Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL

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FNUS72 KTBW 120944
FWSTBW

Spot Forecast FOR HORSE CREEK...SFWMD
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Area - Ruskin FL
444 AM EST Tue Dec 12 2017

If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
A cold front will move south through the region today. Lack of
moisture return ahead of the front will preclude rain chances
with its passage with just an increase in winds expected across
the area during the afternoon. Southwest winds in the 5 to 10
mph range early this morning will shift to the west and increase
to 15 to 20 mph with higher gusts during the afternoon. The
increasing 20 foot winds and transport winds will lead to high
dispersion indices over the burn area during the afternoon. Cooler
and drier air will move into the region tonight through Wednesday
in the wake of the front. The drier air will lead to long durations
of humidity values below 35 percent over the burn area during
Wednesday afternoon, however with low ERC values and diminishing
winds red flag conditions are not expected.

Fog Potential...Fog is not expected for the next few days as drier
air moves into the region.

.TODAY...
TIME (EST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
-----------------------------------------------------------------
Sky.............Mclear Mclear Mclear Pcldy  Pcldy  Pcldy
Weather Type....None   None   None   None   None   None
Chc Precip (%)..0      0      0      0      0      0
Temp............44     49     61     68     73     71
Humidity........87     86     72     60     50     51
20 FT Wind......SW 6   SW 6   SW 9   W 15   W 17   W 17
20 FT Wind Gust.10     10     15     20     25     25
Mix Hgt (FT)....300    400    600    2900   4000   3700
Transport Wind..SW 5   SW 8   SW 14  W 23   W 30   W 29
Dispersion......5      4      10     55     85     77
LVORI...........5      5      4      2      1      1
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1

.TONIGHT...
TIME (EST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
-----------------------------------------------------------------
Sky.............Mclear Clear  Clear  Clear  Clear  Clear
Weather Type....None   None   None   None   None   None
Chc Precip (%)..0      0      0      0      0      0
Temp............64     59     54     50     47     44
Humidity........66     66     67     63     65     70
20 FT Wind......W 13   W 12   NW 9   NW 10  NW 10  NW 9
20 FT Wind Gust.15     15     15     15     15     15
Mix Hgt (FT)....1400   300    300    300    300    300
Transport Wind..W 17   NW 9   NW 9   NW 9   NW 10  NW 9
Dispersion......30     6      6      6      6      6
LVORI...........2      3      3      3      3      3
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1

.WEDNESDAY...
TIME (EST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
-----------------------------------------------------------------
Sky.............Clear  Clear  Clear  Clear  Clear  Clear
Weather Type....None   None   None   None   None   None
Chc Precip (%)..0      0      0      0      0      0
Temp............42     43     49     55     59     59
Humidity........71     64     47     35     28     28
20 FT Wind......NW 8   NW 7   N 8    NW 6   NW 6   NW 6
20 FT Wind Gust.10     10     10     10     10     10
Mix Hgt (FT)....300    600    1200   1800   2100   2200
Transport Wind..NW 7   NW 8   N 12   NW 9   NW 7   NW 7
Dispersion......6      10     17     19     21     20
LVORI...........3      3      2      2      2      2
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1

$$
Forecaster...McMichael
Requested by...CHAD ALLISON
Emergency phone...863-430-7848
Type of request...PRESCRIBED  1 Acres
Lat/Lon 28.1589 81.5566
.TAG 1719851.0/TBW



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