River Forecast
Issued by NWS Buffalo, NY

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FGUS51 KTAR 301448
RVFBUF
RIVER STAGE FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER...TAUNTON, MA
1044 AM EDT Tue Sep 30 2014
:
:THIS IS A NWS GUIDANCE PRODUCT FROM THE NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER.
:OFFICIAL FORECASTS/WARNINGS ARE ONLY ISSUED BY LOCAL NWS OFFICES.
:
:*************************************************
:Tonawanda Creek - Batavia, NY
:Flood Stage 9.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 1.53 ft at Sep-30 10:00 am
:
.ER BTVN6 20140930 E DC201409301044/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0930:       ::       ::/     1.5/     1.5
.E2 :1001:/     1.6/     1.6/     1.6/     1.6
.E3 :1002:/     1.6/     1.6/     1.6/     1.6
.E4 :1003:/     1.6/     1.6
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.01/ 0.08/ 0.02/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.04/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Tonawanda Creek - Rapids, NY
:Flood Stage 12.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 1.26 ft at Sep-30 10:00 am
:
.ER RAPN6 20140930 E DC201409301044/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0930:       ::       ::/     1.3/     1.3
.E2 :1001:/     1.2/     1.2/     1.2/     1.2
.E3 :1002:/     1.2/     1.2/     1.3/     1.3
.E4 :1003:/     1.3/     1.3
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.03/ 0.05/ 0.02/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.03/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Cattaraugus Creek - Gowanda, NY
:Flood Stage 10.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 1.33 ft at Sep-30 10:15 am
:
.ER GOWN6 20140930 E DC201409301044/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0930:       ::       ::/     1.3/     1.3
.E2 :1001:/     1.4/     1.4/     1.5/     1.5
.E3 :1002:/     1.4/     1.4/     1.4/     1.4
.E4 :1003:/     1.4/     1.4
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.05/ 0.10/ 0.03/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.03/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Buffalo Creek - Gardenville, NY
:Flood Stage 7.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 0.51 ft at Sep-30 10:15 am
:
.ER GDVN6 20140930 E DC201409301044/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0930:       ::       ::/     0.6/     0.6
.E2 :1001:/     0.6/     0.6/     0.6/     0.6
.E3 :1002:/     0.6/     0.5/     0.5/     0.5
.E4 :1003:/     0.5/     0.5
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.04/ 0.08/ 0.02/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.04/ 0.00/ 0.00/
: Forecast not based on gage reading due to gage malfunction
:*************************************************
:Cayuga Creek - Lancaster, NY
:Flood Stage 8.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 2.68 ft at Sep-30 10:30 am
:
.ER LCSN6 20140930 E DC201409301044/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0930:       ::       ::/     2.7/     2.7
.E2 :1001:/     2.7/     2.7/     2.8/     2.9
.E3 :1002:/     2.9/     2.9/     2.8/     2.8
.E4 :1003:/     2.8/     2.7
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.04/ 0.08/ 0.02/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.04/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Cazenovia Creek - Ebenezer, NY
:Flood Stage 10.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 2.15 ft at Sep-30 10:00 am
:
.ER EBZN6 20140930 E DC201409301044/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0930:       ::       ::/     2.1/     2.1
.E2 :1001:/     2.2/     2.2/     2.2/     2.2
.E3 :1002:/     2.2/     2.2/     2.2/     2.2
.E4 :1003:/     2.2/     2.1
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.07/ 0.09/ 0.02/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.04/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Ellicott Creek - Williamsville, NY
:Flood Stage 8.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 1.79 ft at Sep-30 10:00 am
:
.ER WILN6 20140930 E DC201409301044/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0930:       ::       ::/     1.8/     1.8
.E2 :1001:/     1.8/     1.8/     1.8/     1.8
.E3 :1002:/     1.8/     1.8/     1.8/     1.8
.E4 :1003:/     1.8/     1.8
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.05/ 0.06/ 0.02/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.04/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Genesee River - Wellsville, NY
:Flood Stage 11.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 4.30 ft at Sep-30 09:45 am
:
.ER WLLN6 20140930 E DC201409301044/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0930:       ::       ::/     4.3/     4.3
.E2 :1001:/     4.4/     4.4/     4.5/     4.5
.E3 :1002:/     4.5/     4.4/     4.4/     4.4
.E4 :1003:/     4.3/     4.3
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.13/ 0.14/ 0.00/ 0.02/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Genesee River - Portageville, NY
:Flood Stage 19.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 8.44 ft at Sep-30 10:00 am
:
.ER PRTN6 20140930 E DC201409301044/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0930:       ::       ::/     8.4/     8.5
.E2 :1001:/     8.6/     8.7/     8.7/     8.7
.E3 :1002:/     8.7/     8.7/     8.7/     8.6
.E4 :1003:/     8.6/     8.5
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.11/ 0.06/ 0.00/ 0.02/ 0.02/ 0.00/ 0.00/
: RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY RESERVOIR REGULATION
:*************************************************
:Genesee River - Mount Morris Dam, NY
:Flood Stage 760.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 586.94 ft at Sep-30 10:00 am
:
.ER MMDN6 20140930 E DC201409301044/DH14/HPIFF/DIH6
:POOL FCST      2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0930:       ::       ::/   587.0/   587.0
.E2 :1001:/   587.0/   587.0/   587.0/   587.0
.E3 :1002:/   587.0/   587.0/   587.0/   587.0
.E4 :1003:/   587.0/   587.0
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.10/ 0.02/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.03/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Genesee River - Avon, NY
:Flood Stage 33.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 14.51 ft at Sep-30 10:00 am
:
.ER AVON6 20140930 E DC201409301044/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0930:       ::       ::/    14.5/    14.5
.E2 :1001:/    14.5/    14.6/    14.7/    14.8
.E3 :1002:/    14.8/    14.9/    14.9/    14.9
.E4 :1003:/    14.9/    14.8
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.10/ 0.03/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.03/ 0.00/ 0.00/
: RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY RESERVOIR REGULATION
:*************************************************
:Oatka Creek - Garbutt, NY
:Flood Stage 6.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 2.50 ft at Sep-30 10:00 am
:
.ER GRBN6 20140930 E DC201409301044/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0930:       ::       ::/     2.5/     2.5
.E2 :1001:/     2.5/     2.5/     2.5/     2.5
.E3 :1002:/     2.5/     2.5/     2.5/     2.5
.E4 :1003:/     2.5/     2.5
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.08/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.04/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Black Creek - Churchville, NY
:Flood Stage 6.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 1.42 ft at Sep-30 10:00 am
:
.ER CHRN6 20140930 E DC201409301044/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0930:       ::       ::/     1.4/     1.4
.E2 :1001:/     1.4/     1.4/     1.4/     1.4
.E3 :1002:/     1.4/     1.4/     1.4/     1.4
.E4 :1003:/     1.4/     1.4
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.06/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.03/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Genesee River - Rochester, NY
:Flood Stage 15.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 4.26 ft at Sep-30 08:00 am
:
.ER RHRN6 20140930 E DC201409301044/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0930:       ::       ::/     2.5/     2.5
.E2 :1001:/     2.5/     2.5/     2.6/     2.7
.E3 :1002:/     2.7/     2.8/     2.8/     2.8
.E4 :1003:/     2.8/     2.8
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.07/ 0.02/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.03/ 0.00/ 0.00/
: RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY DIVERSION
:*************************************************
:Honeoye Creek - Honeoye Falls, NY
:Flood Stage 4.5 ft
:Latest Observed Value: -0.02 ft at Sep-30 10:00 am
:
.ER HNYN6 20140930 E DC201409301044/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0930:       ::       ::/     0.3/     0.3
.E2 :1001:/     0.3/     0.4/     0.4/     0.4
.E3 :1002:/     0.3/     0.3/     0.3/     0.3
.E4 :1003:/     0.3/     0.3
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.12/ 0.05/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.03/ 0.00/ 0.00/
: RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY DIVERSION
:*************************************************
:Canandaigua Lake - Canandaigua, NY
:Flood Stage 689.2 ft
:
.ER CNDN6 20140930 E DC201409301044/DH14/HPIFF/DIH6
:POOL FCST      2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0930:       ::       ::/   687.3/   687.3
.E2 :1001:/   687.3/   687.3/   687.3/   687.3
.E3 :1002:/   687.3/   687.3/   687.3/   687.3
.E4 :1003:/   687.3/   687.3
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.13/ 0.08/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.03/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Canandaigua Outlet - Chapin, NY
:Latest Observed Value: 3.27 ft at Sep-30 10:30 am
:Crest 3.29 at Oct-01 2am
:
.ER CPNN6 20140930 E DC201409301044/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0930:       ::       ::/     3.3/     3.3
.E2 :1001:/     3.3/     3.3/     3.3/     3.3
.E3 :1002:/     3.3/     3.3/     3.3/     3.3
.E4 :1003:/     3.3/     3.3
:*************************************************
:Black River - Boonville, NY
:Flood Stage 10.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 4.11 ft at Sep-30 10:00 am
:
.ER BOON6 20140930 E DC201409301044/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0930:       ::       ::/     4.1/     4.1
.E2 :1001:/     4.1/     4.1/     4.1/     4.0
.E3 :1002:/     4.0/     4.0/     4.0/     4.0
.E4 :1003:/     4.0/     4.0
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.02/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Moose River - McKeever, NY
:Flood Stage 12.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 2.09 ft at Sep-30 09:30 am
:
.ER MCKN6 20140930 E DC201409301044/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0930:       ::       ::/     2.1/     2.1
.E2 :1001:/     2.1/     2.1/     2.1/     2.1
.E3 :1002:/     2.1/     2.0/     2.0/     2.0
.E4 :1003:/     2.0/     2.0
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.02/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Black River - Watertown, NY
:Flood Stage 10.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 2.98 ft at Sep-30 09:30 am
:
.ER ARTN6 20140930 E DC201409301044/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0930:       ::       ::/     3.0/     3.0
.E2 :1001:/     2.9/     2.9/     2.9/     2.9
.E3 :1002:/     2.8/     2.8/     2.8/     2.8
.E4 :1003:/     2.8/     2.7
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.02/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
$$
:NERFC
:...END OF MESSAGE



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