Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Wakefield, VA

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FNUS71 KAKQ 141423
FWSAKQ

SPOT FORECAST FOR PINEY GROVE UNITS 10 11...TNC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
1023 AM EDT THU AUG 14 2014

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A WEAK COLD FRONT DROPS SOUTH INTO THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON AND
SLOWLY MOVES THROUGH THE AREA BY SATURDAY MORNING. HIGH PRESSURE
SLIDES INTO THE AREA ON SATURDAY BEFORE SLIPPING OFF THE COAST ON
SUNDAY. ANOTHER COLD FRONT SETTLES INTO THE REGION EARLY NEXT WEEK.



.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 86.
MIN HUMIDITY........33 PERCENT.
WIND (20FT/2MIN)....LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 7 MPH
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2100 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 5100-5400 FT
                    AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 7 TO 13 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 6 OR LOW TO HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............0   0   3   3   3   7   7   7
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........
TSTM COV............
TEMP................75  79  82  84  85  85  85  85
RH..................52  44  39  36  35  34  34  34
CHC OF PCPN (%).....0   0   0   0   10  10  10  10
MIX HGT (KFT).......1.5 2.1 2.9 3.7 4.5 4.8 5.1 5.4
20 FT WIND DIR......NW  NW  W   W   SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT WIND SPD......2   2   3   3   5   6   6   7
20 FT WIND GUST.....5   10  10  10  10  10  10  10
TRANSP WIND DIR.....NW  NW  NW  W   W   W   W   SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.....7   7   7   8   9   10  12  13
VRATE KT-FT/1000....9   13  19  26  36  43  50  59
LVORI...............2   2   2   2   1   1   1   1
ADI.................13  18  27  29  36  42  48  54
HAINES INDEX........5   5   5   6   6   6   5   5

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 61.
MAX HUMIDITY........90 PERCENT.
WIND (20FT/2MIN)....SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000-4200 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 300-1800 FT
                    AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 8 TO 16 MPH...DECREASING TO 3 TO 5
                    MPH LATE IN THE EVENING.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR VERY LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR
                    LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).............17  17  17  25  25  25  31  31  31  33  33  33
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........
TSTM COV............
TEMP................82  78  74  71  68  66  66  65  65  64  63  62
RH..................40  48  59  65  72  78  78  81  84  84  87  90
CHC OF PCPN (%).....10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
MIX HGT (KFT).......4.2 3.0 1.8 1.3 0.8 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
20 FT WIND DIR......SW  SW  S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  W   W
20 FT WIND SPD......6   3   3   3   3   3   2   2   1   1   1   0
20 FT WIND GUST.....10  10  5   5   5   5   5   5
TRANSP WIND DIR.....SW  SW  SW  SW  S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.....15  16  16  13  8   5   3   3   3   3   3   3
VRATE KT-FT/1000....53  42  25  15  6   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
LVORI...............1   1   1   3   3   4   4   5   5   5   6   7
ADI.................56  52  38  22  4   2   2   1   1   1   1   2
HAINES INDEX........5   5   5   5   4   4   4   4   4   4   3   3

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 85.
MIN HUMIDITY........35 PERCENT.
WIND (20FT/2MIN)....LIGHT WINDS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1900 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 4800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 3 MPH...INCREASING TO 5 TO 10
                    MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR VERY LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR
                    LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............33  33  33  30  30  30  26  26  26  26  26  26
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........
TSTM COV............
TEMP................62  63  65  69  74  78  81  83  84  85  85  85
RH..................90  87  81  68  57  48  44  40  38  37  37  37
CHC OF PCPN (%).....10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
MIX HGT (KFT).......0.3 0.3 0.3 0.8 1.3 1.9 2.6 3.3 4.1 4.3 4.5 4.8
20 FT WIND DIR......W   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  W   W   W   W   W
20 FT WIND SPD......1   1   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   3   3
20 FT WIND GUST.....        5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
TRANSP WIND DIR.....SW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  W   W   W   W   W   SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.....3   5   5   5   6   6   7   7   8   9   10  10
VRATE KT-FT/1000....1   1   1   4   6   9   15  21  29  36  41  43
LVORI...............7   6   5   3   2   2   2   1   1   1   1   1
ADI.................2   2   2   2   9   14  21  30  40  49  56  58
HAINES INDEX........3   3   3   4   4   5   5   5   5   5   4   4



FORECASTER...ALEXANDER
REQUESTED BY...BOBBY CLONTZ
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140814.PINEY.01/AKQ






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