Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Atlanta, GA

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636
FNUS72 KFFC 110830
FWSFFC

SPOT FORECAST FOR 122...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
330 AM EST THU FEB 11 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 EST ON FEBRUARY 11.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

IT IS LOOKING LIKE THE WINDS MAY BE THE NUMBER ONE FACTOR AGAIN
TODAY. UNLIKE YESTERDAYS STRONG WINDS...TODAY WE ARE DEALING WITH
WINDS BECOMING VERY LIGHT AND POTENTIALLY SOMEWHAT VARIABLE IN
DIRECTION BY AFTERNOON. 20 FT WINDS WILL STRUGGLE TO GO ABOVE 2 TO 4
MPH WHILE TRANSPORT WINDS...EVEN WITH MODERATE MIXING HEIGHTS...WILL
REMAIN BELOW 10 MPH. TO COMPLICATE MATTERS...THE 20 FT WIND
DIRECTION...ALTHOUGH EXPECTED TO BE GENERALLY SOUTHWEST TO WEST...IS
LIKELY TO SWING TO THE EAST AT TIMES DURING THE AFTERNOON.

DESPITE A FAIR AMOUNT OF SUNSHINE EXPECTED THROUGH MOST OF THIS
AFTERNOON...THE LIGHT WINDS ONLY ALLOW FAIR DISPERSION INDEX VALUES.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........VARIABLE SUN EARLY (5-50 PERCENT)...THEN MOSTLY
                    SUNNY (10-30 PERCENT) BY IGNITION...BECOMING
                    PARTLY SUNNY (30-50 PERCENT) BY LATE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 54.
MIN HUMIDITY........33 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS...MAINLY SOUTHWEST TO WEST IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN SOMEWHAT VARIABLE IN DIRECTION AT
                    TIMES BY AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 3000-4000 FT AGL IN THE LATE MORNING
                    AND AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 4 TO 8 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....INCREASING TO 30 IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY
                    AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO 20 BY LATE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............2.

TIME (EST)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........30  30  20  23  26  29  35  40  45
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............36  41  45  49  52  54  54  53  51
RH..............49  41  37  34  33  33  34  36  40
20 FT WIND DIR..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W
20 FT WIND SPD..3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
20 FT WIND GUST.5   5   6   7   8   8   6   5   5
DISPERSION IDX..8   28  28  26  30  28  25  23  20
LVORI...........2   2   2   2   1   2   2   2   2

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 34.
MAX HUMIDITY........86 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO 0 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING NORTHEAST 3
                    TO 5 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
DISPERSION INDEX....2.
LVORI...............4.

TIME (EST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID
SKY (%).........41  42  47  57  62  63  65
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............49  45  42  40  38  37  36
RH..............45  53  61  68  73  78  80
20 FT WIND DIR..NW  NW  N   N   NE  NE  NE
20 FT WIND SPD..3   3   2   2   2   2   2
20 FT WIND GUST.5   5   5   5   5   5   5
DISPERSION IDX..2   2   1   1   1   1   2
LVORI...........2   2   3   3   3   4   5

$$
FORECASTER...SENA
REQUESTED BY...TIM KOLNIK
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160211.122__.01/FFC



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