Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS St. Louis, MO

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000
FNUS73 KLSX 061747
FWSLSX

SPOT FORECAST FOR SCOTIA CEMETERY...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1147 AM CST SAT FEB 6 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1030 CST ON FEBRUARY 06.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
TEMPERATURES WILL BE ABOVE NORMAL THIS WEEKEND FOLLOWED BY A STRONG
COLD FRONT ON LATE SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY. THERE IS A CHANCE OF
RAIN AND SNOW ON SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY. MUCH COLDER TEMPERATURES
ARE THEN EXPECTED FOR THE EARLY AND MIDDLE PART OF NEXT WEEK.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........45 AT IGNITION...MAX 55.
RH..................41 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 27 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....1-2 MPH USING AN ADJUSTMENT FACTOR OF 0.3 FOR
                    FUEL MODEL 9 (PARTIALLY SHELTERED).
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTHWEST AT 5 MPH AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 7
                    MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7400 FT AGL AT IGNITION...8200 FT AGL AT
                    MAX HEATING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 13 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (14171 M^2/S) AT MAX HEATING.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 33.
RH..................MAX 77 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....1-2 MPH USING AN ADJUSTMENT FACTOR OF 0.3 FOR
                    FUEL MODEL 9 (PARTIALLY SHELTERED).
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING BECOMING LIGHT DURING MID AND LATE
                    EVENING...THEN BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 7 MPH IN
                    THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........N/A.
MIXING HEIGHT.......N/A.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....N/A.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....N/A.

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 54.
RH..................MIN 34 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....2-3 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 7 MPH USING AN
                    ADJUSTMENT FACTOR OF 0.3 FOR FUEL MODEL 9
                    (PARTIALLY SHELTERED).
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 22
                    MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4900 FT AGL AT MAX HEATING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 33 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD (22546 M^2/S) AT MAX HEATING.

$$

FORECASTER...KANOFSKY
REQUESTED BY...JASON MCCALL
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160206.SCOTI.01/LSX


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