Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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000
FNUS54 KMRX 051930
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
230 PM EST FRI FEB 5 2016

.DISCUSSION...
TRANQUIL WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE
REGION THROUGH THE WEEKEND. A STRONG SURGE OF ARCTIC AIR RETURNS TO
THE AREA BY THE MONDAY...PROMOTING MUCH COLDER CONDITIONS AS WELL AS
A CHANCE FOR LIGHT SNOW HEADING INTO THE FIRST HALF OF THE WORK
WEEK.

VAZ001-002-005-006-008-062030-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
230 PM EST FRI FEB 5 2016

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR
TEMP (24H TREND)      20-25 (-1)   42-47 (+6)   24-29        44-49
RH % (24H TREND)      72-77 (-4)   25-30 (-10)  82-87        34-39
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0
PRECIP DURATION
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               4                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3000                      3400
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  7                      NW  9
DISPERSION                         6 VERY POOR               11 POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE 20S TO MID 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S
TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. COLDER. LOWS 19 TO 27. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE
20S TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
16. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 20S TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-062030-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
230 PM EST FRI FEB 5 2016

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR
TEMP (24H TREND)      18-23 (0)    38-43 (+8)   22-27        41-46
RH % (24H TREND)      70-75 (-7)   25-30 (-19)  76-81        37-42
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  5
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0
PRECIP DURATION
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               5                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4100                      3600
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  6                      NW 13
DISPERSION                         6 VERY POOR               9 POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  5        LGT/VAR      NW  6

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH.
.MONDAY...SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO
LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. COLDER. LOWS 17 TO 25. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE
20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
15. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER
40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ072-074-062030-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
230 PM EST FRI FEB 5 2016

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR
TEMP (24H TREND)      19-24 (+2)   36-41 (+4)   22-27        41-46
RH % (24H TREND)      70-75 (-6)   27-32 (-12)  80-85        33-38
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0
PRECIP DURATION
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               5                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4600                      4000
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW  5                     NW 10
DISPERSION                         6 VERY POOR               7 POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  5

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE UPPER TEENS TO MID 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S
TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. COLDER. LOWS 10 TO 26. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER TEENS TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
AROUND 17. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID
30S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ087-102-062030-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
230 PM EST FRI FEB 5 2016

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR
TEMP (24H TREND)      21-26 (+1)   41-46 (+4)   24-29        46-51
RH % (24H TREND)      71-76 (-4)   27-32 (-6)   77-82        31-36
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0
PRECIP DURATION
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               4                         4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3700                      3600
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  3                      NW  9
DISPERSION                         4 VERY POOR               12 POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH.
.MONDAY...SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S
TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS
15 TO 25. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER. HIGHS
IN THE LOWER 20S TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

NCZ060-061-062030-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
230 PM EST FRI FEB 5 2016

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR
TEMP (24H TREND)      20-25 (-1)   41-46 (+4)   22-27        45-50
RH % (24H TREND)      77-82 (+2)   29-34 (-1)   78-83        29-34
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0
PRECIP DURATION
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               4                         4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4200                      3500
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  2                      NW 12
DISPERSION                         4 VERY POOR               12 POOR
MAX LVORI                          3                         4
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  5

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO
MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER.
LOWS 16 TO 24. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER.
HIGHS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-062030-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
230 PM EST FRI FEB 5 2016

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR
TEMP (24H TREND)      19-24 (-2)   43-48 (+5)   24-29        46-51
RH % (24H TREND)      74-79 (-2)   27-32 (-7)   77-82        34-39
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0
PRECIP DURATION
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               5                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2300                      3400
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  5                      W  8
DISPERSION                         3 VERY POOR               14 GEN POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT
CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO
MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN
THE 20S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE
20S TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
19. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID
30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-062030-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
230 PM EST FRI FEB 5 2016

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR
TEMP (24H TREND)      22-27 (+1)   45-50 (+4)   26-31        48-53
RH % (24H TREND)      71-76 (-1)   27-32 (-2)   77-82        33-38
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0
PRECIP DURATION
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               4                         4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 1800                      3400
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  5                      W  8
DISPERSION                         2 VERY POOR               14 GEN POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER TO MID 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS.
COLDER. LOWS 19 TO 27. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE
20S TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-062030-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
230 PM EST FRI FEB 5 2016 /130 PM CST FRI FEB 5 2016/

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR
TEMP (24H TREND)      24-29 (+2)   46-51 (+4)   26-31        49-54
RH % (24H TREND)      72-77 (+4)   25-30 (-2)   78-83        30-35
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0
PRECIP DURATION
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               5                         4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 1600                      3400
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW  2                     NW  9
DISPERSION                         1 VERY POOR               19 GEN POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  5

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS.
COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER.
HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$


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