Hazardous Weather Outlook
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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FLUS44 KTSA 301758
HWOTSA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1258 PM CDT SAT APR 30 2016

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-011015-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
1258 PM CDT SAT APR 30 2016


THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THUNDERSTORMS WITH DANGEROUS LIGHTNING.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...FAR NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...AFTER 3 PM.

DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO MAKE ITS WAY THROUGH FAR EASTERN
OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS THIS AFTERNOON. AHEAD OF THE
BOUNDARY...A NARROW AXIS OF INSTABILITY COULD ALLOW FOR THE
POTENTIAL OF A FEW SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP THIS
AFTERNOON OVER FAR NORTHWEST ARKANSAS...MAINLY EAST OF A LINE FROM
FORT SMITH ARKANSAS TO EUREKA SPRINGS ARKANSAS. PRECIPITATION
CHANCES SHOULD EXIT THE REGION THIS EVENING WITH THE DEPARTING
FRONT. SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION NOT EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.
SUNDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...NO HAZARDS.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
ADDITIONAL SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL BECOME POSSIBLE
AGAIN SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY AS ANOTHER UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE
MOVES ACROSS THE PLAINS. THE CHANCE FOR THUNDER LOOKS TO BE
MAINLY ACROSS SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA INTO WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS.
BEHIND THIS NEXT SYSTEM...A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE IS FORECAST TO
SET UP OVER THE CENTRAL UNITED STATES. THIS WILL ALLOW FOR DRIER
CONDITIONS AND A TEMPERATURE WARMING TREND FOR EASTERN OKLAHOMA
AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS THROUGH THE REST OF THE UPCOMING WEEK.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

$$



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