Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Medford, OR

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FNUS76 KMFR 180456
FWSMFR

Spot Forecast for Coyote RX...USFS
National Weather Service Medford OR
956 PM PDT Tue Oct 17 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1100 PDT on October 18.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
One more dry, warm day is expected over the area Wednesday with south
to southwest winds that will increase in the afternoon. Winds
will increase substantially Wednesday night through Thursday as a
strong early autumn front approaches the coast. Gusts to 55 mph
are possible Thursday afternoon. The front will bring a period of
rain late Thursday afternoon/evening, then rain will taper off by
Friday morning. Snow levels will drop down to around 4500 feet
Thursday night into Friday, so there could be light snow
accumulations. Another period of rain is expected Friday night
into Saturday morning as snow levels rise. Total liquid
precipitation during this time frame should be 0.50-1.00 inch.
Warmer and drier conditions are expected to begin early next week.


.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max temperature.....Around 66.
Min humidity........17 percent.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....South 2-5 mph in the morning, then 5-10 mph in
                    the afternoon.
WIND (20 FT)........South 5-10 mph in the morning, then 10-15 mph
                    with gusts 25 mph in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......200 ft AGL increasing to 1500-2500 ft AGL late
                    morning, then increasing to 5200 ft AGL
                    in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....South southwest 10-15 mph increasing to 15-20 mph.
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear, then increasing high clouds toward
                    morning.
Min temperature.....37.
Max humidity........60-70 percent.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....Southwest 5-10 mph.
WIND (20 FT)........Southwest 10-15 mph with gusts 25-30 mph.
Mixing height.......5200 ft AGL decreasing to 300-800 ft AGL early
                    in the evening.
Transport winds.....Southwest 15-25 mph.
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Much cooler and windy; becoming cloudy with rain
                    arriving by around 4pm PDT.
Max temperature.....Around 54.
Min humidity........near 45 percent, but humidity rising in the afternoon.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....South 10 mph increasing to 15-20 mph with gusts to
                    35 mph in the afternoon.
WIND (20 FT)........South 15-20 mph increasing to 20-30 mph with gusts
                    of 40-55 mph in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......300-400 ft AGL increasing to 3200-4300 ft AGL
                    late in the morning, then decreasing to 2000 ft
                    AGL late in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southwest 30-60 mph.
CWR.................10 percent increasing to 80 percent by evening.
LAL.................1.

$$
Forecaster...SPILDE
Requested by...Joel Johnson
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1717251.2/MFR



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