Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL

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000
FNUS74 KMOB 182051
FWSMOB

Spot Forecast for Eglin E23...Eglin AFB
National Weather Service Mobile AL
351 PM CDT Tue Jul 18 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1600 CDT on July 18.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Dispersion will be on the low side through the period with
most locations in the fair category each afternoon. Winds will generally
be out of the southwest during the daytime hours but will be light as
surface and upper level ridging begins to take control of the local
weather pattern through the end of the week.

Fog Potential And Other Remarks...some patchy overnight fog is possible,
especially for inland areas and those that receive heavy rain during the
day. Reductions in visibility should be modest, in the 3 mile plus range.

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
LAL.................9-15 strikes.
Max temperature.....Around 89.
Min humidity........61 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south around 5 mph early
                    in the afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......700 ft AGL increasing to 4500 ft AGL in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height (m)...213 meters AGL increasing to 1372 meters AGL
                    in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....North around 3 mph shifting to the southwest 6
                    to 7 mph in the afternoon.
Transport winds m/s.North around 1 meters/second shifting to the
                    southwest around 3 meters/second in the
                    afternoon.
Dispersion index....7 increasing to 28.
LVORI...............5.
Stability class.....2.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........60  60  60  59  58  60  63  64  64  64  64  58
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).30  50  50  50  50  50  50  30  30  30  30  30
LAL.............3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
Temp............74  75  78  82  85  88  89  89  89  89  89  87
RH..............100 97  88  77  70  63  61  61  61  61  64  68
20 FT wind dir..NE  NE  NE  E   E   SE  S   S   S   S   S   SW
20 FT wind spd..1   2   2   3   3   4   4   4   5   5   5   5
20 FT wind gust.            5   5   5   5   5   10  10  10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...M   0.7 M   M   2.7 M   M   4.1 M   M   4.5 M
Mix hgt (km)....M   0.2 M   M   0.8 M   M   1.2 M   M   1.4 M
Transp wind dir.M   N   M   M   NW  M   M   SW  M   M   SW  M
Transp wind spd.M   3   M   M   5   M   M   6   M   M   7   M
Trans wind dir..M   N   M   M   NW  M   M   SW  M   M   SW  M
Trans spd (m/s).M   1   M   M   2   M   M   3   M   M   3   M
Dispersion idx..3   8   11  13  15  14  15  16  20  24  25  31
LVORI...........8   6   4   3   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2

$$
Forecaster...22
Requested by...Jerry Coon
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1712951.0/MOB
.EMAIL jerry.coon@us.af.mil



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