Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Goodland, KS
Issued by NWS Goodland, KS
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051 FXUS63 KGLD 290713 AFDGLD Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Goodland KS 113 AM MDT Mon Apr 29 2024 .KEY MESSAGES... - Patchy frost possible in northeast zones around sunrise Monday morning. - Active weather may return mid-week. && .SHORT TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/... Issued at 301 PM MDT Sun Apr 28 2024 The closed upper low that brought meaningful rainfall to portions of the area yesterday continues to lift to the northeast, into portions of central Nebraska. Visible satellite imagery shows the low centered over central and western Nebraska, and some clearing skies across eastern Colorado. The low is expected to continue to lift to the north/northeast overnight with clearing skies. There will be a brief period of a few hours Monday morning where some patchy frost may develop. Monday and Tuesday, weak ridging, followed by zonal flow brings warmer temperatures and sunny skies to the area. High temperatures Monday will be in the 70s. A few 80s cannot be ruled out on Tuesday. && .LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/... Issued at 113 AM MDT Mon Apr 29 2024 At the start of the long term period, the area is under southwesterly flow aloft as an upper level trough axis is crossing the Rockies. At the surface, a cold front will have recently moved through, placing temperatures slightly below normal, only into the middle-upper 50s to upper 60s. Light showers and a few rumbles of thunder may continue for parts of the area through the day (25-35% chance) and even on into the weekend (~20% chance) as weak disturbances move through the generally zonal flow. The area will undergo a warming trend beginning Friday, with temperatures climbing into the middle 60s to low-mid 70s, upper 60s to middle 70s Saturday, and middle 70s to low 80s Sunday. Overnight lows from 30s to near 40 Thursday night-Friday morning to 40s Friday night, then middle 40s to middle 50s through the remainder of the long term. && .AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z TUESDAY/... Issued at 1000 PM MDT Sun Apr 28 2024 KGLD...VFR conditions are expected through the period. A light southwest wind under 10kts at taf issuance will slowly veer to the west by 11z with speeds near 10kts. Winds continue to veer to the northwest Monday morning, gusting up to 20kts from late morning through early afternoon. Winds then back to the southwest by late afternoon at speeds under 10kts, continuing to back to the south then southeast at speeds under 10kts through the rest of the taf period. KMCK...VFR conditions are expected through the period. A light and variable wind at taf issuance will continue through 15z. From 16z through 00z, winds establish a westerly direction at speeds up to 10kts, backing to the southwest at similar speeds through the afternoon. Monday evening, winds continue to back to the southeast at speeds under 10kts. && .GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... KS...None. CO...None. NE...None. && $$ SHORT TERM...Wekesser LONG TERM...CC AVIATION...99