River Forecast
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FGUS56 KRSA 200945
RVFCC

CENTRAL COAST FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / CALIFORNIA-NEVADA RFC / SACRAMENTO CA
CALIFORNIA DEPARTMENT OF WATER RESOURCES / SACRAMENTO CA
140 AM PLT MON FEB 20 2017

NEXT ISSUANCE:     MONDAY, FEBRUARY 20, 2017 AT  9AM PLT

FORECASTS THROUGH: FRIDAY, FEBRUARY 24, 2017 AT  4AM PLT

ATTENTION... THE FOLLOWING STAGES OF PARTICULAR SIGNIFICANCE
             HAVE OCCURRED OR ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR:
FLOOD STAGE
        SALINAS RIVER - SPRECKLES (SPRC1) IN 40 HRS
        CARMEL RIVER - ROBLES DEL RIO (RDRC1) IN 20 HRS
        COYOTE CREEK - EDENVALE (CYEC1) IN 19 HRS

MONITOR STAGE
        PAJARO RIVER - CHITTENDEN (AROC1) IN 14 HRS *
        GUADALUPE RIVER - ALMADEN EXPRWY (GUDC1) IN 7 HRS *
        GUADALUPE RIVER - SAN JOSE (GSJC1) IN 9 HRS *

***********************************************************************
SPECIAL NOTES- Very heavy rain moving into the area early this
morning is expected to continue through the day. Significant rises
are forecast for all streams and rivers with numerous stages
exceeding flood levels.
***********************************************************************

RIVER
   LOCATION               STAGE    FLOW      TIME    DATE         LEAD
   (NWSLI)                (FT)     (CFS)     (PT)  (MM/DD/YY)     TIME
--------------------      -----  --------    ----  ----------    ------
PAJARO RIVER         OBS   14.1    2,240 AT   1AM   02/20/17      (24)
   CHITTENDEN        >MS   25.0          BY   4PM   02/20/17 IN  14 HRS*
   (AROC1)           >FS   32.0          NOT EXPECTED
                     MAX   31.0   15,300 AT   6AM   02/21/17 IN  28 HRS

SALINAS RIVER        OBS   17.2    2,020 AT   1AM   02/20/17      (18)
   PASO ROBLES       >MS   23.0          NOT EXPECTED
   (PRBC1)           >FS   29.0          NOT EXPECTED
                     MAX   19.3    3,670 AT   1PM   02/21/17 IN  35 HRS

SALINAS RIVER        OBS    9.6    5,250 AT   1AM   02/20/17      (24)
   BRADLEY           >MS   12.0          NOT EXPECTED
   (BRDC1)           >FS   14.0          NOT EXPECTED
                     MAX   11.2    8,500 AT   1AM   02/22/17 IN  47 HRS

SALINAS RIVER        OBS   16.3    6,110 AT   1AM   02/20/17      (24)
   SPRECKLES         >MS   20.0          BY  12PM   02/21/17 IN  34 HRS
   (SPRC1)           >FS   23.0          BY   6PM   02/21/17 IN  40 HRS
                     MAX   24.2   19,400 AT  12AM   02/22/17 IN  46 HRS

CARMEL RIVER         OBS    4.5    1,260 AT   1AM   02/20/17      (18)
   ROBLES DEL RIO    >MS    7.5          BY   9PM   02/20/17 IN  19 HRS
   (RDRC1)           >FS    8.5          BY  10PM   02/20/17 IN  20 HRS
                     MAX   10.3   10,200 AT  12AM   02/21/17 IN  22 HRS

GUADALUPE RIVER      OBS    3.6      363 AT   1AM   02/20/17      (18)
   ALMADEN EXPRWY    >MS   10.0          BY   9AM   02/20/17 IN   7 HRS*
   (GUDC1)           >FS   13.0          NOT EXPECTED
                     MAX   12.3    6,250 AT   4PM   02/20/17 IN  14 HRS*

GUADALUPE RIVER      OBS    9.0      894 AT   1AM   02/20/17      (18)
   SAN JOSE          >MS   15.0          BY  11AM   02/20/17 IN   9 HRS*
   (GSJC1)           >FS   17.0          NOT EXPECTED
                     MAX   16.3   10,100 AT   5PM   02/20/17 IN  15 HRS*

COYOTE CREEK         OBS    8.7    2,320 AT   1AM   02/20/17      (18)
   EDENVALE          >MS    8.0          AT  CURRENT TIME              *
   (CYEC1)           >FS   10.0          BY   9PM   02/20/17 IN  19 HRS
                     MAX   12.4    8,010 AT   3PM   02/21/17 IN  37 HRS

DEFINITIONS:
OBS   MOST RECENT OBSERVATION (MAY BE ESTIMATED)
MS    MONITOR STAGE
FS    FLOOD STAGE
MAX   MAXIMUM FORECAST WITHIN PERIOD
LEAD TIME  FORECASTS WITHIN THIS PERIOD (HOURS) ARE CONSIDERED
           RELIABLE ENOUGH TO INITIATE PHYSICAL MITIGATION EFFORTS.
*     EVENT EXCEEDS MS/FS/DS WITHIN LEAD TIME PERIOD

SIM   02/20/2017 @ 0135P (C)

NOTE:  ALL TIMES IN SHEF ENCODED MESSAGES BELOW ARE UTC

.A  AROC1 20170220 Z DH09/HG   14.1
.ER AROC1 20170220 Z DH10/DC201702200935/DUE/HGIFE/DIH01
.ER1    14.1/  14.0/  14.0/  14.1/  14.3/  14.7/  15.3/  15.9/  16.7/  18.2/
.ER2    20.2/  22.2/  23.6/  24.2/  25.1/  26.0/  26.8/  27.8/  28.6/  29.2/
.ER3    29.7/  30.1/  30.4/  30.6/  30.8/  30.9/  31.0/  31.0/  31.0/  31.0/
.ER4    31.0/  31.0/  30.9/  30.9/  30.8/  30.7/  30.6/  30.5/  30.4/  30.2/
.ER5    30.0/  29.9/  29.7/  29.5/  29.4/  29.2/  29.0/  28.8/  28.7/  28.5/
.ER6    28.3/  28.1/  27.8/  27.5/  27.3/  27.0/  26.8/  26.6/  26.3/  26.1/
.ER7    25.9/  25.5/  25.2/  25.1/  24.8/  24.6/  24.4/  24.2/  24.0/  23.8/
.ER8    23.6/  23.2/  23.0/  22.9/  22.7/  22.5/  22.3/  22.1/  21.9/  21.7/
.ER9    21.5/  21.3/  21.1/  20.9/  20.7/  20.5/  20.4/  20.2/  20.0/  19.8/
.ER10   19.7/  19.5/  19.4/  19.2/  19.0/  18.9/  18.7/  18.6/  18.4/

.A  PRBC1 20170220 Z DH09/HG   17.2
.ER PRBC1 20170220 Z DH10/DC201702200935/DUE/HGIFE/DIH01
.ER1    17.2/  17.2/  17.1/  17.2/  17.2/  17.2/  17.3/  17.3/  17.4/  17.5/
.ER2    17.7/  17.9/  18.0/  18.1/  18.2/  18.3/  18.4/  18.5/  18.6/  18.7/
.ER3    18.7/  18.7/  18.7/  18.7/  18.8/  18.8/  18.8/  18.9/  18.9/  19.0/
.ER4    19.0/  19.1/  19.2/  19.2/  19.3/  19.3/  19.3/  19.3/  19.2/  19.1/
.ER5    19.0/  18.8/  18.7/  18.5/  18.4/  18.3/  18.1/  18.0/  17.9/  17.8/
.ER6    17.7/  17.6/  17.5/  17.4/  17.4/  17.3/  17.2/  17.2/  17.1/  17.1/
.ER7    17.0/  17.0/  16.9/  16.9/  16.8/  16.8/  16.7/  16.7/  16.7/  16.6/
.ER8    16.6/  16.6/  16.6/  16.5/  16.5/  16.5/  16.4/  16.4/  16.3/  16.3/
.ER9    16.2/  16.2/  16.2/  16.1/  16.1/  16.1/  16.0/  16.0/  16.0/  15.9/
.ER10   15.9/  15.9/  15.9/  15.8/  15.8/  15.8/  15.8/  15.7/  15.7/
.A  PRBC1 20170221 Z DH04/HIIFE 1

.A  BRDC1 20170220 Z DH09/HG    9.6
.ER BRDC1 20170220 Z DH10/DC201702200935/DUE/HGIFE/DIH01
.ER1     9.6/   9.6/   9.6/   9.6/   9.6/   9.6/   9.5/   9.5/   9.5/   9.5/
.ER2     9.5/   9.5/   9.5/   9.5/   9.5/   9.5/   9.5/   9.6/   9.6/   9.6/
.ER3     9.7/   9.8/   9.9/  10.0/  10.1/  10.2/  10.3/  10.3/  10.4/  10.5/
.ER4    10.6/  10.7/  10.7/  10.8/  10.8/  10.9/  10.9/  11.0/  11.0/  11.1/
.ER5    11.1/  11.1/  11.2/  11.2/  11.2/  11.2/  11.2/  11.2/  11.2/  11.2/
.ER6    11.1/  11.1/  11.0/  11.0/  10.9/  10.8/  10.8/  10.7/  10.7/  10.6/
.ER7    10.5/  10.5/  10.4/  10.4/  10.3/  10.2/  10.2/  10.1/  10.1/  10.0/
.ER8    10.0/   9.9/   9.9/   9.8/   9.8/   9.8/   9.7/   9.7/   9.6/   9.6/
.ER9     9.6/   9.5/   9.5/   9.5/   9.5/   9.4/   9.4/   9.4/   9.4/   9.4/
.ER10    9.3/   9.3/   9.3/   9.3/   9.2/   9.2/   9.2/   9.2/   9.2/
.A  BRDC1 20170221 Z DH10/HIIFE 1

.A  SPRC1 20170220 Z DH09/HG   16.3
.ER SPRC1 20170220 Z DH10/DC201702200935/DUE/HGIFE/DIH01
.ER1    16.2/  16.2/  16.1/  16.0/  16.0/  15.9/  15.9/  15.9/  15.8/  15.8/
.ER2    15.8/  15.8/  15.8/  15.9/  15.9/  15.9/  16.0/  16.0/  16.1/  16.1/
.ER3    16.2/  16.2/  16.3/  16.3/  16.4/  16.5/  16.5/  16.8/  17.3/  17.9/
.ER4    18.4/  18.9/  19.5/  20.0/  20.6/  21.1/  21.6/  22.1/  22.6/  23.0/
.ER5    23.2/  23.5/  23.7/  23.9/  24.0/  24.2/  24.2/  24.1/  24.1/  24.1/
.ER6    24.0/  23.9/  23.8/  23.6/  23.5/  23.3/  23.1/  23.0/  22.8/  22.6/
.ER7    22.4/  22.2/  22.1/  21.9/  21.8/  21.6/  21.5/  21.3/  21.2/  21.1/
.ER8    21.0/  20.9/  20.8/  20.7/  20.7/  20.6/  20.5/  20.5/  20.4/  20.3/
.ER9    20.3/  20.2/  20.1/  20.0/  20.0/  19.9/  19.8/  19.7/  19.7/  19.6/
.ER10   19.5/  19.4/  19.4/  19.3/  19.2/  19.1/  19.0/  18.9/  18.9/
.A  SPRC1 20170221 Z DH10/HIIFE 1

.A  RDRC1 20170220 Z DH09/HG    4.5
.ER RDRC1 20170220 Z DH10/DC201702200935/DUE/HGIFE/DIH01
.ER1     4.5/   4.7/   4.9/   5.1/   5.3/   5.4/   5.6/   5.8/   6.0/   6.2/
.ER2     6.5/   6.7/   6.9/   7.0/   7.0/   7.1/   7.1/   7.2/   7.3/   7.7/
.ER3     8.5/   9.8/  10.3/  10.2/   9.9/   9.5/   9.3/   9.1/   8.9/   8.7/
.ER4     8.5/   8.3/   8.1/   7.8/   7.5/   7.3/   7.2/   7.0/   6.9/   6.8/
.ER5     6.7/   6.7/   6.6/   6.6/   6.5/   6.5/   6.4/   6.4/   6.3/   6.3/
.ER6     6.2/   6.2/   6.1/   6.1/   6.0/   6.0/   6.0/   6.0/   6.0/   6.0/
.ER7     5.9/   5.9/   5.9/   5.9/   5.9/   5.9/   5.9/   5.8/   5.8/   5.7/
.ER8     5.7/   5.7/   5.6/   5.6/   5.6/   5.5/   5.5/   5.5/   5.5/   5.5/
.ER9     5.4/   5.4/   5.4/   5.4/   5.4/   5.3/   5.3/   5.3/   5.3/   5.3/
.ER10    5.3/   5.2/   5.2/   5.2/   5.2/   5.1/   5.1/   5.1/   5.1/

.A  GUDC1 20170220 Z DH09/HG    3.6
.ER GUDC1 20170220 Z DH10/DC201702200935/DUE/HGIFE/DIH01
.ER1     3.6/   3.7/   3.8/   5.7/   7.0/   8.2/   9.1/  10.2/  11.2/  11.4/
.ER2    11.6/  11.7/  11.9/  12.1/  12.3/  12.1/  11.8/  11.6/  11.4/  11.2/
.ER3    10.9/  10.5/  10.0/   9.4/   9.0/   8.5/   8.0/   7.7/   7.4/   7.1/
.ER4     6.7/   6.4/   6.0/   5.9/   5.7/   5.5/   5.3/   5.1/   4.9/   4.8/
.ER5     4.7/   4.6/   4.5/   4.3/   4.2/   4.2/   4.1/   4.0/   4.0/   3.9/
.ER6     3.9/   3.9/   3.9/   3.9/   3.9/   3.9/   3.9/   3.9/   3.9/   3.9/
.ER7     3.9/   3.9/   3.9/   3.9/   3.9/   3.9/   3.9/   3.8/   3.8/   3.8/
.ER8     3.8/   3.8/   3.8/   3.8/   3.8/   3.8/   3.8/   3.7/   3.7/   3.7/
.ER9     3.7/   3.7/   3.7/   3.7/   3.7/   3.7/   3.6/   3.6/   3.6/   3.6/
.ER10    3.6/   3.6/   3.6/   3.6/   3.6/   3.6/   3.5/   3.5/   3.5/

.A  GSJC1 20170220 Z DH09/HG    9.0
.ER GSJC1 20170220 Z DH10/DC201702200935/DUE/HGIFE/DIH01
.ER1     9.3/   9.6/   9.8/   9.9/  10.6/  12.8/  13.8/  14.4/  14.9/  15.3/
.ER2    15.5/  15.7/  16.0/  16.1/  16.2/  16.3/  16.2/  16.2/  16.1/  16.1/
.ER3    16.1/  16.1/  16.0/  15.9/  15.8/  15.7/  15.6/  15.5/  15.4/  15.3/
.ER4    15.2/  15.1/  15.0/  14.8/  14.7/  14.6/  14.4/  14.3/  14.1/  14.0/
.ER5    13.8/  13.6/  13.4/  13.2/  13.0/  12.8/  12.7/  12.5/  12.3/  12.1/
.ER6    12.0/  11.9/  11.7/  11.6/  11.5/  11.4/  11.3/  11.2/  11.1/  11.0/
.ER7    10.9/  10.8/  10.7/  10.7/  10.6/  10.5/  10.4/  10.3/  10.2/  10.2/
.ER8    10.2/  10.1/  10.1/  10.1/  10.0/  10.0/  10.0/  10.0/  10.0/  10.0/
.ER9    10.0/   9.9/   9.9/   9.9/   9.9/   9.9/   9.8/   9.8/   9.8/   9.8/
.ER10    9.7/   9.7/   9.7/   9.7/   9.6/   9.6/   9.6/   9.6/   9.6/

.A  CYEC1 20170220 Z DH09/HG    8.7
.ER CYEC1 20170220 Z DH10/DC201702200935/DUE/HGIFE/DIH01
.ER1     8.7/   8.6/   8.6/   8.6/   8.6/   8.6/   8.6/   8.5/   8.5/   8.6/
.ER2     8.6/   8.7/   8.8/   8.9/   9.1/   9.2/   9.4/   9.6/   9.9/  10.3/
.ER3    10.6/  10.8/  11.0/  11.1/  11.3/  11.4/  11.6/  11.7/  11.8/  11.9/
.ER4    12.0/  12.0/  12.1/  12.2/  12.2/  12.3/  12.4/  12.4/  12.4/  12.4/
.ER5    12.3/  12.3/  12.2/  12.1/  12.0/  11.9/  11.8/  11.7/  11.6/  11.5/
.ER6    11.3/  11.2/  11.1/  11.0/  10.8/  10.7/  10.6/  10.5/  10.3/  10.2/
.ER7    10.1/  10.0/   9.9/   9.8/   9.8/   9.7/   9.6/   9.6/   9.5/   9.4/
.ER8     9.4/   9.3/   9.2/   9.2/   9.1/   9.1/   9.0/   9.0/   8.9/   8.9/
.ER9     8.8/   8.8/   8.8/   8.7/   8.7/   8.6/   8.6/   8.5/   8.5/   8.5/
.ER10    8.4/   8.4/   8.4/   8.3/   8.3/   8.3/   8.2/   8.2/   8.2/
.A  CYEC1 20170221 Z DH04/HIIFE 1

END





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