Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Miami, FL

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4
000
FNUS72 KMFL 311142
FWSMFL

SPOT FORECAST FOR SOUTH PRAIRIE CANAL  126TH...FL. D.O.F.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
742 AM EDT FRI OCT 31 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 EDT ON OCTOBER 31.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS MORNING AS A COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH
THE AREA. EXPECTED PASSAGE AT THE BURN SITE IS BETWEEN 9 AND 10 AM,
ALTHOUGH, IT COULD SLOW A LITTLE, MAKING IT AND HOUR OR SO LATER.
BUT, IT IS CURRENTLY JUST NORTH OF BONITA SPRINGS AND PEPPER RANCH
PRESERVE. THERE IS ALSO A VERY LOW CHANCE OF A THUNDERSTORM WITH
THIS FRONT, ALTHOUGH IT IS EVEN TOO LOW TO PLACE IN THE OFFICIAL
FORECAST. BEHIND THE FRONT, WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE NORTHWEST AT
MAY BECOME GUSTY AT TIMES. IN THE EARLY TO MID AFTERNOON, THE WINDS
MAY BECOME INFLUENCE BY THE GULF, AND TURN MORE WESTERLY FOR THE
AFTERNOON. SHOWER CHANCES WILL DIMINISH THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. ISOLATED SHOWERS THROUGH EARLY
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 83.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 52 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING NORTHWEST 7 TO 13 MPH
                    WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000-4000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 2 TO 9 MPH...INCREASING TO 16 TO 18
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....9...INCREASING TO 48.
LVORI...............3.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.

TIME (EDT)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM
SKY (%).........28  28  28  24  24  24  19  19  19  15  15  15
WEATHER COV.....ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO
WEATHER TYPE....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TSTM COV........
TEMP............71  72  76  78  80  82  82  83  83  81  79  73
RH..............92  90  82  73  65  59  58  55  53  52  56  65
20 FT WIND DIR..NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  W   W   W   NW  NW  NW
20 FT WIND SPD..2   2   2   5   5   5   9   9   9   10  10  10
20 FT WIND GUST.5   5   5   10  10  10  20  20  20  20  20  20
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.0 3.0 3.0 3.6 3.6 3.6 4.0 4.0 4.0 3.5 3.5 3.5
MIXNG WIND DIR..NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  W   W   W   NW  NW  NW
MIXNG WIND SPD..2   2   2   9   9   9   16  16  16  18  18  18
DISPERSION IDX..9   9   9   40  40  40  50  50  50  45  45  45
LVORI...........5   5   5   2   2   2   1   1   1   1   1   1
CHC OF PCPN (%).20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  10  10  10  10
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 58.
MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 87 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH IN THE
                    EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING
                    NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 6 TO 13 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....6.
LVORI...............4.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY...THEN BECOMING SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 73.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 40 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 15 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2400-3000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 8 TO 16 MPH...INCREASING TO 18 TO 22
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....24...INCREASING TO 43 LATE IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 53 EARLY IN THE
                    AFTERNOON...DECREASING TO 43 LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............2.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...IPPOLITI
REQUESTED BY...SEAN ALLEN
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20141031.SOUTH.01/MFL



USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.