Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Newport/Morehead, NC

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FNUS72 KMHX 211327
FWSMHX

Spot Forecast for Keith Davenport Tract...NCFS
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
927 AM EDT Thu Sep 21 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 EDT on September 21.
If conditions become unrepresentative, or if you have questions
or concerns about this forecast, contact the National Weather
Service in Newport at (252)223-2328.

.DISCUSSION...
A trough of low pressure will stall and dissipate near the southern
sections today. High pressure will extend into the area from the
northwest Friday through the weekend. Hurricane Maria is expected
to track between the Bahamas and Bermuda early next week.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....Around 85.
Min humidity........50 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds, becoming north 5 to 6 mph late
                    in the morning through the afternoon.
Mixing height.......Max 5400 ft agl.
Transport winds.....North 3 to 8 mph.
Vent Rate...........Max 37375 mph-ft.
LVORI...............Max 10.
ADI.................Max 32.
Haines index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Sfc pressure........29.95 to 30.01 inHg.

TIME (EDT)         10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%)............20  19  19  19  20  23  29  32
Weather cov........
Weather type.......
Tstm cov...........
Temp...............74  79  82  84  85  85  85  84
RH.................87  72  63  57  53  51  51  55
20 FT wind dir.....N   N   N   N   NE  NE  NE  NE
20 FT wind spd.....3   4   5   5   5   5   5   5
20 FT wind gust....5   5
Mix hgt (kft)......1.7 2.5 3.2 3.9 4.6 4.9 5.1 5.4
Transp wind dir....NW  N   N   N   N   N   N   N
Transp wind spd....5   7   8   8   8   8   7   7
LVORI..............4   3   2   2   1   1   2   2
ADI................11  20  26  30  32  31  30  29
Haines index.......4   4   4   5   5   5   4   4
VRate mph-ft/1000..9   17  25  32  37  37  36  37
Stability class....F   F   B   B   B   B   B   B

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Patchy fog late.
Min temperature.....Around 68.
Max humidity........90 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 5 to 6 mph in the evening, becoming
                    light.
Mixing height.......Min 300 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southeast 3 to 8 mph, becoming southwest around
                    1 mph late.
Vent Rate...........Min 229 mph-ft.
LVORI...............Max 7.
ADI.................Min 0.
Haines index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Sfc pressure........29.95 to 30.03 inHg.

TIME (EDT)         6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%)............30  25  22  25  31  34  34  34  34  31  25  22
Weather cov........                                            PTY
Weather type.......                                            FOG
Tstm cov...........
Temp...............82  78  76  74  73  72  72  71  71  70  70  69
RH.................61  69  76  82  81  84  81  84  84  87  87  90
20 FT wind dir.....NE  E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   NE  N   NW
20 FT wind spd.....5   5   5   4   4   3   2   2   2   1   1   1
20 FT wind gust....            5   5   5
Mix hgt (kft)......3.7 2.0 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
Transp wind dir....N   NE  E   E   E   E   E   SE  SE  S   SW  W
Transp wind spd....8   9   9   7   5   2   1   1   1   1   1   1
LVORI..............2   3   4   5   5   5   6   6   6   6   6   7
ADI................28  4   4   3   2   1   1   1   1   0   0   1
Haines index.......4   4   4   4   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
VRate mph-ft/1000..29  17  2   2   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0
Stability class....B   B   B   B   B   B   F   F   F   F   F   F

$$
Forecaster...Frederick
Requested by...April Seko
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1716101.0/MHX
.EMAIL april.seko@ncagr.gov


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