Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Grand Junction, CO

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FNUS75 KGJT 230122
FWSGJT

Spot Forecast for Payan...CO-SUA
National Weather Service Grand Junction CO
722 PM MDT Sat Jul 22 2017

Forecast is based on request time of 1900 MDT on July 22.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Strong high pressure will keep residual moisture
trapped over southwest Colorado through Monday. Daytime heating will
continue to be the main cause for thunderstorm development.
Locally heavy rain and lightning will be the main threat.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70%). Scattered showers and
                    isolated thunderstorms in the evening, then
                    isolated showers after midnight.
Min temperature.....57-62 F.
Max humidity........67-72%.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 4-8 MPH. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms in the evening.
Smoke dispersal.....Very good, decreasing to poor (7000-19000
                    knot-ft) in the late evening and overnight.
Haines Index........3 very low.
LAL.................2 until 2200, then 1.
Mixing height.......5100 ft AGL, decreasing to 1300 ft AGL after
                    midnight.
Transport winds.....East 15 MPH.

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60%), then becoming mostly
                    cloudy (60-70%). Isolated showers in the
                    morning, then scattered showers and
                    thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....78-83 F.
Min humidity........31-36%.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 4-8 MPH. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (24000-49000 knot-ft) until 1000, then
                    becoming very good by 1200.
Haines Index........3 very low.
LAL.................1 until 1200, then 4.
Mixing height.......6700 ft AGL, increasing to 8800 ft AGL in the
                    afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southeast 5 MPH.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80%). Scattered showers and
                    thunderstorms in the evening. Isolated showers
                    after midnight.
Min temperature.....56-61 F.
Max humidity........78-83%.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 4-8 MPH. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms in the evening.
Smoke dispersal.....Very good, decreasing to poor (7000-19000
                    knot-ft) in the late evening and overnight.
Haines Index........3 very low.
LAL.................4 until midnight, then 1.
Mixing height.......8600 ft AGL, decreasing to 3200 ft AGL after
                    midnight.
Transport winds.....Southeast 5 MPH.

.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70%). Isolated showers
                    in the morning. Scattered showers and
                    thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....77-82 F.
Min humidity........37-42%.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 5 MPH, becoming southwest 5-10 mph
                    in the afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (8000-37000 knot-ft) until 1000, then
                    becoming very good by 1200.
Haines Index........2 very low.
LAL.................1 until 1200, then 4.
Mixing height.......6500 ft AGL, increasing to 9000 ft AGL in the
                    afternoon.
Transport winds.....South 5 MPH.

$$
Forecaster...Jim Pringle
Requested by...Ramirez
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 1713190.0/GJT
.EMAIL jesse.ramirez@bia.gov


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