Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Twin Cities, MN

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000
FNUS73 KMPX 241517
FWSMPX

SPOT FORECAST FOR OLD CEDAR PILE BURN...US FISH AND WILDLIFE SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
917 AM CST TUE JAN 24 2017

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CST ON JANUARY 24.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

A STORM SYSTEM THAT WAS ORGANIZING ACROSS THE CENTRAL PLAINS AND
HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED ACROSS THE NORTHERN ROCKIES...WILL CONTINUE
A LIGHT NORTHEAST WIND TODAY. NO PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED UNTIL
LATE THIS EVENING.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY.
TEMPERATURE.........34 AT IGNITION...MAX 36.
RH..................81 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 79 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTHEAST AT 3 MPH AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS BECOMING
                    NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2600 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 2400-3200
                    FT AGL.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2600 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 2400-3200
                    FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 3 TO 10 MPH INCREASING TO 13 TO 14 MPH
                    LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR /16900 KNOT-FT/ AT IGNITION. MAX...GOOD
                    /37600 KNOT-FT/.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE AT IGNITION...MAX 5.

TIME (CST)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
TEMP............34  34  35  36  36  36  36  35
RH..............81  82  82  79  79  82  82  85
20 FT WIND DIR..NE  NE  E   E   NE  NE  NE  NE
20 FT WIND SPD..2   2   3   3   4   4   4   4
20 FT WIND GUST.5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.6 2.8 3.0 3.0 2.9 2.9 3.0 3.2
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE  E   E   E   E   E   E   E
TRANSP WIND SPD.7   8   8   8   9   10  13  14
HAINES INDEX....5   4   4   4   5   5   5   4
SDSPL KT-FT/100017  18  20  22  25  27  33  38

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW EARLY IN THE EVENING.
                    SNOW IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. CHANCE
                    OF SNOW NEAR 100 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 31.
RH..................MAX 92 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2100-3300 FT AGL.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2100-3300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 12 TO 21 MPH INCREASING TO 22 TO 24
                    MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD TO GOOD (32700-43400 KNOT-FT).

TIME (CST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
TEMP............35     34     33     33     33     33
RH..............85     85     92     92     92     89
20 FT WIND......NE 4   NE 4   NE 5   NE 5   NE 6   N 6
20 FT WIND GUST.5      5             10     10     10
MIX HGT (FT)....3300   3300   2900   2300   2100   2100
TRANSPORT WIND..E 15   E 12   E 14   NE 20  NE 22  NE 23
HAINES INDEX....4      3      3      3      3      3
SDSPL KT-FT/100041     34     35     39     41     42

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SNOW IN THE MORNING, THEN CHANCE OF
                    SNOW IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF SNOW 80
                    PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 33.
RH..................MIN 78 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000-3300 FT AGL.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000-3300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 21 TO 28 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD TO EXCELLENT (44700-70200 KNOT-FT).
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW.

TIME (CST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
TEMP............32     31     31     33     33     32
RH..............88     92     88     82     78     81
20 FT WIND......N 8    N 9    N 10   N 10   N 10   NW 9
20 FT WIND GUST.20     20     20     20     20     20
MIX HGT (FT)....2000   2100   2300   2800   2800   3100
TRANSPORT WIND..NE 25  N 28   N 26   N 22   N 22   N 23
HAINES INDEX....3      3      3      3      3      3
SDSPL KT-FT/100045     49     53     53     53     62

$$
FORECASTER...TAGGART
REQUESTED BY...DAN PAULSON
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1700712.0/MPX
.EMAIL BMRMARTIN@GMAIL.COM


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