Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Marquette, MI

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000
FNUS73 KMQT 310907
FWSMQT

SPOT FORECAST FOR FLATFOOT RX...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
507 AM EDT FRI JUL 31 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0700 EDT ON JULY 31.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A DISTURBANCE MOVING ACROSS THE SITE THIS MORNING COULD
LEAD TO A FEW SHOWERS MOVING OVER FLATFOOT...BUT POTENTIAL FOR THEM
TO HIT THE SITE HAS BEEN DIMINISHING EARLY THIS MORNING. IF THE
SHOWERS DO NOT OCCUR...WOULD EXPECT RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES TO BE A
LITTLE BIT LOWER THAN THE FORECAST INDICATES. EXPECT GUSTY WINDS
AGAIN TODAY WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH THIS AFTERNOON. THE NORTHWESTERLY
WINDS OFF THE LAKE WILL LEAD TO MORE STABLE AIR AND DECREASING CLOUDS
THIS AFTERNOON...AS THE CLOUDS BECOME FOCUSED TO THE SOUTHEAST. FOR
TONIGHT...ANOTHER DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE EASTERN U.P. BUT
ONCE AGAIN THE RAIN POTENTIAL IS LIMITED. AT THIS TIME...THE BEST
CHANCE FOR RAIN WILL COME ON SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF
                    PRECIPITATION 40 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....64 AT IGNITION...MAX 77.
MIN HUMIDITY........78 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 45 PERCENT.
33-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS WEST AT 8 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    NORTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    AROUND 23 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS WEST AT 6 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 12 TO 30 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...POOR (40) AT IGNITION. MAX...GOOD (397)
                    INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (1595).
LAL.................2 UNTIL 1000...THEN 3 UNTIL 1400...THEN 2 UNTIL
                    1800...THEN 1.
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....NONE TO 0.11 INCHES.

TIME (EDT)      8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM
SKY (%).........49     55     56     53     44     46
WEATHER COV.....S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE   NONE
TEMP............64     72     76     76     76     75
RH..............78     60     51     49     45     48
33-FOOT WIND....W 8    W 8    NW 11  NW 14  NW 14  NW 13
20-FOOT WIND....W 6    W 6    NW 9   NW 11  NW 11  NW 10
WIND GUST.......13     13     17     23     24     23
VINDX KT-FT/100.40     897    1346   1248   1519   1595
TRANSPORT WIND..W 18   W 20   W 18   W 17   NW 21  NW 24
LAL.............2      3      3      2      2      1

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT. CHANCE OF SHOWERS 20 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 52.
MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 100 PERCENT.
33-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 4 TO 8 MPH.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 12 TO 31 MPH DECREASING TO 12 TO 19
                    MPH LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...EXCELLENT (808) DECREASING TO POOR (0) BY LATE
                    EVENING.
LAL.................1.
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....NONE TO 0.01 INCHES.

TIME (EDT)      8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM   6 AM
SKY (%).........57     55     53     51     54     55
WEATHER COV.....                     S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE
TEMP............71     63     58     56     53     53
RH..............56     74     87     89     99     100
33-FOOT WIND....NW 10  NW 10  W 7    W 6    W 6    W 8
20-FOOT WIND....NW 8   NW 8   W 6    W 5    W 5    W 6
WIND GUST.......14     14
VINDX KT-FT/100.1265   346    0      43     31     28
TRANSPORT WIND..NW 26  NW 23  NW 21  NW 20  NW 16  NW 15
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON.
                    CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 74.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 54 PERCENT.
33-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH EARLY
                    AFTERNOON.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 4 TO 8 MPH.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 10 TO 19 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...GOOD (529) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (995) IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 1400...THEN 1.
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....NONE TO 0.02 INCHES.

TIME (EDT)      8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM
SKY (%).........56     57     58     59     56     52
WEATHER COV.....S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............59     64     70     73     73     73
RH..............87     74     60     56     54     55
33-FOOT WIND....W 10   W 10   NW 11  NW 11  NW 11  W 10
20-FOOT WIND....W 8    W 8    NW 9   NW 9   NW 9   W 8
WIND GUST.......13     13     15     15     15     13
VINDX KT-FT/100.79     270    529    819    961    925
TRANSPORT WIND..NW 14  NW 13  W 13   NW 14  NW 15  NW 16
LAL.............2      2      2      1      1      1

$$
FORECASTER...SRF
REQUESTED BY...PATTY CARRICK
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150731.FLATF.02/MQT



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