Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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895
FNUS72 KILM 211028
FWSILM

Spot Forecast for Bayfields Forest...Fork Ridge Environmental Consulting
National Weather Service WILMINGTON NC
528 AM EST Wed Feb 21 2018

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0600 EST on February 21.
If conditions become unrepresentative...or if you have questions
or concerns about this forecast...contact the National Weather
Service in Wilmington at 910-762-1374.

.DISCUSSION...
Unseasonably warm and humid conditions will persist through the
weekend as Bermuda high pressure dominates the weather across
the eastern Carolinas. Temperatures will remain well above
normal with highs near record levels through Sunday. A cold
front will bring a chance of showers Sunday night or Monday,
with temperatures cooling back toward normal by Tuesday.

Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.

Fog potential for tonight...High.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent), then becoming
                    mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Areas of dense
                    fog in the morning.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 81.
Min humidity........56 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light and variable winds, becoming south 5 to 6
                    mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Max Mixing Hgt......4700 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South 1 to 8 mph, increasing to southwest 14 to
                    22 mph in the late morning and early afternoon,
                    then decreasing to 9 to 12 mph late.
Max Vent Rate.......79925 mph-ft.
Max LVORI...........10.
Max ADI.............53.

TIME (EST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........100 100 87  73  60  58  56  54  55  55  56  41
Weather cov.....ARS ARS ARS ARS ARS
Weather type....FOG FOG FOG FOG FOG
Tstm cov........
Temp............61  61  62  65  68  72  75  79  79  80  79  75
RH..............100 100 99  96  86  75  66  59  58  56  58  66
CHC Pcpn (%)....10  10  10  10  0   0   10  10  10  10  10  10
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..2   2   3   5   6   6   6   6   6   6   5   5
20 FT wind gust.                    7   7   7   7       6
Mix hgt (kft)...0.3 0.3 0.5 0.8 2.0 2.9 3.7 4.6 4.7 4.7 4.7 3.5
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  S
Transp wind spd.1   2   8   15  21  22  20  17  16  14  12  9
Haines Index....4   4   4   4   4   4   4   3   3   3   3   3
VR MPH-FT*1000..0   1   5   13  41  61  74  80  75  66  55  31
Stability.......B   B   B   D   D   D   D   D   D   D   D   C
LVORI...........10  9   6   4   3   3   1   1   1   1   1   3
ADI.............1   3   9   18  40  50  53  51  47  42  35  31
Aparnt Tmp (F)..61  61  62  65  68  72  75  79  79  81  79  75
Sfc pres (in)...033 035 035 035 035 035 035 032 032 032 032 032

$$
Forecaster...DiGiorgi
Requested by...Richard Broadwell
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1802259.0/ILM
.EMAIL forkridgeconsulting@gmail.com



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