Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Marquette, MI

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000
FNUS73 KMQT 241141
FWSMQT

SPOT FORECAST FOR AMBUSH FIRE...MIDNR
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
741 AM EDT TUE MAY 24 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0701 EDT ON MAY 24.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
AN INCREASE IN MOISTURE AND A WEAK FRONT TOWARD THE AREA WILL BRING
AN INCREASING CHANCE FOR SHOWERS BY LATE THIS MORNING INTO THIS
AFTERNOON. MAINLY SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON WITH
THE GREATEST RAIN CHANCE BETWEEN 3 PM AND 6 PM. SOME THUNDERSTORMS
MAY ALSO BE POSSIBLE BUT THE THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE SHOULD BE MORE
ISOLATED COMPARED TO THE OVERALL RAIN AREA. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF
BETWEEN A TENTH AND A QUARTER INCH ARE POSSIBLE THAT WOULD BE LOCALLY
HIGHER IF A THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 50
                    PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....59 AT REQUEST...MAX 75.
MIN HUMIDITY........62 PERCENT AT REQUEST...MIN 51 PERCENT.
33-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS SOUTHWEST AT 10 MPH AT
                    REQUEST...OTHERWISE SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10
                    MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS SOUTHWEST AT 8 MPH AT REQUEST...OTHERWISE
                    SOUTHWEST WINDS 4 TO 8 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4...OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
                    PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 12 TO 20 MPH DECREASING TO 5 TO 10 MPH
                    EARLY IN THE EVENING.
VENTILATION INDEX...POOR (43) AT REQUEST. MAX...GOOD (508)
                    INCREASING TO GOOD (580) LATE.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 0900...THEN 2 UNTIL 1100...THEN 3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL AT REQUEST...OTHERWISE 300-1600 FT
                    AGL INCREASING TO 2700-4600 FT AGL EARLY IN THE
                    AFTERNOON...THEN INCREASING TO 3000-4800 FT AGL
                    LATE DECREASING TO 1800 FT AGL EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING.
WAVE HEIGHT.........0 FEET.
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.22 INCHES.

TIME (EDT)      8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM
SKY (%).........32     53     68     76     76     77
WEATHER COV.....       S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............59     66     72     73     74     70
RH..............62     58     51     53     54     63
33-FOOT WIND....SW 10  SW 10  SW 10  SW 10  SW 10  SW 8
20-FOOT WIND....SW 8   SW 8   SW 8   SW 8   SW 8   SW 6
WIND GUST.......              13     13     13     10
VINDX KT-FT/100.43     123    294    508    551    298
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 20  W 15   W 13   W 13   W 14   W 12
MIX HGT (FT)....300    900    2700   4600   4600   3000
LAL.............1      2      3      3      3      3
HAINES INDEX....4      3      3      4      3      3
WAVE HEIGHT (FT)0      0      0      0      0      0

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. PATCHY FOG BY
                    LATE EVENING. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 40
                    PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 49.
MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 96 PERCENT.
33-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5 MPH OR LESS SHIFTING TO THE NORTH
                    4 TO 9 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    EVENING.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS UP TO 4 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH UP
                    TO 7 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4...OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
                    PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 5 TO 13 MPH INCREASING TO 10 TO 20
                    MPH LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...POOR (17).
LAL.................3 UNTIL 2300...THEN 2 UNTIL 0100...THEN 1.
WAVE HEIGHT.........0 FEET.
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.07 INCHES.

TIME (EDT)      8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM   6 AM
SKY (%).........79     79     77     73     70     67
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RN/FG  NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............63     60     56     51     50     49
RH..............78     81     85     94     96     96
33-FOOT WIND....W 5    W 5    NW 5   N 8    N 8    N 6
20-FOOT WIND....W 4    W 4    NW 4   N 6    N 6    N 5
WIND GUST.......              6
VINDX KT-FT/100.36     63     64     23     19     55
TRANSPORT WIND..W 5    W 9    NW 10  N 10   NE 13  NE 15
LAL.............3      3      2      1      1      1
HAINES INDEX....3      4      4      3      3      3
WAVE HEIGHT (FT)0      0      0      0      0      0

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 72.
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 47 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    EAST EARLY IN THE EVENING.

TIME (EDT)      8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM
SKY (%).........65     58     51     44     52     59
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............51     58     64     68     71     71
RH..............92     74     59     52     47     48
20-FOOT WIND....NE 5   NE 5   NE 6   E 6    E 6    E 7
WIND GUST.......                     9      9      10

$$
FORECASTER...JLB
REQUESTED BY...CHRISTOPHER COX
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20160524.AMBUS.01/MQT



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