Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Miami, FL

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22
000
FNUS72 KMFL 231036
FWSMFL

Spot Forecast for PARLAMENT WF...BIG CYPRESS NATIONAL PRESERVE
National Weather Service Miami FL
636 AM EDT Thu Mar 23 2017

Forecast is based on request time of 0700 EDT on March 23.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (305) 229-4522, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

Patchy fog is expected across the burn site early this morning, with
reduced visibilities possible. By mid-morning the fog is expected
to burn off, with a slight chance of showers. Surface winds across
the burn site this morning are expected to be light and variable to near
calm, becoming more easterly and increasing as the day progresses.
A cold front will approach then pass into South Florida today
with a chance of showers and thunderstorms across the burn site by this
afternoon. While a slight chance of thunderstorms is forecast across
the burn site this afternoon, conditions are expected to be somewhat
favorable for a few strong and possible severe thunderstorms across
South Florida this afternoon, with strong gusty winds and hail possible
with the strongest thunderstorms.


.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Patchy fog early
                    in the morning. A slight chance of showers
                    early. A chance of showers and a slight chance
                    of thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 85.
Min humidity........49 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds...becoming northeast 5 to 12 mph
                    with gusts up to 20 mph in the late morning and
                    afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
LAL.................1 until 1400,...then 2.
Mixing height.......300-2000 ft AGL...increasing to 5000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 2 to 7 mph...increasing to east 13 to 20
                    mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Dispersion index....5...increasing to 22,...then increasing to 39
                    early...increasing to 56 early in the
                    afternoon...decreasing to 48...increasing to 58
                    late in the afternoon.
LVORI...............6.
Ceiling (kft).......25000...decreasing to 5000 late in the
                    afternoon.

Time (EDT)      7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM
Sky (%).........23  28  28  28  43  43  43  57  57  57  63  63
Weather cov.....PTY             SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....FOG             RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                            SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Temp............61  63  65  70  74  78  82  84  85  85  84  82
RH..............99  99  90  77  66  57  52  50  48  48  50  53
20 ft wind dir..N   N   N   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
20 ft wind dir..360 010 020 050 060 060 060 050 060 060 060 060
20 ft wind spd..2   2   3   4   5   5   6   7   8   8   9   9
20 ft wind gust.5   5   5   10  10  10  15  15  15  15  20  20
Mix hgt (kft)...0.3 0.3 0.9 1.4 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 5.0 5.0 5.0 3.8
Mixng wind dir..N   N   N   NE  NE  E   E   E   E   E   E   E
Mixng wind spd..2   3   7   13  16  16  15  15  15  17  20  20
Dispersion idx..1   4   8   22  39  55  56  44  47  52  58  53
LVORI...........10  8   5   3   3   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Chc of pcpn (%).0   10  10  10  20  20  20  50  50  50  50  50
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   2   2   2   2   2

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent). A chance of
                    showers and a slight chance of thunderstorms
                    early in the evening.
Min temperature.....Around 60.
Max humidity........99 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 9 to 12 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms early in the
                    evening.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
LAL.................2 until 2000,...then 1.
Mixing height.......2500-3800 ft AGL...decreasing to 300-1200 ft
                    AGL until just after midnight.
Transport winds.....Northeast 12 to 20 mph.
Dispersion index....53...decreasing to 15.
LVORI...............4.
Ceiling (kft).......5000...increasing to 12000 until just after
                    midnight.

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). A slight chance
                    of showers late in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 82.
Min humidity........47 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 9 to 14 mph.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................1.
Mixing height.......300-1400 ft AGL...increasing to 4600-4700 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 10 to 16 mph...increasing to east 21
                    to 26 mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Dispersion index....10...increasing to 87.
LVORI...............4.
Ceiling (kft).......12000...increasing to 25000 through early
                    afternoon.

$$
Forecaster...Diehl
Requested by...KEVIN LOGIUDICE
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 1704512.7/MFL



USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.