Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Grand Junction, CO

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FNUS75 KGJT 291509
FWSGJT

Spot Forecast for Trimble Point Rx...USFS
National Weather Service Grand Junction CO
909 AM MDT Mon May 29 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 MDT on May 29.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...High pressure will continue to build over Colorado
the next few days, resulting in a gradual warming trend. Midlevel
moisture is sneaking in under this ridge of high pressure from
the southeast and will support afternoon and evening showers and
thunderstorms, mainly over the higher terrain to the east. The
threat of lightning over the burn area will greater on Tuesday
further increasing on Wednesday. Smoke dispersal looks good both
today and Tuesday.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (10-20%).
Max temperature.....65-70 F.
Min humidity........13-18%.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 5 MPH, becoming south in the
                    afternoon with gusts to 15 mph possible.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (38000-62000 knot-ft)...then becoming
                    good.
Haines Index........5 moderate.
LAL.................1.
Mixing height.......12500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 5 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly Cloudy (20-30%).
Min temperature.....38-44 F.
Max humidity........46-51%.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 5 MPH with gusts to 10 mph possible.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair, decreasing to poor (11000-16000 knot-ft)
                    in the late evening and overnight.
Haines Index........5 moderate.
LAL.................1.
Mixing height.......11600 ft AGL, decreasing to 1800 ft AGL after
                    midnight.
Transport winds.....East 10 MPH.

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10%), then becoming partly cloudy
                    (40-50%). Scattered showers in the morning,
                    then isolated showers and thunderstorms in the
                    afternoon.
Max temperature.....69-74 F.
Min humidity........20-25%.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 8 to 10 MPH with gusts to . Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair, increasing to good in the late morning
                    and afternoon.
Haines Index........5 moderate.
LAL.................2.
Mixing height.......13200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 10 MPH.

$$
Forecaster...Larry Smith
Requested by...Brad Pietruszka
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1710241.0/GJT



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