Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Upton, NY

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000
FNUS71 KOKX 311236
FWSOKX

SPOT FORECAST FOR NYWIMA...NYWIMA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
836 AM EDT FRI OCT 31 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1130 EDT ON OCTOBER 31.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPS OFF THE CAROLINA COAST TODAY...THEN TRACKS
NORTHEAST TO A POSITION SOUTHEAST OF CAPE COD BY SATURDAY EVENING.
MEANWHILE...ANOTHER COASTAL LOW DEVELOPS OFF THE CAROLINA COAST
LATE SATURDAY.

AFTER A TRANQUIL TODAY...SPOTTY LIGHT RAIN MOVES IN TONIGHT.
SPOTTY RAIN CONTINUES SATURDAY...WITH THE BEST CHANCE FOR ANY
SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL FROM THE NEW YORK CITY METRO ON EAST INTO
LONG ISLAND AND SOUTHEASTERN CONNECTICUT. AFTER RELATIVELY LIGHT
WINDS INTO THIS EVENING...NORTHEAST WINDS SHOULD GUSTS TO 20 TO
30 MPH BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS
                    LATE.
TEMPERATURE.........54 AT IGNITION...MAX 56.
RH..................59 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 59 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTHEAST AT 7 MPH AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT AND VARIABLE
                    WINDS...BECOMING NORTHEAST 6 TO 8 MPH.
CWR.................10 PERCENT...INCREASING TO 20 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......0-1600 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 5500 FT AGL AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE 4100-5600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 5 TO 13 MPH...INCREASING TO AROUND 15 MPH
                    LATE.

TIME (EDT)          8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............80  80  80  79  79  78  78  81  86  89
WEATHER COV.........                                ISO ISO
WEATHER TYPE........                                RW  RW
TSTM COV............
TEMP................45  47  50  53  54  55  55  55  55  54
RH..................76  68  63  59  59  59  59  59  59  61
20 FT WIND DIR......010 020 030 040 040 050 060 060 060 050
20 FT WIND SPD......5   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6
20 FT WIND GUST.....10  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15
CWR.................0   0   0   0   10  10  10  10  20  20

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    LIGHT RAIN EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN A CHANCE
                    OF LIGHT RAIN IN THE LATE EVENING AND EARLY
                    MORNING. LIGHT RAIN LIKELY AFTER MIDNIGHT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 47.
RH..................MAX 80 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
CWR.................20 PERCENT...INCREASING TO 70 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1400-3100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 17 TO 26 MPH...INCREASING TO 28 TO 29
                    MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.

TIME (EDT)          6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).............92  97  100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100
WEATHER COV.........SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY
WEATHER TYPE........RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN
TSTM COV............
TEMP................53  52  51  51  50  50  50  50  49  49  49  49
RH..................66  69  74  74  77  77  77  77  80  80  80  77
20 FT WIND DIR......050 050 050 050 050 040 040 040 030 030 030 020
20 FT WIND SPD......6   6   7   7   7   8   9   10  10  10  10  11
20 FT WIND GUST.....15  15  15  15  15  15  20  20  25  25  25  25
CWR.................20  20  20  30  30  30  40  50  60  60  60  70

$$
FORECASTER...PW
REQUESTED BY...ROBERT ROGERS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20141031.NYWIM.01/OKX






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