Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Quad Cities, IA IL

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000
FNUS73 KDVN 251325
FWSDVN

Spot Forecast for Dudgeon...Iowa DNR
National Weather Service Quad Cities IA/IL
825 AM CDT Tue Apr 25 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 CDT on April 25.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the
National Weather Service Quad Cities at (563) 386-3815.

.DISCUSSION...

Partly to mostly sunny with southeast winds of 10 to 20 MPH today
with temperatures well into the 70s.  Afternoon RH values to fall
below 50 percent for several hours.  Clouds and showers and some
storms to arrive late tonight and through Wednesday with mostly
moderate rain totals between .25 and .75 inches by late Wednesday
with locally over one inch amounts.

The Grassland Fire Danger Index -GFDI- does not account for
precipitation that occurs or any snow on the ground. Please
make appropriate adjustments.


.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers late in the morning. Slight chance
                    of rain showers late in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
LAL.................1
Max temperature.....Around 73.
Min humidity........44 percent.
Apparent temp.......73.
Eye level winds.....Southeast winds 7 to 9 mph.
Wind shift..........None.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 7 to 9 mph.
Mixing height.......0 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 8 to 17 mph.
Haines Index........2 to 4 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth to or low potential for
                    large plume dominated fire growth.
GFDI..........

TIME (CDT)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........71     74     77     81
Weather cov.....       S CHC  S CHC
Weather type....NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10     20     20     10
Temp............62     66     70     73
RH..............52     50     47     44
Aparnt tmp (F)..62     66     70     73
20 ft wind......SE 6   SE 7   SE 7   SE 6
20 ft wind gust.15     15     15     15
Eye level wind..SE 5   SE 5   SE 5   SE 5
Eye lvl wnd gst.15     15     15     15
Mix hgt (ft)....BLW100 BLW100 BLW100 BLW100
Transport wind..S 9    E 9    E 13   SE 17
Haines index....4      4      3      2

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Chance of rain showers
                    in the evening. Slight chance of thunderstorms
                    through the night. Rain showers likely after
                    midnight.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
LAL.................2
Min temperature.....Around 54.
Max humidity........96 percent.
Apparent temp.......71.
Eye level winds.....South winds 6 to 7 mph.
Wind shift..........None.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 6 to 7 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......0 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 6 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
GFDI..........

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........86     89     91     93     93     92
Weather cov.....S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........       S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).20     30     50     60     60     60
Temp............71     67     63     61     60     58
RH..............49     56     67     75     78     83
Aparnt tmp (F)..71     67     63     61     60     58
20 ft wind......SE 6   SE 6   SE 5   SE 5   S 5    S 5
20 ft wind gust.15     15     10     10     10     10
Eye level wind..SE 4   SE 4   SE 4   SE 4   S 4    S 4
Eye lvl wnd gst.15     15     10     10     10     10
Mix hgt (ft)....BLW100 BLW100 BLW100 BLW100 BLW100 BLW100
Transport wind..E 10   E 6    SE 7   S 6    S 7    SW 9
Haines index....3      3      3      3      3      3

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms in the morning. Rain showers
                    likely through the day.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
LAL.................2
Max temperature.....Around 59.
Min humidity........75 percent.
Apparent temp.......59.
Eye level winds.....Northwest winds 6 to 8 mph.
Wind shift..........Becoming northwest by late morning.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 6 to 8 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms early in the
                    morning.
Mixing height.......0 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 13 to 17 mph.
Haines Index........2 to 3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
GFDI..........

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........91     95     96     94     93     93
Weather cov.....CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY CHANCE CHANCE
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........S CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).50     60     60     60     50     50
Temp............56     54     55     59     58     55
RH..............90     96     89     75     75     79
Aparnt tmp (F)..56     54     55     59     58     55
20 ft wind......SW 5   SW 5   W 6    W 6    W 6    NW 6
20 ft wind gust.10     10     15     15     15     15
Eye level wind..SW 4   SW 4   W 5    W 5    W 5    NW 5
Eye lvl wnd gst.10     10     15     15     15     15
Mix hgt (ft)....BLW100 BLW100 BLW100 BLW100 BLW100 BLW100
Transport wind..SW 13  W 15   W 16   NW 15  NW 15  NW 15
Haines index....3      3      3      2      2      3

$$
Forecaster...Haase
Requested by...David Kutz
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1707741.0/DVN


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