)               SE  7                     S 16
Dispersion Index      3            13           6            54
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                  4            4            4            3
Stability             F            B            F            C
Stagnation Index      3            3            3            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SATURDAY NIGHT...A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Southeast winds around
5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 70s.
Minimum RH 67 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Showers likely and a slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. South winds around 5 mph
becoming northeast late in the evening.
.MONDAY...Showers likely and a slight chance of thunderstorms.
Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 71 percent. Northeast winds
around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...A slight chance of showers. Partly cloudy. Lows
in the lower 50s. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
41 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Northwest
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs around 60. Minimum RH 42 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Patchy frost. Mostly clear. Lows in the upper
30s. West winds around 5 mph late in the afternoon becoming light
and variable.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 42 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.

$$


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