Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS

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000
FNUS74 KEPZ 121543
FWSEPZ

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR COX PILES RX...LNF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
943 AM MDT SAT JUL 12 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0930 MDT ON JULY 12.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
EXPECT A TYPICAL MONSOON SUMMER DAY WITH THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING
IN THE 11 AM TO 1 PM TIME FRAME. A FEW STORMS MAY PRODUCE SMALL
HAIL AND TORRENTIAL DOWNPOURS.  FAIRLY LIGHT LOW LEVEL WINDS WILL
RESULT IN POOR VENT RATES...WITH SOME IMPROVEMENT TOMORROW. EXPECT
ANOTHER ROUND OF THUNDERSTORMS TOMORROW AFTERNOON AS WELL.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) WITH SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................50 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........60 AT IGNITION...MAX 73.
RH..................67 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 43 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 7 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON. VARIABLE/ERRATIC NEAR T-STORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-2200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5300-6100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 KNOTS.
VENT RATE...........30,500 KNOT-FEET (POOR)

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN
                    ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
CWR.................40 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 51.
RH..................MAX 97 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING
                    LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4300-5600 FT AGL DECREASING TO 900-1500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 4 TO 5 KNOTS.


.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................50 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 72.
RH..................MIN 45 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 7 MPH IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1300-2400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5700-6200 FT
                    AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 2 TO 3 KNOTS SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 KNOTS EARLY IN THE MORNING.
VENT RATE...........62,000 KNOT-FEET (GOOD)

$$
FORECASTER...HARDIMAN
REQUESTED BY...NM-ADC
REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140712.COXPI.01/EPZ






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