River Forecast
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FGUS51 KTIR 141459
RVFAGU
River Forecast
NWS Ohio River Forecast Center, Wilmington, OH
9:36am EST Thursday, December 14, 2017

This is a NWS guidance product from the Ohio River Forecast Center.
Public forecasts and warnings are issued only by local NWS offices.
Statistical uncertainties can be viewed from our ensemble pages at:
http://weather.gov/erh/mmefs


: Eldred - Allegheny River - CTP
: Zero Datum 1416.5 ft (NGVD 1929)
: McKean County, PA
: Record River Stage     29.1 ft
: Major River Stage      27.0 ft
: Moderate River Stage   25.0 ft
: Flood River Stage      23.0 ft
: Action River Stage     17.0 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
: Gage reading may be affected by ice.
: Forecast stage represents estimate of unobstructed flow.
:
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Dec 12                           /   4.1
:     Dec 13   /   4.1 /   4.1 /   4.0 /   3.9
:     Dec 14   /   3.8 /   3.8 /   4.1
:
: Latest Observed River Stage 4.3 ft at 830am EST on Thu, Dec 14
:
.ER ELRP1 20171214 Z DC201712141436/DUE/DQG/DH18/HGIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Dec 14 :                         /   3.8
.E2 : Dec 15 : /   3.8 /   3.7 /   3.7 /   3.7
.E3 : Dec 16 : /   3.7 /   3.7 /   3.6 /   3.6
.E4 : Dec 17 : /   3.5 /   3.5 /   3.5 /   3.5
.E5 : Dec 18 : /   3.5 /   3.5 /   3.5 /   3.5
.E6 : Dec 19 : /   3.5 /   3.5 /   3.5
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Dec 11                           /  0.00
:     Dec 12   /  0.00 /  0.03 /  0.07 /  0.05
:     Dec 13   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Dec 14   /  0.03 /  0.13 /  0.02
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Dec 14                           /  0.00
:     Dec 15   /  0.00 /  0.01 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Dec 16   /  0.02 /  0.05 /  0.11
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Dec 11                           /  -3.0
:     Dec 12   /  -2.5 /  -2.3 /  -1.4 /  -1.9
:     Dec 13   /  -7.8 / -11.5 / -10.8 /  -9.1
:     Dec 14   /  -8.5 /  -8.9 /  -9.4 /  -9.9
:     Dec 15   /  -9.4 / -11.2 / -12.0 /  -8.7
:     Dec 16   /  -5.8 /  -6.9 /  -7.6
:____________________________________________________________________

: Olean - Allegheny River - BUF
: Zero Datum 1401.12 ft (Vertical Datum Unknown)
: Cattaraugus County, NY
: Record River Stage     24.2 ft
: Major River Stage      21.0 ft
: Moderate River Stage   15.0 ft
: Flood River Stage      10.0 ft
: Action River Stage      8.0 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Dec 12                           /   0.7
:     Dec 13   /   0.7 /   0.7 /   0.6 /   0.5
:     Dec 14   /   0.5 /   0.7 /   0.3
:
: Latest Observed River Stage 0.5 ft at 830am EST on Thu, Dec 14
:
.ER OLNN6 20171214 Z DC201712141436/DUE/DQG/DH18/HGIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Dec 14 :                         /   0.4
.E2 : Dec 15 : /   0.4 /   0.3 /   0.3 /   0.3
.E3 : Dec 16 : /   0.3 /   0.3 /   0.2 /   0.2
.E4 : Dec 17 : /   0.2 /   0.2 /   0.2 /   0.2
.E5 : Dec 18 : /   0.1 /   0.1 /   0.1 /   0.1
.E6 : Dec 19 : /   0.1 /   0.1 /   0.1
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Dec 11                           /  0.00
:     Dec 12   /  0.00 /  0.02 /  0.07 /  0.08
:     Dec 13   /  0.01 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Dec 14   /  0.01 /  0.09 /  0.02
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Dec 14                           /  0.01
:     Dec 15   /  0.00 /  0.01 /  0.01 /  0.00
:     Dec 16   /  0.02 /  0.07 /  0.12
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Dec 11                           /  -3.2
:     Dec 12   /  -2.8 /  -2.4 /  -1.4 /  -2.0
:     Dec 13   /  -7.9 / -11.3 / -11.2 /  -9.6
:     Dec 14   /  -8.6 /  -9.1 /  -9.7 / -10.4
:     Dec 15   /  -9.8 / -11.0 / -11.3 /  -8.9
:     Dec 16   /  -5.9 /  -6.6 /  -7.2
:____________________________________________________________________

: Salamanca - Allegheny River - BUF
: Zero Datum 1358.0 ft (Vertical Datum Unknown)
: Cattaraugus County, NY
: Record River Stage     24.0 ft
: Major River Stage      21.0 ft
: Moderate River Stage   14.0 ft
: Flood River Stage      12.0 ft
: Action River Stage      9.0 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Dec 12                           /   3.8
:     Dec 13   /   3.8 /   3.8 /   3.7 /   3.6
:     Dec 14   /   3.6 /   3.6 /   3.5
:
: Latest Observed River Stage 3.5 ft at 845am EST on Thu, Dec 14
:
.ER SLMN6 20171214 Z DC201712141436/DUE/DQG/DH18/HGIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Dec 14 :                         /   3.5
.E2 : Dec 15 : /   3.5 /   3.5 /   3.5 /   3.5
.E3 : Dec 16 : /   3.5 /   3.4 /   3.4 /   3.4
.E4 : Dec 17 : /   3.4 /   3.4 /   3.4 /   3.4
.E5 : Dec 18 : /   3.4 /   3.4 /   3.3 /   3.3
.E6 : Dec 19 : /   3.3 /   3.3 /   3.3
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Dec 11                           /  0.00
:     Dec 12   /  0.00 /  0.02 /  0.08 /  0.05
:     Dec 13   /  0.02 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Dec 14   /  0.01 /  0.11 /  0.02
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Dec 14                           /  0.01
:     Dec 15   /  0.00 /  0.02 /  0.01 /  0.00
:     Dec 16   /  0.03 /  0.10 /  0.13
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Dec 11                           /  -3.9
:     Dec 12   /  -3.2 /  -2.8 /  -2.2 /  -3.2
:     Dec 13   /  -9.1 / -11.8 / -11.5 / -10.1
:     Dec 14   /  -9.2 /  -9.2 / -10.1 / -10.9
:     Dec 15   / -10.0 / -11.0 / -11.7 /  -9.4
:     Dec 16   /  -6.4 /  -6.9 /  -7.5
:____________________________________________________________________

: West Hickory - Allegheny River - PBZ
: Zero Datum 1059.9 ft (NGVD 1929)
: Forest County, PA
: Record River Stage     17.8 ft
: Major River Stage      17.0 ft
: Moderate River Stage   16.0 ft
: Flood River Stage      14.0 ft
: Action River Stage     10.7 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Dec 12                           /   4.4
:     Dec 13   /   4.4 /   4.4 /   4.4 /   4.4
:     Dec 14   /   4.4 /   4.4 /   4.4
:
: Latest Observed River Stage 4.4 ft at 900am EST on Thu, Dec 14
:
.ER WHKP1 20171214 Z DC201712141436/DUE/DQG/DH18/HGIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Dec 14 :                         /   4.4
.E2 : Dec 15 : /   4.4 /   4.4 /   4.4 /   4.4
.E3 : Dec 16 : /   4.3 /   4.3 /   4.3 /   4.3
.E4 : Dec 17 : /   4.3 /   4.3 /   4.3 /   4.3
.E5 : Dec 18 : /   4.3 /   4.3 /   4.2 /   4.2
.E6 : Dec 19 : /   4.2 /   4.2 /   4.2
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Dec 11                           /  0.00
:     Dec 12   /  0.00 /  0.01 /  0.11 /  0.04
:     Dec 13   /  0.02 /  0.01 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Dec 14   /  0.04 /  0.10 /  0.01
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Dec 14                           /  0.01
:     Dec 15   /  0.01 /  0.01 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Dec 16   /  0.05 /  0.07 /  0.11
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Dec 11                           /  -2.8
:     Dec 12   /  -2.1 /  -2.0 /  -1.3 /  -3.3
:     Dec 13   /  -8.6 / -11.6 / -10.1 /  -9.4
:     Dec 14   /  -8.3 /  -8.6 /  -8.7 /  -8.9
:     Dec 15   /  -8.1 / -10.2 / -11.6 /  -8.8
:     Dec 16   /  -5.2 /  -6.3 /  -7.1
:____________________________________________________________________

: Meadville - French Creek - CLE
: Zero Datum 1058.83 ft (NGVD 1929)
: Crawford County, PA
: Record River Stage     17.6 ft
: Major River Stage      17.0 ft
: Moderate River Stage   16.0 ft
: Flood River Stage      14.0 ft
: Action River Stage     11.0 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
: Gage reading may be affected by ice.
: Forecast stage represents estimate of unobstructed flow.
:
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Dec 12                           /   2.7
:     Dec 13   /   2.7 /   2.7 /   2.4 /   3.1
:     Dec 14   /   2.8 /   3.3 /   3.4
:
: Latest Observed River Stage 3.5 ft at 915am EST on Thu, Dec 14
:
.ER MEDP1 20171214 Z DC201712141436/DUE/DQG/DH18/HGIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Dec 14 :                         /   2.5
.E2 : Dec 15 : /   2.5 /   2.5 /   2.5 /   2.5
.E3 : Dec 16 : /   2.5 /   2.5 /   2.5 /   2.5
.E4 : Dec 17 : /   2.5 /   2.5 /   2.5 /   2.5
.E5 : Dec 18 : /   2.5 /   2.5 /   2.5 /   2.5
.E6 : Dec 19 : /   2.5 /   2.5 /   2.5
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Dec 11                           /  0.00
:     Dec 12   /  0.02 /  0.01 /  0.09 /  0.04
:     Dec 13   /  0.01 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Dec 14   /  0.04 /  0.10 /  0.01
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Dec 14                           /  0.03
:     Dec 15   /  0.02 /  0.01 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Dec 16   /  0.05 /  0.10 /  0.12
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Dec 11                           /  -2.6
:     Dec 12   /  -2.4 /  -2.2 /  -1.8 /  -4.8
:     Dec 13   /  -9.5 / -10.3 /  -9.4 /  -9.0
:     Dec 14   /  -7.6 /  -7.6 /  -7.8 /  -7.9
:     Dec 15   /  -7.4 /  -9.2 / -10.9 /  -8.8
:     Dec 16   /  -5.1 /  -5.7 /  -6.2
:____________________________________________________________________

: Franklin - Allegheny River - PBZ
: Zero Datum 955.84 ft (NGVD 1929)
: Venango County, PA
: Record River Stage     26.0 ft
: Major River Stage      21.0 ft
: Moderate River Stage   19.0 ft
: Flood River Stage      17.0 ft
: Action River Stage     13.0 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Dec 12                           /   4.4
:     Dec 13   /   4.4 /   4.3 /   4.3 /   4.3
:     Dec 14   /   4.2 /   4.3 /   4.3
:
: Latest Observed River Stage 4.3 ft at 900am EST on Thu, Dec 14
:
.ER FRKP1 20171214 Z DC201712141436/DUE/DQG/DH18/HGIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Dec 14 :                         /   4.3
.E2 : Dec 15 : /   4.2 /   4.2 /   4.2 /   4.1
.E3 : Dec 16 : /   4.1 /   4.1 /   4.1 /   4.1
.E4 : Dec 17 : /   4.1 /   4.1 /   4.1 /   4.1
.E5 : Dec 18 : /   4.1 /   4.0 /   4.0 /   3.9
.E6 : Dec 19 : /   3.9 /   3.9 /   3.9
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Dec 11                           /  0.00
:     Dec 12   /  0.01 /  0.00 /  0.13 /  0.04
:     Dec 13   /  0.02 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Dec 14   /  0.05 /  0.13 /  0.03
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Dec 14                           /  0.00
:     Dec 15   /  0.01 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Dec 16   /  0.05 /  0.04 /  0.08
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Dec 11                           /  -2.1
:     Dec 12   /  -1.1 /  -1.0 /  -0.7 /  -3.2
:     Dec 13   /  -8.5 / -11.4 / -10.2 /  -9.4
:     Dec 14   /  -7.4 /  -7.6 /  -7.7 /  -8.0
:     Dec 15   /  -7.2 /  -9.9 / -11.4 /  -8.6
:     Dec 16   /  -4.6 /  -5.9 /  -6.9
:____________________________________________________________________
$$
:
:...END of MESSAGE...




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