Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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FNUS54 KMRX 171926
FWFMRX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for East Tennessee...Southwest
Virginia...and Extreme Southwest North Carolina
National Weather Service Morristown TN
226 PM EST Sun Dec 17 2017

.DISCUSSION...
Rain chances will taper off through the evening. Light
scattered showers will be possible through the middle of the work
week...with temperatures warming to several degrees above normal.



VAZ001-002-005-006-008-182030-
Jefferson National Forest/Virginia District 6-
226 PM EST Sun Dec 17 2017

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud cover           MCldy        MCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      35-40 (+9)   50-55 (+10)  37-42        55-60
RH % (24h trend)      93-98 (+9)   66-71 (+4)   91-96        53-58
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  6 G17
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      SW  6 G15    SW  5 G15    SW  7 G19
Precip type           showers      showers      NONE         showers
Chance precip (%)     20           20           0            20
Precip duration       1            1                         1
Precip begin          7 PM         Continuing                10 AM
Precip end            Continuing   1 PM                      Continuing
Precip amount         0.02         0.01         0.00         0.02
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI/Haines                        2                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 4100                      3700
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*                2000                      1600
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 15                     SW 17
Dispersion                         26 Fair                   24 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  SW  6                     SW  7 G17
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SW  5        SW  8        SW  7 G15    SW  9 G19

Remarks...None.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...Showers likely. Lows in the mid 40s. West winds
less than 10 mph shifting to the north after midnight.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers likely. Highs in the upper 40s to mid 50s.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers.
Colder. Lows in the 30s. East winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Highs in the mid 40s to upper 50s.
South winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
lower 40s. Highs in the 50s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper
30s. Highs in the upper 40s to mid 50s. North winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper
30s. Highs in the 40s to mid 50s. Southwest winds less than
10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-182030-
Northern Cherokee National Forest-
226 PM EST Sun Dec 17 2017

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud cover           MCldy        PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      36-41 (+8)   52-57 (+10)  37-42        56-61
RH % (24h trend)      89-94 (+19)  58-63 (+20)  85-90        46-51
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  W  5 G16                  W  6 G20
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     W  5 G16     W  7 G17     W  7 G21     W  7 G20
Precip type           showers      showers      NONE         showers
Chance precip (%)     30           20           0            30
Precip duration       1            1                         1
Precip begin          7 PM         Continuing                10 AM
Precip end            Continuing   1 PM                      Continuing
Precip amount         0.04         0.01         0.00         0.07
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI/Haines                        2                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 4200                      4600
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*                1400                      1900
Transport wnd (mph)                W 14                      W 22
Dispersion                         16 Gen poor               33 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  W  6 G16                  W  8 G20
33ft wind-PM(mph)     W  5 G16     W  8 G17     W  8 G21     W  9 G20

Remarks...None.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...Showers likely. Lows in the 40s to lower 50s.
Northwest winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers. Highs in the upper 40s to mid 50s.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers.
Colder. Lows in the 30s to lower 40s. Southeast winds less than
10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Highs in the 40s to 50s. Southeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers likely. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the
upper 40s to lower 60s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Showers likely. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the
upper 40s to mid 50s. Northwest winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper
30s. Highs in the 40s to mid 50s. West winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ072-074-182030-
Tennessee Portion Of The Great Smoky Mountain National Park-
226 PM EST Sun Dec 17 2017

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud cover           MCldy        PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      38-43 (+11)  53-58 (+6)   39-44        57-62
RH % (24h trend)      89-94 (+27)  47-52 (+19)  76-81        49-54
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  W  5 G19                  SW  6 G21
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     SW  7 G28    W  8 G22     SW  8 G24    SW  7 G21
Precip type           showers      drizzle      NONE         showers
Chance precip (%)     30           0            0            40
Precip duration       1                                      1
Precip begin          7 PM                                   10 AM
Precip end            Continuing                             Continuing
Precip amount         0.05         0.00         0.00         0.15
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI/Haines                        3                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 4000                      4400
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*                1000                      1400
Transport wnd (mph)                W 13                      SW 21
Dispersion                         9 Poor                    23 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  W  7 G19                  SW  8 G21
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SW 10 G28    W 10 G22     SW 10 G24    SW  9 G21

Remarks...None.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...Showers. Lows in the 40s to lower 50s. West
winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers. Highs in the mid 40s to upper 50s.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Colder. Lows
in the mid 30s to lower 40s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Highs in the mid 40s to upper 50s.
South winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers likely. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the 50s
to lower 60s. South winds 5 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Showers likely. Lows around 40. Highs in the upper
40s to mid 50s. Northwest winds 5 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows around 40. Highs
in the 40s to mid 50s. Northwest winds up to 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ087-102-182030-
Southern Cherokee National Forest-
226 PM EST Sun Dec 17 2017

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud cover           MCldy        PCldy        PCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      39-44 (+14)  55-60 (+10)  40-45        58-63
RH % (24h trend)      92-97 (+13)  56-61 (+18)  86-91        59-64
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     S  5 G18     SW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Precip type           showers      drizzle      NONE         showers
Chance precip (%)     20           0            0            50
Precip duration       1                                      1
Precip begin          7 PM                                   10 AM
Precip end            Continuing                             Continuing
Precip amount         0.05         0.00         0.00         0.18
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI/Haines                        4                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 2900                      3200
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*                900                       1200
Transport wnd (mph)                SW  7                     SW  9
Dispersion                         5 Very poor               8 Poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
33ft wind-PM(mph)     S  6 G18     SW  6        SW  5        SW  5

Remarks...None.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...Showers. Lows in the upper 40s to mid 50s. South
winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers. Highs in the 50s to lower 60s. Northeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the
lower 40s. East winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs in the 40s to upper 50s. South
winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers likely. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the mid
50s to lower 60s. South winds 5 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Showers likely. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the
50s. North winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower
40s. Highs in the upper 40s to mid 50s. West winds up to 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

NCZ060-061-182030-
Nantahala National Forest-
226 PM EST Sun Dec 17 2017

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

CLOUD COVER           MCldy        PCldy        PCldy        MCldy
TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (+14)  56-61 (+16)  39-44        59-64
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+14) 53-58 (+7)   87-92        59-64
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE           showers      drizzle      NONE         showers
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            0            50
PRECIP DURATION       1                                      1
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                   10 AM
PRECIP END            Continuing                             Continuing
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.00         0.00         0.17
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI/Haines                        4                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3200                      4000
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)*                1000                      1800
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  7                      W 10
DISPERSION                         5 Very poor               17 Gen poor
MAX LVORI                          6                         4
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         W  6         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR

Remarks...None.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...Showers. Lows in the lower 50s. Southwest winds
less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers. Highs in the 50s to lower 60s. Southwest
winds less than 10 mph shifting to the northeast in the
afternoon.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Colder. Lows
in the upper 30s to mid 40s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs in the mid 40s to upper 50s.
Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers likely. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the 50s
to lower 60s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Showers likely. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the
50s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower
40s. Highs in the upper 40s to mid 50s. West winds less than
10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-182030-
East Tennessee District East-
226 PM EST Sun Dec 17 2017

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud cover           MCldy        MCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      36-41 (+10)  53-58 (+13)  37-42        57-62
RH % (24h trend)      93-98 (+7)   63-68 (+4)   91-96        53-58
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      W  5         LGT/VAR      SW  5
Precip type           showers      showers      NONE         showers
Chance precip (%)     30           20           0            30
Precip duration       1            1                         1
Precip begin          7 PM         Continuing                10 AM
Precip end            Continuing   1 PM                      Continuing
Precip amount         0.03         0.01         0.00         0.08
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI/Haines                        3                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 3500                      3600
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*                2100                      2100
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 13                     SW 16
Dispersion                         22 Fair                   28 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  5
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      W  6         SW  5        SW  6

Remarks...None.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...Showers likely. Lows in the mid 40s to lower
50s. Light winds becoming northwest less than 10 mph after
midnight.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers likely. Highs in the upper 40s to mid 50s.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Colder. Lows
in the 30s to lower 40s. East winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Highs in the mid 40s to upper 50s.
Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
lower 40s. Highs in the 50s to lower 60s. South winds up to
10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper
30s. Highs in the upper 40s to mid 50s. North winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper
30s. Highs in the 40s to mid 50s. Northwest winds less than
10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-182030-
East Tennessee District West-
226 PM EST Sun Dec 17 2017

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud cover           MCldy        MCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      37-42 (+10)  53-58 (+12)  40-45        56-61
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (+11) 64-69 (+3)   85-90        59-64
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      SW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Precip type           showers      drizzle      NONE         showers
Chance precip (%)     20           0            0            40
Precip duration       1                                      1
Precip begin          7 PM                                   10 AM
Precip end            Continuing                             Continuing
Precip amount         0.02         0.00         0.00         0.10
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI/Haines                        3                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 3000                      2900
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*                1700                      1700
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 10                     SW 14
Dispersion                         16 Gen poor               20 Gen poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      SW  6        SW  5        SW  5

Remarks...None.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...Showers. Lows in the mid 40s to lower 50s.
Southwest winds less than 10 mph shifting to the north after
midnight.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers. Highs in the 40s to upper 50s. Northeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Colder. Lows
in the 30s to mid 40s. East winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Highs in the upper 40s to lower 60s.
South winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs
in the mid 50s to lower 60s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper
30s. Highs in the upper 40s to mid 50s. North winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper
30s. Highs in the mid 40s to lower 50s. Northwest winds less than
10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ077-079>085-097>101-182030-
Cumberland District South-
226 PM EST Sun Dec 17 2017 /126 PM CST Sun Dec 17 2017/

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud cover           MCldy        MCldy        PCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      38-43 (+11)  55-60 (+14)  42-47        57-62
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (+12) 64-69 (+6)   85-90        64-69
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Precip type           showers      drizzle      NONE         showers
Chance precip (%)     20           0            0            60
Precip duration       1                                      2
Precip begin          7 PM                                   7 AM
Precip end            Continuing                             Continuing
Precip amount         0.02         0.00         0.00         0.19
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI/Haines                        4                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 2500                      2600
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*                1300                      1500
Transport wnd (mph)                SW  7                     SW 10
Dispersion                         8 Poor                    12 Poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      SW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR

Remarks...None.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...Showers. Lows in the upper 40s to mid 50s.
Southwest winds less than 10 mph shifting to the east after
midnight.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers. Highs in the mid 50s to lower 60s. North
winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Colder. Lows
in the upper 30s to mid 40s. Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs in the 50s to lower 60s. South
winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs
in the mid 50s to lower 60s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper
30s. Highs in the 40s to upper 50s. North winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows around 40. Highs
in the mid 40s to lower 50s. Northwest winds up to 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$


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