Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Paducah, KY

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442
FNUS73 KPAH 251426
FWSPAH

Spot Forecast for Whitesides RX...USFS
National Weather Service Paducah KY
826 AM CST Sat Feb 25 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 CST on February 25.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

Winds will be the main concern this morning but should decrease this
afternoon. RH should be favorable for for burning later today. This
combined with dry vegetation should result in a effective burn.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent) then becoming
                    mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Temperature.........33 at ignition...Max 41.
RH..................57 percent at ignition...Min 31 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Winds northwest at 9 mph.
Mixing height.......4200 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 5000
                    ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 21 to 30 mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth at ignition...max 4.

TIME (CST)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
Sky cover.......MCLDY  PCLDY  MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0      0      0      0      0
Temp............33     37     40     41     39
RH..............57     45     37     36     40
20 FT wind dir..NW     W      W      W      W
20 FT wind spd..9      8      8      8      6
20 FT wind gust.15     10     10     10     10
Mix hgt (ft)....4200   4700   5000   5000   5000
Transp wind dir.NW     NW     NW     W      NW
Transp wind spd.24     22     21     21     21
Haines index....2      3      3      3      4

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Clear (0-10 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Temperature.........Min 27.
RH..................Max 76 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......West winds around 5 mph early in the evening
                    becoming light.
Mixing height.......3400-5100 ft AGL decreasing to 2900 ft AGL
                    early in the morning.
Transport winds.....Northwest 13 to 22 mph shifting to the west 7
                    to 12 mph early in the morning.
Haines Index........4 to 5 or low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth to or moderate potential
                    for large plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (CST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky cover.......CLEAR  CLEAR  CLEAR  CLEAR  CLEAR  MCLEAR
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0      0      0      0      0      0
Temp............38     35     33     31     30     28
RH..............42     45     52     58     61     67
20 FT wind dir..W      NW     NW     W      S      S
20 FT wind spd..5      3      2      1      1      1
20 FT wind gust.       5      5
Mix hgt (ft)....5000   5100   4900   4400   4100   3400
Transp wind dir.NW     NW     NW     NW     NW     W
Transp wind spd.21     22     21     17     13     9
Haines index....4      5      5      4      4      4

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (75-85 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Temperature.........Max 50.
RH..................Min 24 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Light winds becoming south 5 to 7 mph early in
                    the morning.
Mixing height.......2300-3900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 6 to 15 mph increasing to 16 to 22 mph
                    late in the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.

TIME (CST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky cover.......MCLEAR PCLDY  PCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0      0      0      0      0      0
Temp............27     34     42     47     50     49
RH..............69     57     43     37     34     39
20 FT wind dir..SE     S      S      S      S      S
20 FT wind spd..2      5      7      7      7      5
20 FT wind gust.5             10     10     10
Mix hgt (ft)....2600   2300   2600   3100   3500   3800
Transp wind dir.SW     S      S      S      S      S
Transp wind spd.6      9      14     15     15     20
Haines index....4      4      4      4      4      4

$$
Forecaster...HOOPER
Requested by...Jason Rose
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1702888.0/PAH
.EMAIL jnrose@fs.fed.us



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