Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Bismarck, ND

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000
FNUS73 KBIS 111320
FWSBIS

Spot Forecast for Mandan Rural Fire...ND Forest Service
National Weather Service Bismarck ND
820 AM CDT Wed Oct 11 2017

Forecast is based on request time of 0900 CDT on October 11.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

Wednesday will see sunny skies with temperatures rising to the
upper 60s. Minimum relative humidity around 29 percent. South
winds around 13 mph this morning will increase to around 20 mph
by 2 pm CDT gusting to 28 mph this afternoon.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny.
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 68.
Min humidity........29 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 13 to 21 mph.
Mixing height.......600-2300 ft AGL increasing to 2100-2900 ft AGL
                    late in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....South 18 to 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to good (8700-55000 knot-ft).
Haines Index........4 (low).

TIME (CDT)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........7   6   5   3   2   3   4   5   6
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............43  46  49  55  60  64  67  68  67
RH..............57  52  46  41  36  32  29  29  32
20 FT wind dir..SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..14  14  15  17  17  17  18  17  15
20 FT wind gust.17  17  18  23  25  27  28  26  18
Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 0.7 1.2 1.6 2.0 2.3 2.6 2.9 2.1
Transp wind dir.SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.16  17  17  17  25  25  25  22  22
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
SDspl kt-ft/10009   11  17  24  35  40  44  55  39

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 44.
Max humidity........87 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 10 mph.
Mixing height.......300-1200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 22 mph becoming southeast 8 to 9
                    mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to fair (1900-23500 knot-ft).

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........7   8   12  16  20  23  27  31  33  34  36  37
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............64  60  57  53  51  49  48  47  47  46  45  45
RH..............37  44  51  58  63  67  76  81  84  83  85  87
20 FT wind dir..S   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S
20 FT wind spd..10  6   6   6   7   6   6   6   6   6   6   6
20 FT wind gust.13  9   9   9   10  9   9   9   9   7   7   7
Mix hgt (kft)...1.2 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
Transp wind spd.22  9   9   9   9   9   9   9   9   9   8   8
Haines index....3   3   3   3   3   4   4   5   5   6   6   6
SDspl kt-ft/100024  3   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny.
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 62.
Min humidity........33 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 5 to 11 mph.
Mixing height.......300-1700 ft AGL increasing to 4300-4700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 5 to 8 mph increasing to northwest 14 to
                    22 mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to good (1300-40300 knot-ft) increasing to
                    good to excellent (54000-88700 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........4 to 5 OR (low) to (moderate).

TIME (CDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
Sky (%).........38        47        56        51
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0         0         0         0
Chc of pcpn (%).0         0         0         0
LAL.............1         1         1         1
Temp............44        45        55        62
RH..............85        76        51        33
20 FT wind......S 6G7     W 7G10    NW 10G14  NW 11G15
Mix hgt (ft)....300       800       2300      4100
Transport wind..SE 8      S 5       NW 14     NW 22
Haines index....5         5         4         4
SDspl kt-ft/10002         9         40        77

$$
Forecaster...ABELING
Requested by...Ryan Melin
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 1717080.1/BIS
.EMAIL ryan.melin@nsdu.edu



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