Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Denver/Boulder, CO

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000
FNUS75 KBOU 221828
FWSBOU

SPOT FORECAST FOR TROUT CREEK RX...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER/BOULDER CO
1228 PM MDT WED OCT 22 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 MDT ON OCTOBER 24.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...AN UPPER RIDGE OVER THE STATE TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY WILL
ENSURE DRY AND STABLE CONDITIONS WITH LIGHT WINDS.  AN APPROACHING TROUGH
ON SUNDAY WILL CAUSE SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS TO INCREASE...AND THERE WILL BE A
SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS LATER SUNDAY INTO MONDAY.  THE TROUGH IS EXPECTED
TO PASS EAST ON MONDAY...WITH FLAT ZONAL FLOW ACROSS THE STATE THE MIDDLE OF
NEXT WEEK.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEARING
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 36.
MAX HUMIDITY........78%.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 68.
MIN HUMIDITY........22%.
WIND (20 FT)........UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0900. 7500-8500 FT AGL
                    AFTER 1100.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10-15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000. VERY GOOD AFTER 1200.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS AROUND 70.
TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S.
TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S.
TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH...AFTERNOON WINDS
BECOMING SOUTHWESTERLY 10 TO 20 MPH.
.MONDAY...COOLER. PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. TYPICAL
SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.


FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR TROUT CREEK RX.

+++  DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE
     FORECAST DATABASE.  VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM
     INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST.  FEEDBACK WELCOME.  +++

FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH  20-FT  G H L  15KFT  MIXG  TRANS VENTL  AJTV
VALID AT  %  %  %  F  %   WIND  S I A   WIND   HGT   WIND  RATE RATNG
                           MPH  T   L    MPH   AGL    MPH KT-FT

10/22-12 59 18  4 59 36   W  9  9 3 2   W 22  8300   W 13 91365   G
10/22-13 59 17  3 61 32   W  8  8 3 2   W 22  8641   W 12 86034   G
10/22-14 58 17  3 62 30   W  8  8 3 2   W 22  8981 WSW 10 80703   G
10/22-15 58 16  3 61 32   W  7  7 3 2 WSW 23  9322 WSW  9 75372   G
10/22-16 56 14  3 59 37   N  6  6 3 2 WSW 23  8114  SW  8 59062  F
10/22-17 53 12  2 56 43 SSE  6  6 3 2   W 23  6906   S  7 42752  F
10/22-18 51 10  2 53 50 SSE  6  6 3 2   W 23  5698 SSE  6 26442 P
10/22-19 50 10  2 50 56   S  6  6 3 2   W 22  4163 SSE  5 19103 P
10/22-20 49  8  2 47 66 SSW  6  6 2 1   W 20  2628   S  5 11765 P
10/22-21 48  7  1 44 73 SSW  6  6 2 1   W 18  1093   S  5  4427 P
10/22-22 42  5  1 42 75 SSW  6  6 2 1   W 20   912   S  5  3886 P
10/22-23 37  4  1 41 78 SSW  6  6 2 1   W 20   731  SW  6  3345 P
10/23-00 31  2  0 41 77 SSW  6  6 2 1   W 21   550 WSW  6  2804 P
10/23-01 34  2  0 40 75 SSW  6  6 2 1   W 22   503 WSW  6  2680 P
10/23-02 37  1  0 40 74 SSW  6  6 2 1   W 22   455 WSW  7  2555 P
10/23-03 40  1  0 38 74 SSW  6  6 2 1   W 22   408 WSW  7  2430 P
10/23-04 40  1  0 37 75  SW  6  6 2 1   W 23   406 WSW  8  2698 P
10/23-05 40  0  0 36 72 WSW  7  7 2 1 WNW 23   404   W  8  2966 P
10/23-06 18  0  0 36 70 WSW  7  7 2 1 WNW 24   402   W  9  3233 P
10/23-07 18  0  0 38 65 WSW  7  7 2 1 WNW 21   620   W 10  6282 P
10/23-08 18  0  0 42 56 WSW  7  7 2 1 WNW 18   837   W 13  9331 P
10/23-09 18  0  0 47 47 WSW  7  7 2 1 WNW 15  1055   W 14 12380 P
10/23-10 18  0  0 54 36 WSW  6  6 2 1 WNW 16  3100   W 14 41821  F
10/23-11 18  0  0 60 29 WSW  6  6 3 1 WNW 18  5145 WNW 15 71261   G
10/23-12 18  0  0 64 26 WSW  5  5 3 1 WNW 22  7190 WNW 16100701    V
10/23-13 18  0  0 67 23 WSW  5  5 3 1 WNW 25  7811 WNW 16109525    V
10/23-14 18  0  0 68 22 WSW  5  5 2 1 WNW 29  8432   W 16118349    V
10/23-15 18  0  0 68 22 WSW  5  5 2 1 WNW 31  9052   W 16127173    V
10/23-16 18  0  0 67 23 WSW  5  5 2 1 WNW 31  8502   W 17123385    V
10/23-17 18  0  0 64 26  SW  3  3 2 1 WNW 31  7953   W 17119596    V
10/23-18 17  0  0 61 28 SSW  3  3 2 1 WNW 30  7403   W 18115808    V
10/23-19 17  0  0 57 32 SSW  3  3 2 1 WNW 32  5050   W 15 78223   G
10/23-20 17  0  0 52 39  SW  5  5 3 1 WNW 36  2698   W 13 40638  F
10/23-21 17  0  0 48 44  SW  5  5 3 1 WNW 37   345   W 10  3052 P
10/23-22 17  0  0 46 47  SW  5  5 3 1  NW 35   379   W 12  3687 P
10/23-23 17  0  0 45 48 WSW  6  6 3 1  NW 31   413   W 12  4322 P
10/24-00 12  0  0 44 49 WSW  6  6 3 1  NW 26   447   W 13  4957 P
10/24-01 12  0  0 43 50 WSW  6  6 3 1  NW 22   444   W 13  5087 P
10/24-02 12  0  0 41 53 WSW  7  7 3 1  NW 18   441   W 14  5217 P
10/24-03 12  0  0 40 54 WSW  7  7 3 1  NW 15   438   W 14  5347 P
10/24-04 12  0  0 39 56 WSW  7  7 3 1  NW 14   435   W 14  5103 P
10/24-05 12  0  0 38 57 WSW  7  7 3 1  NW 13   431   W 13  4860 P
10/24-06  8  0  0 38 57 WSW  7  7 3 1  NW 12   428   W 13  4617 P
10/24-07  8  0  0 40 52 WSW  7  7 3 1  NW 10   605   W 12  5692 P
10/24-08  8  0  0 44 45 WSW  7  7 3 1  NW  9   783   W 10  6767 P
10/24-09  8  0  0 49 38 WSW  7  7 3 1 NNW  9   961   W  9  7842 P
10/24-10  8  0  0 55 30  SW  6  6 3 1  NW 10  2391   W  8 14844 P
10/24-11  8  0  0 61 25  SW  5  5 3 1 WNW 14  3821 WNW  7 21847 P
10/24-12  5  0  0 67 20 SSW  3  3 3 1 WNW 17  5251 WNW  6 28849 P
10/24-13  5  0  0 70 19 SSW  3  3 3 1 WNW 22  6091   W  7 41095  F
10/24-14  5  0  0 71 18   S  5  5 3 1 WNW 25  6932   W  8 53342  F
10/24-15  5  0  0 70 19   S  5  5 3 1 WNW 29  7773 WSW  9 65588   G
10/24-16  5  0  0 68 20   S  5  5 3 1 WNW 30  6861  SW  8 52350  F
10/24-17  5  0  0 64 23 SSE  5  5 3 1 WNW 29  5949   S  7 39111 P
10/24-18  5  1  0 60 27 SSE  5  5 3 1 WNW 28  5037 SSE  6 25872 P
10/24-19  5  1  0 56 31   S  5  5 3 1 WNW 26  3626   S  5 17770 P
10/24-20  5  1  0 52 36   S  5  5 3 1 WNW 26  2216   S  3  9668 P
10/24-21  5  1  0 49 40 SSW  5  5 3 1 WNW 25   806 SSW  2  1566 P
10/24-22  5  1  0 47 43 SSW  5  5 3 1   W 23   830 SSW  3  2126 P
10/24-23  5  1  0 45 46  SW  5  5 2 1   W 21   853  SW  3  2685 P
10/25-00  5  1  0 44 47 WSW  5  5 2 1   W 21   877  SW  5  3244 P
10/25-01  5  1  0 43 48 WSW  5  5 2 1   W 22   768  SW  6  3313 P
10/25-02  5  1  0 42 49 WSW  5  5 2 1   W 25   658 WSW  6  3381 P
10/25-03  5  1  0 41 50 WSW  6  6 2 1 WSW 28   549 WSW  7  3450 P
10/25-04  5  1  0 40 51 WSW  6  6 2 1 WSW 29   542 WSW  7  3491 P
10/25-05  5  1  0 39 53 WSW  6  6 2 1 WSW 29   535 WSW  8  3533 P
10/25-06  4  0  0 39 52 WSW  6  6 2 1 WSW 28   527   W  8  3574 P
10/25-07  4  0  0 41 49 WSW  6  6   1
10/25-08  4  0  0 45 42  SW  6  6   1
10/25-09  4  0  0 50 36  SW  6  6   1
10/25-10  4  0  0 55 30 SSW  5  5   1
10/25-11  4  0  0 61 25 SSW  5  5   1
10/25-12  5  0  0 66 21 SSW  5  5   1
10/25-13  5  0  0 69 19 SSW  5  5   1
10/25-14  5  0  0 71 18   S  5  5   1
10/25-15  5  0  0 71 18   S  5  5   1
10/25-16  5  0  0 68 19   S  5  5   1
10/25-17  5  0  0 64 22   S  5  5   1
10/25-18 10  2  0 60 25   S  5  5   1

KEY:

FORECAST    - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST
VALID AT    - /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/
SC          - SKY COVER /PERCENT/
PP          - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/
WR          - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.10 INCH /PERCENT/
AT          - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/
RH          - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/
20-FT WIND  - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/
GST         - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/
HI          - HAINES INDEX
LAL         - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL
15KFT WIND  - 15000 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/
MIXG HGT    - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/
TRANS WIND  - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/
VENTL RATE  - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/
AJTV RATNG  - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING
                P - POOR  F - FAIR  G - GOOD
                V - VERY GOOD  E - EXCELLENT

$$
FORECASTER...RTG
REQUESTED BY...JAY KARLE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20141024.TROUT.01/BOU



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