Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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000
FNUS54 KMRX 240701
FWFMRX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for East Tennessee...Southwest
Virginia...and Extreme Southwest North Carolina
National Weather Service Morristown TN
301 AM EDT Wed May 24 2017

.DISCUSSION...
...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE TODAY...

AN APPROACHING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL SPREAD
WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE TENNESSEE VALLEY AND
SOUTHERN APPALCHIANS TODAY. SOME OF THESE STORMS MAY PRODUCE HEAVY
RAINFALL, DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL. ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE. PRECIPITATION WILL GRADUALLY TAPER OFF FROM WEST TO EAST
ON THURSDAY...LEADING TO A DRY COOL THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
A WARMING TREND IS EXPECTED FOR FRIDAY WITH DRY CONDITIONS.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-250815-
Jefferson National Forest/Virginia District 6-
301 AM EDT Wed May 24 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud cover           MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      67-72 (+3)   49-54 (-4)   59-64
RH % (24h trend)      63-68 (-11)  93-98 (-3)   64-69
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     S  6 G23                  SW 10 G25
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     S 15 G33     SW 11 G31    SW 11 G27
Precip type           tstms        tstms        tstms
Chance precip (%)     90           60           70
Precip duration       5            2            3
Precip begin          8 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.71         0.19         0.35
LAL                   5            3            2
LASI                  4                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    5900                      6200
Transport wnd (mph)   S 17                      W 28
Dispersion            56 Gen good               102 Very good
33ft wind-AM(mph)     S  8 G23                  SW 12 G25
33ft wind-PM(mph)     S 19 G33     SW 13 G31    SW 14 G27

Remarks...None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the
upper 40s to mid 50s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Slight chance of showers. Highs in the
mid 60s to lower 80s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s to lower 60s. Southwest winds
less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the 70s to lower 80s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows around 60. Highs in the upper 60s to lower 80s. West winds
up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the upper 60s to lower 80s.
Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
mid 50s. Highs in the upper 60s to lower 80s. West winds up to
10 mph.

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-250815-
Northern Cherokee National Forest-
301 AM EDT Wed May 24 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud cover           MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      66-71 (+4)   48-53 (-5)   58-63
RH % (24h trend)      59-64 (-18)  89-94 (-7)   55-60
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     S  6 G28                  W  9 G26
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     S 15 G35     SW  9 G24    W 13 G34
Precip type           tstms        tstms        tstms
Chance precip (%)     80           70           60
Precip duration       4            2            3
Precip begin          8 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.70         0.37         0.31
LAL                   5            3            2
LASI                  3                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    5600                      7300
Transport wnd (mph)   S 18                      W 30
Dispersion            43 Gen good               120 Very good
33ft wind-AM(mph)     S  8 G28                  W 12 G26
33ft wind-PM(mph)     S 18 G35     SW 11 G24    W 16 G34

Remarks...None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the
40s to mid 50s. West winds 5 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s to lower 80s. West
winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s to lower 60s. Southwest winds
less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the upper 60s to mid 80s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the upper 60s to lower 80s. West
winds up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid 60s to lower 80s. West
winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
mid 50s. Highs in the mid 60s to lower 80s. West winds up to
10 mph.

$$

TNZ072-074-250815-
Tennessee Portion Of The Great Smoky Mountain National Park-
301 AM EDT Wed May 24 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud cover           MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      65-70 (+3)   47-52 (-6)   59-64
RH % (24h trend)      57-62 (-18)  93-98 (-4)   51-56
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     S  9 G33                  W 11 G31
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     S 16 G37     W  9 G28     W 13 G33
Precip type           tstms        tstms        showers
Chance precip (%)     90           60           50
Precip duration       5            2            1
Precip begin          8 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.79         0.34         0.21
LAL                   5            3            1
LASI                  3                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    6000                      7500
Transport wnd (mph)   S 22                      W 28
Dispersion            53 Gen good               105 Very good
33ft wind-AM(mph)     S 11 G33                  W 13 G31
33ft wind-PM(mph)     S 20 G37     W 11 G28     W 17 G33

Remarks...None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the
40s to mid 50s. West winds 5 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s to lower 80s. West winds
less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in
the lower 50s to mid 60s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the upper 60s to mid 80s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the lower
60s. Highs in the upper 60s to lower 80s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the 60s to lower 80s. Southwest
winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
mid 50s. Highs in the upper 50s to lower 80s. West winds up to
10 mph.

$$

TNZ087-102-250815-
Southern Cherokee National Forest-
301 AM EDT Wed May 24 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud cover           MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      66-71 (-1)   48-53 (-9)   65-70
RH % (24h trend)      62-67 (-9)   95-100 (0)   47-52
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     SE  9 G30                 W  8 G25
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     SW 13 G33    W  7 G17     W 12 G29
Precip type           tstms        showers      showers
Chance precip (%)     90           50           50
Precip duration       6            1            1
Precip begin          8 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.75         0.26         0.14
LAL                   5            3            1
LASI                  4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    5000                      7400
Transport wnd (mph)   S 20                      W 23
Dispersion            49 Gen good               107 Very good
33ft wind-AM(mph)     SE 12 G30                 W 10 G25
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SW 17 G33    W  9 G17     W 15 G29

Remarks...None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Chance of showers. Lows in the
mid 40s to lower 50s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the 70s to lower 80s. Southwest winds
up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s to mid 60s.
Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the lower 70s to mid 80s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the lower
60s. Highs in the 70s to lower 80s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid 60s to lower 80s.
Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
upper 50s. Highs in the mid 60s to lower 80s. Northwest winds
less than 10 mph.

$$

NCZ060-061-250815-
Nantahala National Forest-
301 AM EDT Wed May 24 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

CLOUD COVER           MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
TEMP (24H TREND)      65-70 (-1)   47-52 (-9)   64-69
RH % (24H TREND)      66-71 (-7)   95-100 (-2)  51-56
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  7 G25                 W  8 G26
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 11 G28    W  7 G16     W 12 G29
PRECIP TYPE           tstms        showers      showers
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           50           40
PRECIP DURATION       5            1            1
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         Continuing   Continuing
PRECIP END            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.74         0.20         0.16
LAL                   5            3            1
LASI                  3                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5300                      8000
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 17                      W 24
DISPERSION            44 Gen good               118 Very good
MAX LVORI             4                         4
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE 10 G25                 W 11 G26
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 14 G28    W  8 G16     W 15 G29

Remarks...None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers. Lows in
the mid 40s to lower 50s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the 70s to lower 80s. West winds up to
10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in
the mid 50s to lower 60s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the 70s to mid 80s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the 70s to lower 80s. West winds
less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the upper 60s to lower 80s. West
winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
upper 50s. Highs in the upper 60s to lower 80s. Northwest winds
less than 10 mph.

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-250815-
East Tennessee District East-
301 AM EDT Wed May 24 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud cover           MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      70-75 (+4)   51-56 (-3)   62-67
RH % (24h trend)      58-63 (-14)  94-99 (-2)   57-62
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     SE  6 G23                 SW 10 G26
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     S 15 G35     SW 10 G33    W 11 G25
Precip type           tstms        tstms        tstms
Chance precip (%)     90           50           60
Precip duration       4            1            3
Precip begin          8 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.67         0.19         0.32
LAL                   5            3            2
LASI                  4                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    5500                      5900
Transport wnd (mph)   S 16                      W 30
Dispersion            57 Gen good               114 Very good
33ft wind-AM(mph)     SE  8 G23                 SW 12 G26
33ft wind-PM(mph)     S 19 G35     SW 12 G33    W 14 G25

Remarks...None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows
in the upper 40s to mid 50s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s to lower 80s.
Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s to lower 60s. South winds less
than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the lower 70s to mid 80s. Southwest winds less than
10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the 70s to lower 80s. West winds
up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the 70s to lower 80s. Southwest
winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
upper 50s. Highs in the 70s to lower 80s. West winds less than
10 mph.

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-250815-
East Tennessee District West-
301 AM EDT Wed May 24 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud cover           MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      68-73 (0)    49-54 (-6)   65-70
RH % (24h trend)      59-64 (-7)   94-99 (-2)   49-54
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     SE  7 G27                 SW  9 G23
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     SW 15 G36    SW  8 G27    W 10 G26
Precip type           tstms        showers      tstms
Chance precip (%)     90           40           50
Precip duration       5            1            1
Precip begin          8 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.75         0.10         0.13
LAL                   5            3            2
LASI                  4                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    5500                      6200
Transport wnd (mph)   S 20                      W 28
Dispersion            73 Good                   117 Very good
33ft wind-AM(mph)     SE  9 G27                 SW 11 G23
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SW 19 G36    SW 10 G27    W 13 G26

Remarks...None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows
in the 50s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s to mid 80s.
Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower to mid 60s. Southwest winds less
than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the 70s to mid 80s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the lower
60s. Highs in the 70s to lower 80s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the 70s to lower 80s. Southwest
winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
upper 50s. Highs in the 70s to lower 80s. West winds less than
10 mph.

$$

TNZ077-079>085-097>101-250815-
Cumberland District South-
301 AM EDT Wed May 24 2017 /201 AM CDT Wed May 24 2017/

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud cover           MCldy        MCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      67-72 (-3)   49-54 (-8)   68-73
RH % (24h trend)      59-64 (-6)   95-100 (0)   47-52
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     S 10 G30                  W  8 G25
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     SW 15 G35    W  6 G17     W 11 G27
Precip type           tstms        showers      showers
Chance precip (%)     90           40           30
Precip duration       5            1            1
Precip begin          8 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   8 PM
Precip amount         0.65         0.17         0.06
LAL                   5            1            1
LASI                  3                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    5000                      6600
Transport wnd (mph)   SW 18                     W 23
Dispersion            63 Good                   106 Very good
33ft wind-AM(mph)     S 12 G30                  W 11 G25
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SW 18 G35    W  8 G17     W 14 G27

Remarks...None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the 50s. Southwest winds
up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s to mid 80s. Southwest
winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Warmer. Lows in the mid 60s. South
winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the upper 70s to mid 80s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the mid 60s.
Highs in the upper 70s to mid 80s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid 70s to lower 80s.
Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows around 60. Highs in the mid 70s to
lower 80s. Northwest winds less than 10 mph.

$$



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