Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Bismarck, ND
Issued by NWS Bismarck, ND
313 FNUS73 KBIS 011127 FWSBIS Spot Forecast for Audubon 3 Mile Corner...NDGFD National Weather Service Bismarck ND 627 AM CDT Wed May 1 2024 Forecast is based on ignition time of 1200 CDT on May 01. If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather Service. .DISCUSSION... We will see a mostly sunny sky at the burn site through most of this morning, but there will be increasing clouds around the ignition time of 1200 PM CDT. We will see a mostly cloudy sky by mid to late afternoon. Expect only a minimal chance for a stray shower this afternoon (10 percent) and a high temperature around 58. Afternoon humidity will only fall to around 43 percent. West winds will be relatively light through the afternoon, generally ranging from 9 to 12 mph with some gusts up to 17 mph. Wind direction could become a bit erratic and variable at times given close proximity to the lake. Rain shower chances increase this evening and last into Thursday. We see rain chances max out around 50 percent overnight but the chance of wetting rains will only max out around 15 percent. Expect cooler temperatures tomorrow with a high around 54 and higher rain chances, up to 80 percent. .REST OF TODAY... Sky/weather.........Increasing clouds, becoming mostly cloudy. CWR.................0 percent. Chance of pcpn......10 percent. Max temperature.....Around 58. Min humidity........43 percent. Wind (20 ft)........West winds 9 to 12 mph. Mixing height.......5800 ft AGL. Transport winds.....West 9 to 17 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Fair (41500 knot-ft) early in the morning increasing to good (64200 knot-ft) in the afternoon. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. TIME (CDT) 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky (%).........30 39 65 78 85 83 Weather cov..... Weather type.... Tstm cov........ CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 10 Temp............51 52 54 55 55 55 RH..............59 54 48 45 43 45 20 FT wind dir..W W W W W SW 20 FT wind spd..12 12 12 12 10 9 20 FT wind gust.17 17 17 17 16 13 Mix hgt (kft)...3.7 4.1 4.8 4.9 5.8 5.2 Transp wind dir.W W W W W W Transp wind spd.17 15 14 13 13 9 Haines index....5 5 5 5 5 5 Dispr kt-ft/1K..55 54 58 54 64 42 .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain showers in the evening and overnight. CWR.................0 percent increasing to 15 percent. Chance of pcpn......50 percent. Min temperature.....Around 38. Max humidity........100 percent. Wind (20 ft)........West winds 6 to 7 mph shifting to the southeast 5 to 8 mph. Mixing height.......500 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Southwest 6 to 8 mph shifting to the east around 7 mph, then shifting to the southeast 6 to 10 mph in the late evening and overnight. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (3000 knot-ft). Haines Index........3 to 5 or very low to moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM Sky (%).........81 80 82 83 81 90 84 83 73 67 64 64 Weather cov..... SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC Weather type.... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW Tstm cov........ CWR.............0 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 20 20 Chc of pcpn (%).10 20 40 50 50 50 30 30 30 30 40 40 Temp............54 53 51 48 46 44 43 43 42 41 40 40 RH..............46 48 54 63 68 76 82 82 86 92 96 96 20 FT wind dir..W W S SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE 20 FT wind spd..7 6 5 5 6 6 7 8 8 7 6 5 20 FT wind gust.10 10 9 9 9 9 11 12 11 11 9 8 Mix hgt (kft)...3.5 2.9 1.3 0.5 1.4 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.9 0.9 0.6 0.6 Transp wind dir.W W SW E S SE SE SE SE SE SE S Transp wind spd.8 8 6 7 8 9 10 10 10 10 8 6 Haines index....5 5 5 4 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 Dispr kt-ft/1K..24 21 6 3 10 4 5 5 8 8 4 3 .THURSDAY... Sky/weather.........Partly sunny. Chance of rain showers early in the morning, then rain showers likely in the morning. Rain showers in the afternoon. CWR.................24 percent increasing to 69 percent in the afternoon. Chance of pcpn......80 percent. Max temperature.....Around 54. Min humidity........58 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Light west winds in the morning to 5 mph, shifting to the northwest around 6 mph early in the afternoon shifting to the north 6 to 7 mph shifting to the southwest 8 to 9 mph late in the afternoon. Mixing height.......4200 ft AGL. Transport winds.....West around 7 mph shifting to the north around 6 mph early in the morning, then shifting to the west 6 to 12 mph later in the morning. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (2800 knot-ft) early in the morning increasing to fair (42100 knot-ft) in the afternoon. Haines Index........3 to 5 or very low to moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. TIME (CDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM Sky (%).........70 58 66 68 Weather cov.....CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY DEFNTE Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR Tstm cov........ CWR.............20 20 20 70 Chc of pcpn (%).40 60 60 80 Temp............39 42 49 52 RH..............100 93 72 59 20 FT wind......W 5G8 W 5G8 NW 6G9 W 8G12 Mix hgt (ft)....600 1300 2700 4000 Transport wind..W 7 NW 7 W 12 W 10 Haines index....3 3 4 5 Dispr kt-ft/1K..3 8 27 37 $$ Forecaster...HARGROVE Requested by...Dan Halstead Type of request...PRESCRIBED .TAG 2412881.0/BIS .DELDT 05/01/24 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL dkhalstead@nd.gov