Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2
000
FNUS74 KLUB 221259
FWSLUB

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR MATADOR WMA BRUSH PILES...TEXAS PARKS AND WILDLIFE DEPARTMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
659 AM CST THU JAN 22 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 CST ON JANUARY 22.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
MOIST...CLOUDY AND COOL CONDITIONS ALONG WITH PERIODS OF LIGHT WINTRY
PRECIPITATION WILL PERSIST TODAY. AN ADDITIONAL INCH OF SNOW WILL BE
POSSIBLE...THOUGH THE SNOW COULD MIX WITH OR CHANGE TO LIGHT RAIN THIS
AFTERNOON AS TEMPERAURES EDGE UP INTO THE MIDDLE 30S. THE LIGHT WINTRY
MIX WILL DIMINISH BY LATE AFTERNOON OR EARLY EVENING...WITH
TEMPERATURES DIPPING INTO THE MIDDLE 20S BY FRIDAY MORNING. A RETURN
TO DRY WEATHER WILL FOLLOW ON FRIDAY...WITH CLEARING SKIES AND HIGHS
RECOVERING TO THE MIDDLE 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS WILL BE SUSTAINED AT 10
TO 15 MPH TODAY BEFORE WEAKENING AND BACKING TO THE NORTH THIS EVENING.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). SNOW IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN SNOW LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 35.
MIN HUMIDITY........86 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
CWR.................100 PERCENT DECREASING TO 70 PERCENT IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1300-3200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 23 TO 25 MPH.

TIME (CST)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).........100    100    100    99     98
WEATHER COV.....DEFNTE DEFNTE LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY
WEATHER TYPE....SNOW   SNOW   SNOW   SNOW   SNOW
TSTM COV........
TEMP............32     33     34     35     34
RH..............100    96     96     96     90
20 FT WIND......NE 10  NE 10  NE 10  NE 10  N 7
20 FT WIND GUST.20     20     20     20     15
HAINES INDEX....2      2      2      2      2

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    RAIN AND SNOW IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 24.
MAX HUMIDITY........96 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
CWR.................20 PERCENT DECREASING TO 10 PERCENT AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1600-3000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300-800 FT AGL
                    IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 13 TO 22 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 7
                    TO 10 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING.

TIME (CST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........98     93     86     81     69     53
WEATHER COV.....S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RNSN   RNSN   RNSN   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............34     31     29     29     28     27
RH..............86     91     93     88     87     86
20 FT WIND......N 6    N 6    N 6    N 5    NW 5   NW 5
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     10     10
HAINES INDEX....2      2      2      2      2      2

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 46.
MIN HUMIDITY........51 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 12 MPH.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 5 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL
                    FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-1500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2600-4100 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN DECREASING TO 1900
                    FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 7 TO 15 MPH.

TIME (CST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........41     33     23     15     13     11
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............24     27     33     40     44     45
RH..............92     96     78     62     53     51
20 FT WIND......NW 4   W 4    W 5    W 6    W 7    W 7
20 FT WIND GUST.5      10     10     15     15     15
HAINES INDEX....2      3      3      4      4      4

$$
FORECASTER...SKWIRA
REQUESTED BY...DERRICK HOLDSTOCK
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150122.MATAD.01/LUB


USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.