Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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000
FNUS54 KMRX 261955
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
255 PM EST MON JAN 26 2015

.DISCUSSION...
AN ACTIVE WEATHER PATTERN WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION. ANOTHER WEAK SYSTEM WILL TRANSIT THE
AREA ON TUESDAY...HOWEVER WITH VERY LITTLE MOISTURE...ONLY THE
HIGHEST ELEVATIONS WILL SEE ANY ACCUMULATION...AND THOSE AMOUNTS
WILL BE LESS THAN AN INCH. AFTER A DRY WEDNESDAY...ANOTHER SYSTEM
WILL MOVE IN ON THURSDAY...SPREADING RAIN ACROSS THE REGION.
OVERNIGHT THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING THE RAIN WILL
TRANSITION TO SNOW. ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE LIGHT IN THE VALLEY...WITH
A FEW INCHES POSSIBLE IN THE MOUNTAINS.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-272100-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
255 PM EST MON JAN 26 2015

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR
TEMP (24H TREND)      20-25 (-13)  31-36 (-6)   15-20        37-42
RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (+5)   44-49 (-26)  79-84        31-36
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  6                     LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  7        NW  8        NW  7 G15    LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS NONE         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           30           0            0
PRECIP DURATION       1            1
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 PM
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.03         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               4                         4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4600                      3500
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 14                     NW  5
DISPERSION                         31 FAIR                   5 VERY POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  7 G16                 LGT/VAR
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  9 G17    NW 10 G19    NW  9 G18    LGT/VAR

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 20S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW. HIGHS IN
THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...RAIN AND SNOW LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO
LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S.
HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS AROUND 13. HIGHS IN
THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-272100-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
255 PM EST MON JAN 26 2015

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       PCLDY        MCLEAR
TEMP (24H TREND)      17-22 (-15)  31-36 (-4)   14-19        35-40
RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (+1)   39-44 (-29)  84-89        27-32
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  8 G16                 LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 10 G20    NW 10 G20    NW  9 G21    LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS SNOW         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           40           20           0
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   1 AM
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.09         0.04         0.01         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               4                         4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5100                      3700
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 18                     NW  9
DISPERSION                         36 FAIR                   5 VERY POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 10 G20                 NW  6 G15
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 13 G25    NW 13 G25    NW 12 G26    NW  5

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. SOUTH WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...RAIN AND SNOW LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO MID
30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN
THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S.
HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 20S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN. LOWS AROUND 13.
HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ072-074-272100-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
255 PM EST MON JAN 26 2015

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR
TEMP (24H TREND)      20-25 (-12)  32-37 (-2)   17-22        39-44
RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (-5)   45-50 (-26)  77-82        21-26
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  6                     LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  7 G17    NW  8 G16    NW  8 G16    LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS SNOW         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           40           10           0
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   1 AM
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.09         0.03         0.01         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               3                         5
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5100                      3800
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 15                     N  8
DISPERSION                         21 FAIR                   4 VERY POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  7 G16                 NE  5
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  9 G21    NW  9 G20    NW 10 G20    N  5

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER
30S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW. HIGHS IN
THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN
THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN. LOWS AROUND 16.
HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ087-102-272100-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
255 PM EST MON JAN 26 2015

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR
TEMP (24H TREND)      25-30 (-9)   39-44 (+2)   21-26        42-47
RH % (24H TREND)      84-89 (-7)   44-49 (-23)  77-82        27-32
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  5                     LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  6        NW  8        N  8         LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS NONE         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           0            0
PRECIP DURATION       1            1
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   1 PM
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.01         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               3                         4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4900                      3200
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 15                     N  8
DISPERSION                         34 FAIR                   8 POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  7 G17                 N  5
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  7 G15    NW 10 G18    N  9 G18     N  5

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. SOUTH WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW. HIGHS IN
THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.
NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S.
HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS
AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH.

$$

NCZ060-061-272100-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
255 PM EST MON JAN 26 2015

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR
TEMP (24H TREND)      23-28 (-11)  38-43 (0)    21-26        43-48
RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (-7)   46-51 (-22)  76-81        24-29
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  8 G16                 LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  8 G17    NW  9        N  8 G16     LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS NONE         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           0            0
PRECIP DURATION       1            1
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   1 PM
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.01         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               3                         5
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4700                      3500
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 15                     N  7
DISPERSION                         32 FAIR                   7 POOR
MAX LVORI                          4                         2
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  9 G20                 N  5
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  9 G22    NW 11 G20    N 11 G20     LGT/VAR

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW. HIGHS IN
THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S.
HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS NEAR 40. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS
AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-272100-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
255 PM EST MON JAN 26 2015

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR
TEMP (24H TREND)      23-28 (-12)  35-40 (-3)   17-22        39-44
RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (+2)   42-47 (-24)  81-86        33-38
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  5                     LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  7        NW  7        NW  5        LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS NONE         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           30           0            0
PRECIP DURATION       1            1
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 PM
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.02         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               4                         4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4400                      3300
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 12                     N  2
DISPERSION                         28 FAIR                   4 VERY POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  6                     LGT/VAR
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  8 G18    NW  9 G17    NW  6        LGT/VAR

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER
30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW. HIGHS IN
THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...RAIN AND SNOW LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO
MID 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. COLDER. HIGHS IN
THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS AROUND
30. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID
20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN. LOWS AROUND 15.
HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-272100-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
255 PM EST MON JAN 26 2015

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR
TEMP (24H TREND)      24-29 (-11)  37-42 (0)    19-24        41-46
RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (0)    45-50 (-21)  78-83        32-37
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  6        N  5         LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS NONE         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           20           0            0
PRECIP DURATION       1            1
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 PM
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.01         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               3                         4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4700                      3100
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW  9                     NE  5
DISPERSION                         28 FAIR                   7 POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  5         NW  8 G16    N  6         LGT/VAR

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 30. SOUTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW. HIGHS IN
THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO
MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.
NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S.
HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SNOW. LOWS AROUND 18. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-272100-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
255 PM EST MON JAN 26 2015

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR
TEMP (24H TREND)      27-32 (-7)   41-46 (+4)   22-27        44-49
RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (-3)   44-49 (-21)  78-83        28-33
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  7        N  6         LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            0
PRECIP DURATION       1
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM
PRECIP END            CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               3                         4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4800                      3000
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 13                     NE  8
DISPERSION                         39 FAIR                   12 POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  9 G18    N  8 G17     LGT/VAR

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. SOUTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS NEAR 50.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE 30S.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER
20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

$$



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