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000
FGUS63 KMSR 241719
ESGDEV

DEVILS LAKE BASIN
LONG-RANGE PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
NORTH CENTRAL RIVER FORECAST CENTER TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
1217 PM CDT WED APR 24 2024



IN TABLE 2 BELOW...THE 95 THROUGH 5 PERCENT COLUMNS INDICATE THE PROBABILITY
OF EXCEEDING THE LISTED STAGE LEVELS (FT) FOR THE VALID TIME PERIOD.

:...TABLE 2--EXCEEDANCE PROBABILITIES...

.B MSR 0422 Z DH12 /DC2404241717/DVD161/HGVFZXT/HGVFZX9/HGVFZXH
.B1 /HGVFZX5/HGVFZXG/HGVFZX1/HGVFZXF
:
:       Chance of Exceeding Stages (ft) at Specific Locations
:             Valid  Period: 04/22/2024 - 09/30/2024
:
:           95%     90%     75%     50%     25%     10%      5%
:           ---     ---     ---     ---     ---     ---     ---
:Devils Lake
DCBN8      49.5/   49.5/   49.5/   49.6/   49.7/   49.8/   50.0
:Eastern Stump Lake
ESLN8      49.5/   49.5/   49.5/   49.6/   49.7/   49.8/   50.0
.END


IN TABLE 3 BELOW...THE 95 THROUGH 5 PERCENT COLUMNS INDICATE THE PROBABILITY
OF FALLING BELOW THE LISTED STAGE LEVELS (FT) FOR THE VALID TIME PERIOD.

:...TABLE 3--NONEXCEEDANCE PROBABILITIES...

:NONEXCEEDANCE NOT ISSUED JAN -- MAY

.B MSR 0901 Z DH12 /DC2404241717/DVD90/HGVFZNT/HGVFZN9/HGVFZNH
.B1 /HGVFZN5/HGVFZNG/HGVFZN1/HGVFZNF
:
:       Chance of Falling Below Stages (ft) at Specific Locations
:               Valid  Period: 09/01/2024 - 11/30/2024
:
:           95%     90%     75%     50%     25%     10%      5%
:           ---     ---     ---     ---     ---     ---     ---
:Devils Lake
DCBN8      48.4/   48.1/   47.8/   47.5/   47.3/   47.1/   47.0
:Eastern Stump Lake
ESLN8      48.4/   48.1/   47.8/   47.5/   47.3/   47.1/   47.0
.END


:Long-range probabilistic outlooks are issued near the end of
:the month throughout the year.

$$