Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL

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000
FNUS72 KMLB 281946
FWSMLB

Spot Forecast for WATER PLANT WILDFIRE...FLORIDA FOREST SERVICE
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
346 PM EDT Sun May 28 2017

Forecast is based on request time of 1600 EDT on May 28.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Hot and dry conditions will continue this afternoon,
with winds out the west-northwest around 10 mph with some higher
gusts. The east coast sea breeze has formed and is still east of
I-95, but is moving slowly inland. The current forecast keeps the
sea breeze just east of the burn site, nearing the county line,
before it gradually weakens into this evening. However, it will
be close and if it does push across the burn site it will be late,
toward sunset, with winds switching to the east to southeast
around 10 mph before decreasing into the late evening.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent). Patchy smoke late in the
                    afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 95.
Min humidity........37 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West-northwest winds 8-10 mph, with higher
                    gusts.
Mixing height.......4000-4200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 10 to 12 mph.
Dispersion index....54.
LVORI...............1.

TIME (EDT)      4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........9   9
Weather cov.....PTY PTY
Weather type....SMK SMK
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0
LAL.............1   1
Temp............93  93
RH..............39  40
20 FT wind dir..WNW WNW
20 FT wind spd..11  10
20 FT wind gust.17  15
Mix hgt (kft)...4.0 4.2
Transp wind dir.W   W
Transp wind spd.12  10
Dispersion idx..53  55
LVORI...........1   1

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent). Patchy smoke.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Min temperature.....Around 71.
Max humidity........99 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West-northwest winds 5 to 8 mph, then becoming
                    light after midnight.
Mixing height.......1600-2900 ft AGL decreasing to 300 ft AGL early
                    in the evening.
Transport winds.....Northwest 3 to 9 mph.
Dispersion index....32 decreasing to 2.
LVORI...............2 increasing to 8.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........9      7      7      7      12     12
Weather cov.....PATCHY PATCHY PATCHY PATCHY PATCHY PATCHY
Weather type....SMOKE  SMOKE  SMOKE  SMOKE  SMOKE  SMOKE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............90     83     79     76     74     73
RH..............45     59     72     83     90     95
20 ft wind......WNW 8  W 6    W 6    W 5    W 3    NW 3
20 ft wind gust.                            5      5
Mix hgt (ft)....2900   300    300    300    300    300
Transport wind..W 9    SW 6   SW 6   W 5    W 3    NW 3
Dispersion idx..32     3      2      2      2      2
LVORI...........1      3      3      5      7      8

.MEMORIAL DAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent). Patchy smoke early in
                    the morning.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 96.
Min humidity........39 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming west 5 to 6 mph late in
                    the morning, then becoming southeast 6 to 8 mph
                    late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......300-1400 ft AGL increasing to 4500-5200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 2 to 8 mph.
Dispersion index....5 increasing to 32.
LVORI...............8 decreasing to 2.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........12     17     17     17     11     11
Weather cov.....PATCHY
Weather type....SMOKE  NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............73     75     84     91     96     96
RH..............95     90     64     49     39     40
20 ft wind......NW 3   W 3    W 6    NW 5   N 1    E 7
20 ft wind gust.5      5
Mix hgt (ft)....300    300    2400   4000   5000   5100
Transport wind..NW 3   W 3    NW 7   NW 7   W 2    SW 5
Dispersion idx..1      1      21     31     16     25
LVORI...........8      7      2      1      2      2

$$
Forecaster...Weitlich
Requested by...RODNEY DURBIN
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 1710216.0/MLB
.EMAIL RODNEY.DURBIN@FRESHFROMFLORIDA.COM


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