Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Denver/Boulder, CO

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000
FNUS75 KBOU 241416
FWSBOU

SPOT FORECAST FOR TROUT CREEK RX...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER/BOULDER CO
816 AM MDT FRI OCT 24 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 MDT ON OCTOBER 24.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A STRONG UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL REMAIN IN PLACE OVER COLORADO
THROUGH TODAY AND SATURDAY.  WINDS ALOFT WILL BE WEAK AND WESTERLY.  STRONGER
SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT IS EXPECTED ON SUNDAY AS THE UPPER RIDGE MOVES EAST
OF COLORADO AND AN UPPER TROUGH APPROACHES FROM THE WEST.  AIRMASS TODAY
AND SATURDAY WILL BE DRY AND STABLE WITH TEMPERATURES MUCH ABOVE SEASONAL
NORMALS.  SLIGHT COOLING AND INCREASING MOISTURE ARE EXPECTED SUNDAY.

THE WEAK WINDS AT LOWER AND MID LEVELS TODAY WILL RESULT IN LESS THAN IDEAL
SMOKE DISPERSAL CONDITIONS THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO
BE MORE FAVORABLE ON SATURDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(30-40%) UNTIL 0900...THEN MOSTLY
                    SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....72-76.
MIN HUMIDITY........12-18%.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6-10 MPH UNTIL 0900...THEN
                    UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 6-12 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 1000...RISING TO
                    7000-8000 FT AGL AFTER 1200.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5-10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1300...THEN FAIR.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....36-42.
MAX HUMIDITY........46-54%.
WIND (20 FT)........DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 4-8 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6000-6500 FT AGL UNTIL 1900. BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER
                    2300.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS UNTIL 2400...THEN SOUTHWEST 6-12 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....72-76.
MIN HUMIDITY........12-18%.
WIND (20 FT)........UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 1000. 7500-8500 FT AGL
                    AFTER 1400.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10-15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1100...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1200...THEN
                    GOOD UNTIL 1400...THEN VERY GOOD.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 8-13 MPH.
.MONDAY...COOLER. PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. WEST WINDS 8-9 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.


FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR TROUT CREEK RX.

+++  DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE
     FORECAST DATABASE.  VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM
     INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST.  FEEDBACK WELCOME.  +++

FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH  20-FT  G H L  15KFT  MIXG  TRANS VENTL  AJTV
VALID AT  %  %  %  F  %   WIND  S I A   WIND   HGT   WIND  RATE RATNG
                           MPH  T   L    MPH   AGL    MPH KT-FT

10/24-07 34  0  0 44 46 WSW 10 16 5 1 WNW 18   573   W 13  6128 P
10/24-08 34  0  0 47 42 WSW  9 15 5 1   W 18   697   W 12  6334 P
10/24-09 25  0  0 52 35 WSW  8 13 5 1   W 18   820   W  9  6540 P
10/24-10 17  0  0 58 27   W  6  6 5 1   W 18  2370   W  7 10718 P
10/24-11 14  0  0 64 22 WNW  2  2 5 1   W 18  3920   W  6 14896 P
10/24-12 12  0  0 69 17   CALM  1 5 1   W 18  5471   W  3 19074 P
10/24-13 11  0  0 73 15 WNW  2  2 5 1   W 20  6318   W  6 31761 P
10/24-14 10  0  0 74 14 WSW  6  6 4 1   W 21  7166 WSW  7 44449  F
10/24-15  9  0  0 73 14  SW  8 13 4 1   W 22  8013 WSW  8 57136  F
10/24-16  8  0  0 71 15 SSW  8 13 3 1   W 23  7441 WSW  8 50478  F
10/24-17  6  0  0 67 18   S  7  7 3 1   W 23  6869 WSW  7 43820  F
10/24-18  5  0  0 63 22   S  6  6 2 1   W 24  6296  SW  7 37161 P
10/24-19  5  0  0 58 26   S  5  5 2 1   W 24  4578 WSW  6 25828 P
10/24-20  5  0  0 54 30  SW  3  3 3 1   W 25  2859   W  5 14495 P
10/24-21  5  0  0 50 34 WSW  3  3 3 1   W 25  1140   W  3  3162 P
10/24-22  5  0  0 47 38 WSW  3  3 3 1   W 25   984   W  5  3281 P
10/24-23  5  0  0 46 39  SW  5  5 4 1   W 24   828 WSW  5  3399 P
10/25-00  2  0  0 44 41  SW  6  6 4 1   W 24   672  SW  6  3517 P
10/25-01  2  0  0 43 42  SW  6  6 4 1   W 22   654  SW  7  3883 P
10/25-02  2  0  0 42 43  SW  7  7 4 1   W 21   636  SW  8  4249 P
10/25-03  2  0  0 41 44  SW  7  7 4 1   W 18   618  SW  8  4616 P
10/25-04  2  0  0 40 45  SW  7  7 4 1   W 17   612  SW  8  4418 P
10/25-05  2  0  0 40 44  SW  7  7 4 1 WSW 16   607  SW  8  4220 P
10/25-06  1  0  0 40 44  SW  7  7 4 1 WSW 15   601  SW  8  4023 P
10/25-07  1  0  0 41 47  SW  7  7 4 1 WSW 16   587  SW  7  3551 P
10/25-08  1  0  0 43 47  SW  6  6 4 1  SW 17   573  SW  7  3080 P
10/25-09  1  0  0 47 42 SSW  6  6 4 1  SW 18   559  SW  6  2608 P
10/25-10  1  0  0 54 33 SSW  6  6 4 1  SW 21  2303  SW  8 22901 P
10/25-11  1  0  0 62 24   S  5  5 4 1  SW 23  4048 SSW 10 43195  F
10/25-12  0  0  0 68 19   S  5  5 4 1  SW 26  5792 SSW 13 63488   G
10/25-13  0  0  0 72 16   S  6  6 4 1  SW 28  6922 SSW 14 86409   G
10/25-14  0  0  0 73 14 SSW  6  6 4 1  SW 29  8052  SW 15109330    V
10/25-15  0  0  0 72 14 SSW  7  7 4 1  SW 31  9182  SW 16132251    V
10/25-16  0  0  0 70 16 SSW  7  7 4 1 WSW 30  8128  SW 17118910    V
10/25-17  0  0  0 66 20 SSW  6  6 4 1 WSW 30  7074 WSW 17105569    V
10/25-18  8  1  0 62 24   S  6  6 4 1   W 30  6020 WSW 17 92228   G
10/25-19  8  1  0 58 28 SSW  6  6 4 1   W 30  4155 WSW 16 63266   G
10/25-20  8  1  0 54 31 SSW  7  7 3 1 WSW 30  2290  SW 15 34303 P
10/25-21  8  1  0 51 33  SW  7  7 3 1 WSW 29   425  SW 15  5341 P
10/25-22  8  1  0 48 37  SW  7  7 3 1 WSW 29   472 WSW 16  6955 P
10/25-23  8  1  0 47 39 WSW  7  7 3 1 WSW 29   520 WSW 18  8569 P
10/26-00  8  0  0 46 42 WSW  7  7 3 1 WSW 29   567   W 21 10182 P
10/26-01  8  0  0 46 42 WSW  9 15 3 1 WSW 31   592   W 23 11910 P
10/26-02  8  0  0 45 45 WSW 12 18 2 1 WSW 35   617 WSW 25 13637 P
10/26-03  8  0  0 44 47 WSW 14 22 2 1 WSW 37   642 WSW 28 15364 P
10/26-04  8  0  0 43 49 WSW 14 22 2 1 WSW 37   659 WSW 26 14924 P
10/26-05  8  0  0 41 54 WSW 14 21 2 1 WSW 37   675   W 25 14484 P
10/26-06 21  0  0 41 55 WSW 13 21 2 1 WSW 36   692   W 23 14043 P
10/26-07 21  0  0 42 54 WSW 13 21 2 1 WSW 40  1295   W 25 31096 P
10/26-08 21  0  0 45 48 WSW 14 21 3 1   W 46  1899   W 28 48149  F
10/26-09 21  0  0 49 42 WSW 14 22 3 1   W 51  2502   W 30 65202   G
10/26-10 21  0  0 53 37 WSW 15 23 4 1   W 47  3203   W 29 78896   G
10/26-11 21  0  0 58 31 WSW 15 24 4 1   W 44  3903   W 28 92589   G
10/26-12 22  0  0 61 28 WSW 15 24 5 1   W 41  4604   W 26106283    V
10/26-13 22  0  0 64 25 WSW 14 22 5 1 WSW 43  4953   W 26113106    V
10/26-14 22  0  0 65 24 WSW 12 18 4 1 WSW 44  5302   W 26119928    V
10/26-15 22  0  0 64 25 WSW 10 16 4 1 WSW 45  5651   W 25126751    V
10/26-16 22  0  0 62 26 WSW 10 16 3 1 WSW 49  5446   W 25120440    V
10/26-17 22  0  0 58 29 WSW 10 16 3 1   W 53  5241   W 25114129    V
10/26-18 31  2  0 54 32 WSW 10 16 2 1   W 56  5035 WSW 24107819    V
10/26-19 31  2  0 50 37 WSW  9 15 2 1   W 55  3839 WSW 22 79093   G
10/26-20 31  2  0 48 40 WSW  8 13 2 1   W 55  2642 WSW 20 50368  F
10/26-21 31  2  0 45 45 WSW  7  7 2 1   W 54  1445 WSW 17 21643 P
10/26-22 31  2  0 44 47 WSW  7  7 2 1   W 53  1323 WSW 17 20202 P
10/26-23 31  2  0 43 50 WSW  8  8 2 1   W 52  1201 WSW 18 18761 P
10/27-00 44  6  1 42 53 WSW  8 13 2 1   W 51  1079 WSW 18 17320 P
10/27-01 44  6  1 41 56 WSW  8 13 2 1   W 52   967 WSW 15 13559 P
10/27-02 44  6  1 40 60   W  7  7 3 1 WSW 53   856 WSW 13  9798 P
10/27-03 44  6  1 39 64   W  7  7 3 1 WSW 54   744 WSW  9  6038 P
10/27-04 44  6  1 38 70   W  7  7 3 1 WSW 54   946 WNW  7  5177 P
10/27-05 44  6  1 37 72   W  6  6 2 1 WSW 53  1148   N  5  4316 P
10/27-06 73 15  3 36 75   W  6  6 2 1 WSW 53  1350  NE  3  3456 P

KEY:

FORECAST    - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST
VALID AT    - /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/
SC          - SKY COVER /PERCENT/
PP          - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/
WR          - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.10 INCH /PERCENT/
AT          - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/
RH          - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/
20-FT WIND  - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/
GST         - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/
HI          - HAINES INDEX
LAL         - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL
15KFT WIND  - 15000 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/
MIXG HGT    - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/
TRANS WIND  - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/
VENTL RATE  - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/
AJTV RATNG  - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING
                P - POOR  F - FAIR  G - GOOD
                V - VERY GOOD  E - EXCELLENT

$$
FORECASTER...DANKERS
REQUESTED BY...PUEBLO DISAPTCH
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20141024.TROUT.02/BOU



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