Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Burlington, VT

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FNUS71 KBTV 041051
FWSBTV

SPOT FORECAST FOR WANAKENA RX...NYS DEC FOREST RANGER
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
651 AM EDT WED MAY 4 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 EDT ON MAY 04.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
EXPECT CLOUDY SKIES TODAY WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR A FEW SHOWERS
THIS MORNING...BUT SHOWERS WILL INCREASE IN AREAL COVERAGE THIS
AFTERNOON. THESE CONDITIONS WILL KEEP HUMIDITIES HIGH TODAY...
STARTING AROUND 90 PERCENT THIS MORNING AND THEN LOWERING TO
ABOUT 70 PERCENT THIS AFTERNOON. THE SHOWERS WILL BECOME MORE
SCATTERED TONIGHT WITH JUST A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS EXPECTED ON
THURSDAY. TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY WILL
RANGE FROM 0.05 INCHES TO 0.15 INCHES IN AND AROUND THE BURN AREA.
GOOD HUMIDITY RECOVERIES ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT WITH PLENTY OF CLOUD
COVER AND LINGERING LOW LEVEL MOISTURE. LOWER HUMIDITIES ARE
EXPECTED ON THURSDAY...BUT SHOULD ONLY GET DOWN TO AROUND 50
PERCENT. WINDS TODAY AND TONIGHT WILL GENERALLY BE FROM THE EAST
AND SOUTHEAST AT SPEEDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 10 MPH.
HOWEVER...WINDS WILL BE FROM THE NORTHEAST ON THURSDAY AT SPEEDS
IN THE 5 TO 10 MPH RANGE.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN
                    THE MORNING.  SHOWERS LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.
BEGIN/END OF PCPN...ISOLATED SHOWERS THROUGHOUT THE MORNING HOURS, THEN
                    INCREASING IN AREAL COVERAGE THIS AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 54.
MIN HUMIDITY........69 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 9 MPH
                    BY MIDDAY.

TIME (EDT)          NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............95     86     85
WEATHER COV.........LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY
WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV............NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP................53     53     54
RH..................75     69     71
20 FT WIND..........SE 5   SE 6   SE 7
20 FT WIND GUST.....9      10     10
CHC OF PCPN (%).....60     60     70

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). SHOWERS LIKELY EARLY
                    IN THE EVENING, THEN A CHANCE OF SHOWERS DURING
                    THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
BEGIN/END OF PCPN...THE THREAT OF SHOWERS WILL EXIST ALL NOT, BUT BE
                    MOST LIKELY IN THE EVENING HOURS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 41.
MAX HUMIDITY........98 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.

TIME (EDT)          6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).............91     97     92     89     92     92
WEATHER COV.........LIKELY CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV............
TEMP................54     52     48     45     43     41
RH..................71     77     80     86     88     95
20 FT WIND..........SE 9   SE 7   SE 5   SE 5   E 6    E 7
20 FT WIND GUST.....10
CHC OF PCPN (%).....60     40     40     30     30     30

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
BEGIN/END OF PCPN...THE SLIGHT CHANCE WILL EXIST ALL DAY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 59.
MIN HUMIDITY........53 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH.

TIME (EDT)          6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............83     66     72     79     85     85
WEATHER COV.........S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC         S CHC
WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE   RNSHWR
TSTM COV............
TEMP................41     44     51     55     57     59
RH..................92     89     68     59     57     53
20 FT WIND..........E 6    E 5    E 6    E 6    NE 7   NE 6
20 FT WIND GUST.....                     10     10     10
CHC OF PCPN (%).....20     20     20     20     10     20

$$
FORECASTER...EVENSON
REQUESTED BY...SCOTT JACKSON
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160504.WANAK.01/BTV



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