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000
FXUS61 KILN 131753
AFDILN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
153 PM EDT THU JUN 13 2013

.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA TODAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL
WORK INTO THE REGION TONIGHT AND REMAIN NEAR THE AREA THROUGH
SATURDAY MORNING. PRECIPITATION WILL RETURN TO THE REGION SATURDAY
AFTERNOON INTO SUNDAY AS MULTIPLE DISTURBANCES WORK THROUGH THE
AREA.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
MCS EXITING ILNS FA WITH ONLY SCATTERED SHOWERS REMAINING
ASSOCIATED WITH COLD FRONT DROPPING SOUTH THRU CENTRAL OHIO.
WITH THIS COLD FRONT PUSHING THROUGH...PCPN SHOULD COME TO AN END
WITH SKIES BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY. WITH STORMS EAST OF ILNS
AREA...ALL ILN/S COUNTIES IN SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH #305 HAVE
BEEN DROPPED.

TEMPERATURES WILL BE TRICKY GIVEN RAIN COOLED AIR THIS MORNING
BUT WITH SUN EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON THERE SHOULD BE A BUMP UP
WITH HIGHS SHOULD RANGE FROM THE LOWER TO UPPER 70S.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL WORK INTO THE AREA TONIGHT AND REMAIN ACROSS
THE REGION THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING. THIS WILL ALLOW FOR DRY
CONDITIONS ACROSS THE FA THROUGH THIS TIME. A WEAK DISTURBANCE
WILL WORK THROUGH THE AREA SATURDAY AFTERNOON INTO SATURDAY NIGHT.

WITH COOL NORTHERLY FLOW TEMPERATURES ON FRIDAY WILL BE BELOW
NORMAL WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE MIDDLE TO UPPER 70S.
TEMPERATURES WILL BE CLOSER TO NORMAL ON SATURDAY WITH SOUTHERLY
FLOW DEVELOPING ACROSS THE REGION.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
MID AND UPPER LEVEL FLOW WILL FLATTEN TO A ZONAL PATTERN SUNDAY THROUGH
SUNDAY NIGHT AS AN UPPER TROUGH AND WEAK SURFACE LOW OVER SOUTH
CENTRAL CANADA DIGS SOUTHEAST TOWARD THE GREAT LAKES. DISTURBANCES
EMBEDDED IN THIS ZONAL FLOW WILL BRING PERIODIC CHANCES FOR
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO OUR REGION SUNDAY THROUGH SUNDAY
NIGHT. NIGHTTIME TEMPERATURES DURING THIS TIME PERIOD WILL BE
MILD...WITH CLOUD COVER AND DEWPOINTS IN THE 60S EXPECTED TO BE
PRESENT.

BY MONDAY MODELS ARE INDICATING THE TROUGH AND SURFACE LOW OVER THE
GREAT LAKES WILL LIFT NORTHEASTWARD...WHICH WILL HELP TO DRAG A COLD
FRONT ACROSS OUR AREA. THIS WOULD RESULT IN UNSETTLED WEATHER ON
MONDAY INTO MONDAY EVENING...FOLLOWED BY A DRYING TREND MONDAY NIGHT
AND TUESDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
SFC COLD FRONT AND ASSOCIATED SCATTERED SHOWERS WILL DROP SOUTH
THRU THE SRN TAF SITES EARLY WITH PRECIPITATION COMING TO AN END.
A PERIOD OF MVFR CIGS WILL LINGER THRU THE AFTN BEFORE CLEARING
OUT BY EVENING. GUSTY NORTH WINDS WILL DIMINISH THIS EVENING. HAVE
FOG DEVELOPING AT KLUK AND KILN WITH VISIBILITY RESTRICTIONS
OVERNIGHT. FOG WILL IMPROVE QUICKLY WITH VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED
ON FRIDAY WITH ONLY CUMULUS CLOUDS EXPECTED.

OUTLOOK...ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

&&

.ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...NONE.
KY...NONE.
IN...NONE.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...HICKMAN/NOVAK
NEAR TERM...AR
SHORT TERM...NOVAK
LONG TERM...LATTO
AVIATION...AR