Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Jacksonville, FL

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000
FNUS72 KJAX 242244
FWSJAX

SPOT FORECAST FOR TAYLOR FIRE PM...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
644 PM EDT SUN JUL 24 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1834 EDT ON JULY 24.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...THERE IS A LOW CHANCE OF EARLY EVENING THUNDERSTORMS
NEAR THE BURN SITE THROUGH ABOUT 8-9 PM. OUTFLOWS FROM STORMS
FARTHER WEST OF THE FIRE SITE WILL BE POSSIBLE AS WELL. LIGHT SOUTH
WINDS WILL BECOME CALM AFTER MIDNIGHT. THERE IS A CHANCE FOR FOG
DEVELOPMENT NEAR THE FIRE SITE EARLY MONDAY MORNING.

.REST OF TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
                    EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS LATE IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 2200...THEN 1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2100-4000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300 FT AGL EARLY
                    IN THE EVENING.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 2 TO 7 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
DISPERSION INDEX....31 DECREASING TO 2.
LVORI...............INCREASING TO 9.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........57  61  58  49  35  27  17  13  12  12  12  12
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH
WEATHER TYPE....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TSTM COV........SCH SCH SCH SCH
TEMP............89  87  85  82  78  77  75  74  73  72  71  71
RH..............54  59  63  69  79  85  87  90  93  100 100 100
20 FT WIND DIR..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT WIND SPD..6   6   6   6   6   6   5   3   1   1   1   1
20 FT WIND GUST.10  10  10  10  10  10      5
DISPERSION IDX..31  16  3   2   2   2   2   2   1   1   1   1
LVORI...........1   2   3   3   3   4   5   5   6   7   8   9
CHC OF PCPN (%).50  40  30  30  20  10  10  10  10  10  10  0

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 94.
MIN HUMIDITY........41 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5200-6100 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 2 TO 7 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
DISPERSION INDEX....3 INCREASING TO 47.
LVORI...............6.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........12     21     21     21     41     41
WEATHER COV.....                            S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........                            S CHC  S CHC
TEMP............70     73     84     91     94     92
RH..............100    100    70     52     41     44
20 FT WIND......SE 0   SE 1   SE 3   SE 3   SE 5   SE 6
20 FT WIND GUST.              5      5             10
DISPERSION IDX..1      2      12     27     40     47
LVORI...........10     8      3      2      1      1
CHC OF PCPN (%).0      0      0      10     10     10

$$
FORECASTER...ENYEDI
REQUESTED BY...TERRI JENKINS
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20160724.TAYLO.02/JAX



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