Recreational Report
Issued by NWS Topeka, KS

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000
SXUS43 KTOP 210512
RECTOP

MORNING LOW LEVEL WIND FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
1212 AM CDT THU AUG 21 2014

...SHAWNEE COUNTY...

.DISCUSSION...

AVIATION...(FOR THE 06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z THURSDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1120 PM CDT WED AUG 20 2014

ORGANIZED CONVECTION APPEARS TO BE A PRETTY LOW PROBABILITY
OVERNIGHT WITH MODELS SHOWING THE NOSE OF THE LOW LEVEL JET MAINLY
NORTH AND EAST OF THE TERMINALS. CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED ACROSS
SOUTHERN NEB ON THE NOSE OF THE LOW LEVEL JET WHILE ADDITIONAL
ACTIVITY TO THE SOUTH APPEARS TO BE FALLING APART. THEREFORE WILL
CONTINUE WITH A DRY FORECAST. CHANCES FOR WIND SHEAR CONTINUE TO
BE SMALL AS SFC WINDS HAVE REMAINED UP THIS EVENING INDICATIVE OF
CONTINUED MIXING. RAP AND NAM SOUNDINGS SHOW ONLY A MODEST NOCTURNAL
INVERSION THAT IS NOT VERY STEEP AND MODELS PROG A DECENT PRESSURE
GRADIENT PERSISTING THROUGH THE NIGHT. BECAUSE OF THIS I DO NOT
EXPECT THE BOUNDARY LAYER TO BECOME COMPLETELY DECOUPLED.

.THIS MORNING...
    SUNRISE:                         640 AM

    SURFACE WIND FORECAST:           7 AM  190/12 MPH
                                     9 AM  200/15G22 MPH

    TOP SND (AGL) (AT 602 PM):        200FT  200/19 MPH
                                      400FT  201/25 MPH
                                      600FT  202/26 MPH
                                      800FT  204/26 MPH
                                     1000FT  204/26 MPH
                                     1500FT  200/26 MPH
                                     2000FT  199/26 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 700 AM):      SURFACE 192/12 MPH
                                       36FT  196/23 MPH
                                      197FT  197/27 MPH
                                      477FT  202/35 MPH
                                      893FT  207/43 MPH
                                     1435FT  213/52 MPH
                                     2098FT  220/58 MPH
                                     2835FT  231/56 MPH
                                     3657FT  238/50 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 800 AM):      SURFACE 192/12 MPH
                                       36FT  199/23 MPH
                                      197FT  200/27 MPH
                                      476FT  205/34 MPH
                                      892FT  210/42 MPH
                                     1437FT  218/50 MPH
                                     2098FT  228/55 MPH
                                     2836FT  238/50 MPH
                                     3664FT  242/43 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 900 AM):      SURFACE 201/15 MPH
                                       39FT  205/23 MPH
                                      200FT  205/27 MPH
                                      480FT  208/31 MPH
                                      896FT  210/42 MPH
                                     1437FT  218/50 MPH
                                     2098FT  228/55 MPH
                                     2836FT  238/50 MPH
                                     3664FT  242/43 MPH

    DENSITY ALTITUDE:                7 AM  2815 FT
                                     9 AM  3136 FT

.OUTLOOK FOR THIS EVENING...
    SUNSET:         811 PM
    SURFACE WIND:   5 PM  190/17G26 MPH
                    7 PM  190/14 MPH

&&

THIS FORECAST IS NOT ROUTINELY UPDATED OR AMENDED OUTSIDE OF
SCHEDULED ISSUANCES. A METEOROLOGIST WILL ALSO BE AVAILABLE AT PHONE
NUMBER 1-785-234-2592.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TOPEKA

$$




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