River Forecast
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FGUS51 KTIR 021638
RVFCMU
River Forecast
NWS Ohio River Forecast Center, Wilmington, OH
11:37am EST Monday, March 2, 2015

This is a NWS guidance product from the Ohio River Forecast Center.
Public forecasts and warnings are issued only by local NWS offices.
Statistical uncertainties can be viewed from our ensemble pages at:
http://www.erh.noaa.gov/mmefs


: Cumberland - Poor Fork (Cumberland River) - JKL
: Zero Datum 1410.15 ft (NGVD 1929)
: Harlan County, KY
: Record River Stage     16.5 ft
: Major River Stage      16.0 ft
: Moderate River Stage   14.0 ft
: Flood River Stage      12.0 ft
: Action River Stage      9.5 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
.AR CMBK2 20150304 Z DC201503021637/DUE/DQG/DH18/HGIFFX :crest:    9.7
: Crest near    9.7 ft around 1PM EST on Wed, Mar 4
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 28                           /   4.1
:     Mar 01   /   4.1 /   4.1 /   4.1 /   4.1
:     Mar 02   /   4.3 /   4.5 /   5.1
:
: Latest Observed River Stage 5.2 ft at 1030am EST on Mon, Mar 2
:
.ER CMBK2 20150302 Z DC201503021637/DUE/DQG/DH18/HGIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Mar 02 :                         /   5.3
.E2 : Mar 03 : /   5.2 /   5.2 /   5.1 /   5.1
.E3 : Mar 04 : /   6.6 /   7.2 /   9.3 /   9.7
.E4 : Mar 05 : /   9.2 /   8.2 /   6.6 /   5.8
.E5 : Mar 06 : /   5.4 /   5.2 /   5.1 /   5.1
.E6 : Mar 07 : /   5.0 /   4.9 /   4.9
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 27                           /  0.00
:     Feb 28   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Mar 01   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.01 /  0.00
:     Mar 02   /  0.03 /  0.01 /  0.27
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 02                           /  0.01
:     Mar 03   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.02 /  0.07
:     Mar 04   /  0.16 /  0.07 /  0.70 /  0.64
:     Mar 05   /  0.42 /  0.67 /  0.31
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (144 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 27                           /  -8.6
:     Feb 28   /  -5.8 / -10.4 /  -9.5 /  -4.1
:     Mar 01   /   3.2 /   0.8 /   2.2 /   4.9
:     Mar 02   /   6.0 /   4.3 /   2.4 /   0.6
:     Mar 03   /   3.3 /   0.9 /   2.3 /   5.5
:     Mar 04   /   9.8 /  11.4 /  11.5 /   8.0
:     Mar 05   /   3.0 /  -1.1 /  -5.0
:____________________________________________________________________

: Baxter - Cumberland River (Poor Fork) - JKL
: Zero Datum 1147.26 ft (NGVD 1929)
: Harlan County, KY
: Record River Stage     34.2 ft
: Major River Stage      20.0 ft
: Moderate River Stage   18.0 ft
: Flood River Stage      16.0 ft
: Action River Stage     13.0 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
: Rise above flood river stage around 12PM EST on Wed, Mar 4
.AR BXTK2 20150305 Z DC201503021637/DUE/DQG/DH00/HGIFFX :crest:   16.8
: Crest near   16.8 ft around 7PM EST on Wed, Mar 4
: Fall below flood level around 1AM EST on Thu, Mar 5
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 28                           /   2.5E
:     Mar 01   /   2.5E/   2.5E/   2.5E/   2.5E
:     Mar 02   /   2.6E/   2.9E/   3.2E
: Observed values (above) with a trailing E indicate missing values
: that were replaced with estimates from model simulations.
:
: Latest Observed River Stage MISSING
:
.ER BXTK2 20150302 Z DC201503021637/DUE/DQG/DH18/HGIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Mar 02 :                         /   3.8
.E2 : Mar 03 : /   3.9 /   4.1 /   4.1 /   4.1
.E3 : Mar 04 : /   6.0 /   8.8 /  14.1 /  16.6
.E4 : Mar 05 : /  16.8 /  16.3 /  12.2 /   7.5
.E5 : Mar 06 : /   5.4 /   4.9 /   4.7 /   4.5
.E6 : Mar 07 : /   4.3 /   4.2 /   4.1
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 27                           /  0.00
:     Feb 28   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Mar 01   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.01 /  0.00
:     Mar 02   /  0.05 /  0.01 /  0.25
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 02                           /  0.01
:     Mar 03   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.02 /  0.08
:     Mar 04   /  0.15 /  0.07 /  0.70 /  0.66
:     Mar 05   /  0.45 /  0.68 /  0.31
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (144 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 27                           /  -8.3
:     Feb 28   /  -5.0 / -10.8 /  -9.0 /  -4.0
:     Mar 01   /   3.2 /   0.5 /   2.2 /   4.8
:     Mar 02   /   5.8 /   3.0 /   1.8 /   0.9
:     Mar 03   /   4.2 /   1.0 /   2.3 /   5.9
:     Mar 04   /  10.1 /  11.4 /  11.8 /   8.1
:     Mar 05   /   2.8 /  -1.0 /  -4.6
:____________________________________________________________________

: Pineville - Cumberland River - JKL
: Zero Datum 970.0 ft (Sandy Hook)
: Bell County, KY
: Record River Stage   1021.8 ft
: Major River Stage    1019.0 ft
: Moderate River Stage 1010.0 ft
: Flood River Stage    1002.0 ft
: Action River Stage    995.0 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
: Rise above flood river stage around 4PM EST on Wed, Mar 4
.AR PVLK2 20150305 Z DC201503021637/DUE/DQG/DH06/HGIFFX :crest: 1006.0
: Crest near 1006.0 ft around 1AM EST on Thu, Mar 5
: Fall below flood level around 12PM EST on Thu, Mar 5
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 28                           / 978.6
:     Mar 01   / 978.6 / 978.6 / 978.7 / 978.7
:     Mar 02   / 978.8 / 979.2 / 980.3
:
: Latest Observed River Stage 981.3 ft at 1030am EST on Mon, Mar 2
:
.ER PVLK2 20150302 Z DC201503021637/DUE/DQG/DH18/HGIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Mar 02 :                         / 981.7
.E2 : Mar 03 : / 981.6 / 982.3 / 982.7 / 983.0
.E3 : Mar 04 : / 984.6 / 985.6 / 992.9 / 999.5
.E4 : Mar 05 : /1004.8 /1006.0 /1004.9 /1001.1
.E5 : Mar 06 : / 995.0 / 990.6 / 987.3 / 984.7
.E6 : Mar 07 : / 983.1 / 982.3 / 981.9
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 27                           /  0.00
:     Feb 28   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Mar 01   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Mar 02   /  0.09 /  0.04 /  0.19
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 02                           /  0.01
:     Mar 03   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.01 /  0.08
:     Mar 04   /  0.13 /  0.07 /  0.74 /  0.70
:     Mar 05   /  0.50 /  0.64 /  0.33
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (144 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 27                           /  -6.7
:     Feb 28   /  -3.0 /  -8.5 /  -7.3 /  -2.5
:     Mar 01   /   5.1 /   1.5 /   2.6 /   5.4
:     Mar 02   /   6.5 /   3.3 /   2.4 /   1.4
:     Mar 03   /   5.2 /   1.7 /   3.2 /   6.6
:     Mar 04   /  10.6 /  12.0 /  12.3 /   8.7
:     Mar 05   /   3.3 /  -0.9 /  -4.1
:____________________________________________________________________

: Barbourville - Cumberland River - JKL
: Zero Datum 942.97 ft (NGVD 1929)
: Knox County, KY
: Record River Stage     45.9 ft
: Major River Stage      38.0 ft
: Moderate River Stage   33.0 ft
: Flood River Stage      27.0 ft
: Action River Stage     21.5 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
: Rise above flood river stage around 2PM EST on Wed, Mar 4
.AR BBVK2 20150305 Z DC201503021637/DUE/DQG/DH06/HGIFFX :crest:   34.8
: Crest near   34.8 ft around 1AM EST on Thu, Mar 5
: Fall below flood level around 4PM EST on Thu, Mar 5
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 28                           /   4.2
:     Mar 01   /   4.2 /   4.2 /   4.3 /   4.4
:     Mar 02   /   4.5 /   4.8 /   6.1
:
: Latest Observed River Stage 7.4 ft at 1030am EST on Mon, Mar 2
:
.ER BBVK2 20150302 Z DC201503021637/DUE/DQG/DH18/HGIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Mar 02 :                         /   9.6
.E2 : Mar 03 : /  11.1 /  12.3 /  13.3 /  13.5
.E3 : Mar 04 : /  13.6 /  16.2 /  20.7 /  26.1
.E4 : Mar 05 : /  33.7 /  34.8 /  33.7 /  29.5
.E5 : Mar 06 : /  25.1 /  21.6 /  17.2 /  13.9
.E6 : Mar 07 : /  12.7 /  11.9 /  11.1
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 27                           /  0.00
:     Feb 28   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Mar 01   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Mar 02   /  0.07 /  0.03 /  0.26
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 02                           /  0.01
:     Mar 03   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.07
:     Mar 04   /  0.13 /  0.08 /  0.83 /  0.74
:     Mar 05   /  0.52 /  0.66 /  0.33
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (144 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 27                           /  -6.9
:     Feb 28   /  -2.9 /  -7.9 /  -6.9 /  -2.3
:     Mar 01   /   5.4 /   1.9 /   2.1 /   5.5
:     Mar 02   /   7.9 /   5.0 /   3.1 /   1.1
:     Mar 03   /   4.6 /   1.7 /   3.9 /   7.2
:     Mar 04   /  11.3 /  12.9 /  12.7 /   8.5
:     Mar 05   /   2.9 /  -1.3 /  -4.5
:____________________________________________________________________

: Williamsburg - Cumberland River - JKL
: Zero Datum 891.52 ft (NGVD 1929)
: Whitley County, KY
: Record River Stage     35.0 ft
: Major River Stage      32.0 ft
: Moderate River Stage   27.5 ft
: Flood River Stage      21.0 ft
: Action River Stage     17.0 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
: Rise above flood river stage around 12PM EST on Wed, Mar 4
.AR WLBK2 20150305 Z DC201503021637/DUE/DQG/DH12/HGIFFX :crest:   29.2
: Crest near   29.2 ft around 7AM EST on Thu, Mar 5
: Fall below flood level around 3AM EST on Sat, Mar 7
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 28                           /   7.2
:     Mar 01   /   7.1 /   7.0 /   7.1 /   7.1
:     Mar 02   /   7.2 /   7.4 /   8.1
:
: Latest Observed River Stage 8.6 ft at 1100am EST on Mon, Mar 2
:
.ER WLBK2 20150302 Z DC201503021637/DUE/DQG/DH18/HGIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Mar 02 :                         /   9.0
.E2 : Mar 03 : /  10.4 /  12.0 /  13.1 /  14.0
.E3 : Mar 04 : /  14.6 /  15.2 /  17.1 /  21.6
.E4 : Mar 05 : /  27.2 /  29.0 /  29.2 /  29.1
.E5 : Mar 06 : /  28.5 /  27.5 /  26.8 /  25.6
.E6 : Mar 07 : /  23.7 /  21.5 /  19.6
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 27                           /  0.00
:     Feb 28   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Mar 01   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.02
:     Mar 02   /  0.07 /  0.04 /  0.19
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 02                           /  0.01
:     Mar 03   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.07
:     Mar 04   /  0.11 /  0.08 /  0.84 /  0.74
:     Mar 05   /  0.53 /  0.63 /  0.34
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (144 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 27                           /  -6.9
:     Feb 28   /  -3.0 /  -7.9 /  -6.9 /  -2.5
:     Mar 01   /   5.1 /   1.1 /   2.0 /   5.3
:     Mar 02   /   7.1 /   5.1 /   2.9 /   1.6
:     Mar 03   /   4.9 /   1.7 /   4.3 /   7.3
:     Mar 04   /  11.7 /  13.3 /  12.8 /   8.7
:     Mar 05   /   3.0 /  -1.3 /  -4.4
:____________________________________________________________________

: Celina - Cumberland River - OHX
: Zero Datum 489.0 ft (NGVD 1929)
: Clay County, TN
: Record River Stage     59.2 ft
: Major River Stage      50.0 ft
: Moderate River Stage   45.0 ft
: Flood River Stage      40.0 ft
: Action River Stage     35.0 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 28                           /  18.0
:     Mar 01   /  17.7 /  17.7 /  17.9 /  18.1
:     Mar 02   /  17.1 /  17.0 /  16.6
:
: Latest Observed River Stage 16.7 ft at 1030am EST on Mon, Mar 2
:
.ER CLAT1 20150302 Z DC201503021637/DUE/DQG/DH18/HGIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Mar 02 :                         /  16.8
.E2 : Mar 03 : /  16.6 /  16.6 /  16.6 /  16.6
.E3 : Mar 04 : /  16.6 /  16.9 /  17.1 /  17.7
.E4 : Mar 05 : /  20.1 /  20.4 /  20.7 /  19.7
.E5 : Mar 06 : /  18.9 /  18.0 /  17.7 /  17.7
.E6 : Mar 07 : /  17.7 /  17.7 /  17.8
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 27                           /  0.00
:     Feb 28   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Mar 01   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.10
:     Mar 02   /  0.03 /  0.12 /  0.13
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 02                           /  0.00
:     Mar 03   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.08
:     Mar 04   /  0.11 /  0.33 /  0.88 /  0.67
:     Mar 05   /  0.56 /  0.55 /  0.30
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (144 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 27                           /  -6.8
:     Feb 28   /  -3.2 /  -6.2 /  -6.0 /  -2.7
:     Mar 01   /   4.2 /   2.4 /   2.9 /   5.4
:     Mar 02   /   8.3 /   6.0 /   1.1 /   1.8
:     Mar 03   /   4.1 /   1.7 /   2.7 /   8.4
:     Mar 04   /  14.0 /  15.4 /  11.8 /   5.8
:     Mar 05   /   0.9 /  -3.0 /  -5.8
:____________________________________________________________________

$$
: Noel
:...END of MESSAGE...




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