High Seas Forecast
Issued by NWS

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000
FZPN03 KNHC 170253
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0430 UTC WED SEP 17 2014

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC WED SEP 17.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC THU SEP 18.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC FRI SEP 19.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM POLO NEAR 13.8N 101.3W 1000 MB AT 0300 UTC SEP
17 MOVING NW OR 310 DEG AT 10 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT
GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 50 NM N AND
WITHIN 60 NM S SEMICIRCLES. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM
W SEMICIRCLE...270 NM NE AND WITHIN 240 NM SE QUADRANTS WITH
SEAS TO 18 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM NE AND 90 NM SW
SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 9 TO 11 FT. REMAINDER OF
EPAC WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY A LINE FROM 16N110W TO 15N93W TO
03.4S80W TO 03.4S95W TO 16N110W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 10
FT PRIMARILY IN SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE POLO NEAR 16.2N 103.8W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 80 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 70 NM W SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR
GREATER WITHIN 150 NM E AND 90 NM W SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 18
FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM E AND WITHIN 120 NM W SEMICIRCLES OF
CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA
FROM 11N TO 18N BETWEEN 98W AND 107W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS
TO 10 FT PRIMARILY IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE POLO NEAR 18.2N 106.6W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 80 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR
GREATER WITHIN 150 NM SE AND 90 NM NW SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO
21 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM SE AND WITHIN 120 NM NW
SEMICIRCLES OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
ELSEWHERE FROM 13N TO 21N BETWEEN 101W AND 110W WINDS 20 KT OR
LESS. SEAS TO 10 FT PRIMARILY IN MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE POLO NEAR 19.7N 108.7W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE POLO NEAR 21.3N 111.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM POLO NEAR 22.0N 113.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM ODILE NEAR 29.7N 113.6W 994 MB AT 0300 UTC SEP
17 MOVING N OR 360 DEG AT 6 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT
GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 120 NM E
SEMICIRCLE AND 60 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN
75 NM NE AND WITHIN 60 NM SE QUADRANTS WITH SEAS TO 16 FT.
ELSEWHERE GULF OF CALIFORNIA FROM 28N TO 31N WINDS 20 TO 33
KT. SEAS TO 11 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION ODILE INLAND NEAR 31.5N
112.3W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT. GULF OF
CALIFORNIA N OF 29N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.36 HOUR FORECAST POST TROPICAL ODILE NEAR 32.8N 111.2W.
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST...DISSIPATED.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.WEAKENING COLD FRONT FROM 30N134W TO 25N140W. N OF 29N WITHIN
240 NM E OF FRONT S TO SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 10 FT.
ELSEWHERE AREA BOUNDED BY A LINE FROM 30N140W TO 30N130W TO
25N140W TO 30N140W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT PRIMARILY
IN MIXED NW AND S SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FRONTAL TROUGH FROM 30N131W TO 24N140W. W OF
LINE FROM 30N128W TO 23N140W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO
9 FT PRIMARILY IN A BROAD MIX OF SWELL.
.42 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH FROM 27N130W TO 24N140W. WINDS 20 KT OR
LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID 0245 UTC WED SEP 17...

.TROPICAL STORM POLO...SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 150
NM SE QUADRANT AND WITHIN 90 NM OF LINE FROM 17N100W TO 14N102W
TO 10N104W.

.TROPICAL STORM ODILE...SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG
OVER GULF OF CALIFORNIA N OF 28N.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 09N82W TO 12N92W...RESUMES FROM 14N104W
TO 10N125W TO 12N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 240
NM OF THE COAST OF CENTRAL AMERICA FROM 86W TO 90W...AND WITHIN 240
NM OF A LINE FROM 09N103W TO 12N110W AND WITHIN 90 NM OF LINE FROM
12N112W TO 12N120W.

$$
.FORECASTER NELSON. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.



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