Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN

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931
FNUS54 KMEG 242013
FWFMEG

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for the MidSouth
National Weather Service Memphis TN
313 PM CDT Fri Mar 24 2017

.DISCUSSION...

An active weather pattern will set up over the Mid-South from
this weekend through the end of next week. Numerous rounds of
showers and thunderstorms will occur as a result.

The first round will occur late tonight into Saturday as an upper
level low pressure system approaches the area. Some storms could
be severe with best chances occurring on Saturday across North
Mississippi.

The next round will occur late Sunday Night through Monday
evening as another low pressure system is expected to move into
the Mid-South. Some thunderstorms could be severe with this system
as well.

Another round of showers and thunderstorms is expected Wednesday
Night through Thursday.

Temperatures will remain above normal over the next seven days
with highs ranging from the upper 60s to the upper 70s.

ARZ008-009-017-018-026>028-MOZ113-115-251115-
Clay-Craighead-Dunklin-Greene-Lawrence-Mississippi-Pemiscot-
Poinsett-Randolph-
313 PM CDT Fri Mar 24 2017

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud Cover           MCldy        MCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip Chance (%)     90           70           20           0
Precip Type           tstms        tstms        tstms        NONE
Precip Amount (in)    0.99         0.25         0.01         0.00
Precip Dur (hrs)      8            7            1
Precip Begins         6 PM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip Ends           Continuing   Continuing   1 AM
Temp (24h Trend)      63 (+1)      73 (-1)      52           74
RH % (24h Trend)      91 (+7)      54 (+1)      100          51
AM 20 ft Wind (mph)                S 16-20 G30               SW 3-7
PM 20 ft Wind (mph)   S 17-21 G29  SW 15-19 G29 SW 6-10 G20  SW 6-10
Mixing Hgt (m-agl)                 1359                      1483
Mixing Hgt (ft-agl)                4457                      4866
Mixing Hgt (m-msl)                 1444                      1569
Mixing Hgt (ft-msl)                4739                      5147
Transport Wnd (m/s)                SW 12                     SW  8
Transport Wnd (mph)                SW 28                     SW 17
Vent Index (m2/s)                  17328                     12552
Category Day                       5                         4
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F)              66                        61
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)               S 13                      SW  5
500m Tspt Wind (mph)               S 28                      SW 11
Dispersion Index      64           88           33           46
LAL                   5            5            4            1
LASI                  3            3            2            2
Stability             D            D            E            C
Stagnation Index      1            1            3            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SUNDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows around 60. South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the mid 70s.
Minimum RH 62 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...A slight chance of showers. Partly sunny. Highs in the
upper 60s. Minimum RH 60 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...A slight chance of showers. Partly sunny. Highs
around 70. Minimum RH 59 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy.
Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 53 percent. South winds 5 to
10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny.
Highs around 70. Minimum RH 56 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

ARZ035-036-048-049-058-251115-
Crittenden-Cross-Lee AR-Phillips-St. Francis-
313 PM CDT Fri Mar 24 2017

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud Cover           MCldy        MCldy        PCldy        MClear
Precip Chance (%)     90           60           20           0
Precip Type           tstms        tstms        tstms        NONE
Precip Amount (in)    0.91         0.23         0.01         0.00
Precip Dur (hrs)      8            3            1
Precip Begins         6 PM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip Ends           Continuing   Continuing   1 AM
Temp (24h Trend)      64 (0)       75 (-2)      54           78
RH % (24h Trend)      92 (+10)     54 (+3)      100          46
AM 20 ft Wind (mph)                S 17-21 G31               S 3-7
PM 20 ft Wind (mph)   S 18-22 G30  SW 16-20 G29 SW 5-9 G18   SW 6-10
Mixing Hgt (m-agl)                 1512                      1611
Mixing Hgt (ft-agl)                4961                      5287
Mixing Hgt (m-msl)                 1574                      1674
Mixing Hgt (ft-msl)                5164                      5491
Transport Wnd (m/s)                SW 11                     SW  8
Transport Wnd (mph)                SW 25                     SW 17
Vent Index (m2/s)                  17314                     13392
Category Day                       5                         4
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F)              68                        65
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)               S 13                      SW  4
500m Tspt Wind (mph)               S 29                      SW 10
Dispersion Index      91           88           32           45
LAL                   5            5            4            1
LASI                  3            3            3            4
Stability             D            D            F            C
Stagnation Index      0            1            3            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SUNDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the mid 70s.
Minimum RH 58 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
57 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. East winds
around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
54 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy.
Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 51 percent. South winds around
10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny.
Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 54 percent. Southwest winds
5 to 10 mph.

$$

TNZ001>004-019>022-251115-
Benton TN-Carroll-Dyer-Gibson-Henry-Lake-Obion-Weakley-
313 PM CDT Fri Mar 24 2017

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud Cover           MCldy        MCldy        MCldy        PCldy
Precip Chance (%)     40           80           50           0
Precip Type           tstms        tstms        tstms        NONE
Precip Amount (in)    0.26         0.36         0.13         0.00
Precip Dur (hrs)      1            10           2
Precip Begins         10 PM        Continuing   Continuing
Precip Ends           Continuing   Continuing   1 AM
Temp (24h Trend)      62 (0)       74 (+1)      54           73
RH % (24h Trend)      84 (+5)      51 (+3)      96           49
AM 20 ft Wind (mph)                S 15-19 G28               SW 3-7
PM 20 ft Wind (mph)   S 13-17 G29  S 14-18 G28  S 5-9 G19    SW 6-10
Mixing Hgt (m-agl)                 913                       1461
Mixing Hgt (ft-agl)                2996                      4794
Mixing Hgt (m-msl)                 1034                      1583
Mixing Hgt (ft-msl)                3393                      5193
Transport Wnd (m/s)                S 13                      SW  9
Transport Wnd (mph)                S 29                      SW 20
Vent Index (m2/s)                  13442                     14247
Category Day                       4                         4
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F)              65                        61
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)               S 14                      SW  6
500m Tspt Wind (mph)               S 32                      SW 14
Dispersion Index      53           82           28           50
LAL                   5            5            5            1
LASI                  3            2            2            2
Stability             D            D            D            C
Stagnation Index      1            0            3            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SUNDAY NIGHT...A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the mid 70s.
Minimum RH 57 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...A slight chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Highs
around 70. Minimum RH 58 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...A slight chance of showers. Partly sunny. Highs in
the lower 70s. Minimum RH 53 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy.
Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 49 percent. South winds 5 to
10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy.
Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 53 percent. West winds 5 to
10 mph.

$$

TNZ048>055-088>091-251115-
Chester-Crockett-Decatur-Fayette-Hardeman-Haywood-Henderson-
Lauderdale-Madison-McNairy-Shelby-Tipton-
313 PM CDT Fri Mar 24 2017

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud Cover           MCldy        MCldy        MCldy        PCldy
Precip Chance (%)     70           70           40           0
Precip Type           tstms        tstms        tstms        NONE
Precip Amount (in)    0.35         0.41         0.12         0.00
Precip Dur (hrs)      5            11           2
Precip Begins         10 PM        Continuing   Continuing
Precip Ends           Continuing   Continuing   1 AM
Temp (24h Trend)      64 (0)       74 (-1)      55           75
RH % (24h Trend)      91 (+11)     54 (+6)      94           47
AM 20 ft Wind (mph)                S 16-20 G30               S 3-7
PM 20 ft Wind (mph)   S 14-18 G29  S 15-19 G29  S 5-9 G19    SW 5-9
Mixing Hgt (m-agl)                 775                       1581
Mixing Hgt (ft-agl)                2544                      5187
Mixing Hgt (m-msl)                 896                       1702
Mixing Hgt (ft-msl)                2941                      5585
Transport Wnd (m/s)                S 14                      SW  8
Transport Wnd (mph)                S 31                      SW 18
Vent Index (m2/s)                  12544                     13616
Category Day                       4                         4
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F)              65                        64
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)               S 14                      SW  5
500m Tspt Wind (mph)               S 31                      SW 12
Dispersion Index      72           93           30           47
LAL                   5            5            5            1
LASI                  3            2            3            3
Stability             D            D            E            B
Stagnation Index      0            0            3            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SUNDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly
cloudy. Lows around 60. South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the mid 70s.
Minimum RH 56 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...A slight chance of showers. Partly sunny. Highs in the
lower 70s. Minimum RH 58 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...A slight chance of showers. Partly sunny. Highs in
the lower 70s. Minimum RH 51 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy.
Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 50 percent. South winds 5 to
10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy.
Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 52 percent. Southwest winds
5 to 10 mph.

$$

MSZ001-007-008-010>012-020-021-251115-
Coahoma-Desoto-Panola-Quitman-Tallahatchie-Tate-Tunica-Yalobusha-
313 PM CDT Fri Mar 24 2017

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud Cover           MCldy        MCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip Chance (%)     90           70           20           0
Precip Type           tstms        tstms        tstms        NONE
Precip Amount (in)    0.71         0.42         0.03         0.00
Precip Dur (hrs)      7            9            1
Precip Begins         10 PM        Continuing   Continuing
Precip Ends           Continuing   Continuing   1 AM
Temp (24h Trend)      65 (0)       75 (-2)      55           79
RH % (24h Trend)      93 (+14)     53 (+5)      96           43
AM 20 ft Wind (mph)                S 17-21 G30               S 2-6
PM 20 ft Wind (mph)   S 16-20 G30  S 16-20 G29  SW 4-8 G18   SW 5-9
Mixing Hgt (m-agl)                 928                       1562
Mixing Hgt (ft-agl)                3045                      5123
Mixing Hgt (m-msl)                 1000                      1633
Mixing Hgt (ft-msl)                3280                      5359
Transport Wnd (m/s)                S 12                      SW  8
Transport Wnd (mph)                S 28                      SW 17
Vent Index (m2/s)                  12000                     13064
Category Day                       4                         4
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F)              68                        67
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)               S 13                      S  4
500m Tspt Wind (mph)               S 29                      S  8
Dispersion Index      77           84           34           42
LAL                   5            5            4            1
LASI                  3            3            3            4
Stability             D            D            F            B
Stagnation Index      0            0            3            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SUNDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly
cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the upper
70s. Minimum RH 56 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...A slight chance of showers. Partly sunny. Highs in the
lower 70s. Minimum RH 55 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. East winds
around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
50 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy.
Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 49 percent. South winds 5 to
10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows around 60. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny.
Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 53 percent. Southwest winds
5 to 10 mph.

$$

MSZ002>006-009-013>017-022>024-251115-
Alcorn-Benton MS-Calhoun-Chickasaw-Itawamba-Lafayette-Lee MS-
Marshall-Monroe-Pontotoc-Prentiss-Tippah-Tishomingo-Union-
313 PM CDT Fri Mar 24 2017

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud Cover           MCldy        MCldy        MCldy        PCldy
Precip Chance (%)     60           80           40           0
Precip Type           tstms        tstms        tstms        NONE
Precip Amount (in)    0.19         0.70         0.21         0.00
Precip Dur (hrs)      4            10           2
Precip Begins         10 PM        Continuing   Continuing
Precip Ends           Continuing   Continuing   1 AM
Temp (24h Trend)      64 (0)       75 (-1)      56           78
RH % (24h Trend)      90 (+13)     53 (+6)      90           43
AM 20 ft Wind (mph)                S 15-19 G27               S 2-6
PM 20 ft Wind (mph)   S 12-16 G25  S 14-18 G27  S 5-9 G19    SW 4-8
Mixing Hgt (m-agl)                 1158                      1660
Mixing Hgt (ft-agl)                3800                      5445
Mixing Hgt (m-msl)                 1282                      1784
Mixing Hgt (ft-msl)                4206                      5852
Transport Wnd (m/s)                S 14                      SW  7
Transport Wnd (mph)                S 32                      SW 16
Vent Index (m2/s)                  17948                     12488
Category Day                       5                         4
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F)              67                        67
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)               S 13                      SW  4
500m Tspt Wind (mph)               S 29                      SW 10
Dispersion Index      63           96           33           46
LAL                   5            5            5            1
LASI                  2            2            3            4
Stability             D            D            E            B
Stagnation Index      2            1            3            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SUNDAY NIGHT...A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the upper
70s. Minimum RH 54 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...A slight chance of showers. Partly sunny. Highs in the
lower 70s. Minimum RH 54 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. North winds
around 5 mph becoming east late in the evening.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
47 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Southeast winds around
5 mph.
.THURSDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy.
Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 51 percent. South winds 5 to
10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows around 60. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny.
Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 53 percent. Southwest winds
5 to 10 mph.

$$



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