Prognostic Meteorological Discussion
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000
FXUS01 KWBC 311955
PMDSPD

SHORT RANGE FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
354 PM EDT FRI JUL 31 2015

VALID 00Z SAT AUG 01 2015 - 00Z MON AUG 03 2015

...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS FOR PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHEAST...

...SCATTERED HEAVY RAINS FOR PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWESTERN U.S....

A STALLED FRONTAL BOUNDARY EXTENDING FROM THE EASTERN CAROLINAS
BACK INTO THE NORTHERN GULF OF MEXICO IS FORECAST TO PROVIDE THE
FOCUS FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TODAY INTO THE WEEKEND.  THESE
STORMS MAY PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS, ESPECIALLY ALONG THE
EASTERN GULF COAST INTO NORTHERN FLORIDA, AS TROPICAL MOISTURE
POOLING ALONG THE FRONT INTERACTS WITH WEAK UPPER LEVEL
DISTURBANCES.

FURTHER TO THE NORTH, WITH THE EXCEPTION OF SCATTERED SHOWERS
ACCOMPANYING A SECONDARY SHOT OF COOLER AIR PUSHING ACROSS THE
GREAT LAKES AND NORTHEAST ON SATURDAY, EXPECT DRIER CONDITIONS TO
PREVAIL ACROSS MUCH OF THE REMAINDER OF THE EASTERN U.S. THROUGH
THE WEEKEND.

ACROSS THE NORTHERN GREAT PLAINS TO THE UPPER MIDWEST, SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AND MOVE ACROSS PORTIONS OF
THE REGION LATE SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY.

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP BOTH
DAYS ACROSS INTERIOR CALIFORNIA, THE DESERT SOUTHWEST, THE
SOUTHERN GREAT BASIN INTO THE SOUTHERN ROCKIES.  SOME OF THESE
STORMS MAY PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY AMOUNTS, RESULTING IN EXCESSIVE
RUNOFFS AND FLASH FLOODING.  SOME STORMS DEVELOPING ALONG THE
MOUNTAINS OF NORTHERN NEW MEXICO AND SOUTHERN COLORADO MAY SPILL
EAST INTO THE PLAINS, PRODUCING LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS ACROSS
PORTIONS OF THE OKLAHOMA AND TEXAS PANHANDLE REGIONS AS WELL.

DRY CONDITIONS AND ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE FROM THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST ACROSS THE NORTHERN ROCKIES
INTO THE HIGH PLAINS.

PEREIRA

GRAPHICS AVAILABLE AT WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV
$$




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