Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Boston, MA

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FNUS71 KBOX 281731
FWSBOX

SPOT FORECAST FOR SOUTHBORO FIRE...MEMA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
131 PM EDT THU JUL 28 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1315 EDT ON JULY 28. IF
CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...PLEASE CONTACT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

WINDS WERE LIGHT ACROSS SOUTHBORO AS OF 1 PM THOUGH GENERALLY OUT
OF THE SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH. THESE WINDS ARE FORECAST TO
PERSIST THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF TODAY AND INTO TONIGHT. WITH
HIGH PRESSURE SETTLED ACROSS THE REGION...TRANSPORT WINDS ARE
ANTICIPATED TO BE MARGINAL AROUND 10 MPH...THOUGH WITH THE MIXED
LAYER EXTENDING UP TO 8000 FEET SMOKE DISPERSION IS GOOD INTO
THIS EVENING...BECOMING POOR THEREAFTER. A DRY FORECAST OVERALL
INTO THE OVERNIGHT PERIOD...AND FAIRLY DRY ACROSS THE AREA GIVEN
THE LACK OF RAIN AND FORECAST MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES
WILL BE DOWN TO AROUND 30 PERCENT. THERE EXISTS AN ELEVATED FIRE
WEATHER POTENTIAL.

BUT RELIEF IS IN SIGHT BEGINNING FRIDAY MORNING WITH FORECAST
WIDESPREAD RAIN. AREAS IN AND AROUND THE SPOT FORECAST MAY SEE
ANYWHERE FROM 1 TO 2 INCHES OF RAINFALL WITH HIGHER AMOUNTS TO THE
SOUTH.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 93.
MIN HUMIDITY........31 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST 5 TO 9 MPH.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8100-9300 FT...DECREASING TO 5800-6900 FT AGL
                    INTO EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 8 TO 13 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD TO EXCELLENT (40400-65000 KNOT-FT).
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS.

TIME (EDT)          1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............41  48  51  55  58
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........
TSTM COV............
TEMP................92  93  93  93  91
RH..................34  33  32  32  38
20 FT WIND DIR......SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT WIND SPD......8   8   8   8   8
20 FT WIND GUST.....10  10  10  10  15
EYE LVL WND DIR.....SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
EYE LVL WND SPD.....5   5   5   5   5
EYE LVL WND GST.....10  10  10  10  15
MIX HGT (KFT).......7.9 9.3 8.1 6.9 5.8
TRANSP WIND DIR.....W   W   W   SW  SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.....8   8   8   8   8
LVORI...............1   1   2   2   2
ADI.................40  42  29  28  26
CWR.................10  10  10  10  10
VRATE KT-FT/1000....55  65  57  49  40

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS LATE.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69.
MAX HUMIDITY........87 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE EVENING...
                    BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE OVERNIGHT
CWR.................10 TO 20 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3400-4600 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 600-2200 FT
                    AGL UNTIL JUST AFTER MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 8 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD TO POOR (2300-32200 KNOT-FT).
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE
                    EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE.

TIME (EDT)          6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).............61  65  68  71  73  76  79  81  84  87  89  92
WEATHER COV.........                                        SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE........                                        RW  RNF
TSTM COV............
TEMP................89  87  82  79  77  75  74  73  73  72  71  71
RH..................42  46  61  67  71  76  79  81  81  84  87  87
20 FT WIND DIR......SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W
20 FT WIND SPD......7   7   6   5   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
20 FT WIND GUST.....15  15  15  10  10  10  10  5   5   5   5   5
EYE LVL WND DIR.....SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W
EYE LVL WND SPD.....4   4   4   3   2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
EYE LVL WND GST.....15  15  15  10  10  10  10  5   5   5   5   5
MIX HGT (KFT).......4.6 3.4 2.2 2.0 1.7 1.4 1.1 0.9 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.8
TRANSP WIND DIR.....SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  S   S
TRANSP WIND SPD.....8   8   8   8   7   7   6   6   5   5   5   5
LVORI...............2   2   3   3   3   4   4   5   5   5   6   6
ADI.................24  21  5   5   3   3   3   3   2   2   2   4
CWR.................10  20  20  20  10  10  10  10  10  10  20  20
VRATE KT-FT/1000....32  24  16  14  10  9   6   4   2   3   3   3

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. RAIN THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 76.
MIN HUMIDITY........84 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING NORTHEAST 5
                    TO 7 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................30 PERCENT...INCREASING TO 90 PERCENT IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......900-2300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (3500-20800 KNOT-FT).
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING NORTHEAST 5
                    TO 7 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (EDT)          6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............95  97  100 100 100 100 100 100 100 98  97  95
WEATHER COV.........CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF LKY LKY
WEATHER TYPE........RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TSTM COV............
TEMP................71  72  72  72  73  73  73  73  73  72  72  71
RH..................90  87  90  90  84  84  84  84  84  87  87  90
20 FT WIND DIR......SW  SE  E   E   E   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
20 FT WIND SPD......2   2   2   2   3   3   5   5   6   6   7   7
20 FT WIND GUST.....5   5   5   5   5   5   10  10  10  10  10  10
EYE LVL WND DIR.....SW  SE  E   E   E   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
EYE LVL WND SPD.....1   1   1   1   2   2   3   3   4   4   4   4
EYE LVL WND GST.....5   5   5   5   5   5   10  10  10  10  10  10
MIX HGT (KFT).......0.9 0.9 1.0 1.2 1.4 1.7 1.9 2.1 2.3 2.2 2.0 1.8
TRANSP WIND DIR.....SE  SE  E   E   E   E   E   E   NE  NE  NE  NE
TRANSP WIND SPD.....5   5   5   6   7   8   8   9   10  10  10  10
LVORI...............6   5   6   5   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
ADI.................4   5   6   8   11  14  15  18  22  21  20  19
CWR.................30  50  60  70  70  80  80  90  90  80  70  60
VRATE KT-FT/1000....4   4   4   6   9   12  13  17  21  19  18  16

$$

FORECASTER...SIPPRELL
REQUESTED BY...BILL DECOLA
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20160728.SOUTH.01/BOX



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