Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI

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FNUS53 KGRR 050815
FWFGRR

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI
415 AM EDT Sun May 5 2024

...Dry through early Tuesday...

.DISCUSSION...
High pressure will settle in over the area through Monday, before
moving east of the area by Tuesday. This will bring a decent amount
of sunny days and drier conditions. Winds will be a little gusty
today, before settling a bit on Monday.

MIZ037>039-043>045-052015-
Mason-Lake-Osceola-Oceana-Newaygo-Mecosta-
Including the cities of Ludington, Baldwin, Reed City, Hart,
Fremont, and Big Rapids
415 AM EDT Sun May 5 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
Max temperature.....56-61 near Lake Michigan and 65-70 Inland.
   24 hr trend......17 degrees cooler near Lake Michigan and 8
                    degrees cooler Inland.
Min humidity........47-52 percent near Lake Michigan and 32-37
                    percent Inland.
   24 hr trend......4 percent wetter near Lake Michigan and 8
                    percent drier Inland.
20-foot winds.......North winds 7 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2600-3100 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    4600-5100 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....North 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....560-580 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (0-10 percent).
Min temperature.....39-44.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........84-89 percent.
   24 hr trend......21 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 5 to 8 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......0-400 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and 1800-2300
                    ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 10 mph shifting to the east
                    overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....40-220 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
Max temperature.....69-74.
   24 hr trend......13 degrees warmer near Lake Michigan and 4
                    degrees warmer Inland.
Min humidity........39-44 percent near Lake Michigan and 29-34
                    percent Inland.
   24 hr trend......8 percent drier near Lake Michigan and 3
                    percent drier Inland.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......3800-4300 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    5800-6300 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....520-590 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ040-046-052015-
Clare-Isabella-
Including the cities of Clare and Mount Pleasant
415 AM EDT Sun May 5 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) until 11 AM, then
                    sunny (15-25 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 68.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........30-35 percent.
   24 hr trend......33 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......North winds 8 to 13 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4900-5400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....540-600 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (0-10 percent).
Min temperature.....37-42.
   24 hr trend......10 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........87-92 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......North winds around 7 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1900-2400 ft AGL decreasing to 0-400 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....North around 10 mph shifting to the east
                    overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....30-260 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 70.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........30-35 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......5500-6000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....430-500 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ050-056-064-071-052015-
Muskegon-Ottawa-Allegan-Van Buren-
Including the cities of Muskegon, Grand Haven, Jenison, Holland,
and South Haven
415 AM EDT Sun May 5 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) until 11 AM, then
                    mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
Max temperature.....66-71.
   24 hr trend......9 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........37-42 percent.
   24 hr trend......5 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......North winds 7 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3400-3900 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    4300-4800 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....North 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....520 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent).
Min temperature.....44-49.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........84-89 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......North winds around 6 mph shifting to the east
                    around 7 mph overnight.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......900-1400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North around 10 mph shifting to the east
                    overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....50-130 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Max temperature.....70-75.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........34-39 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......East winds 8 to 13 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......5200-5700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....650-780 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ051-052-057>059-052015-
Montcalm-Gratiot-Kent-Ionia-Clinton-
Including the cities of Greenville, Alma, Grand Rapids, Ionia,
and St. Johns
415 AM EDT Sun May 5 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) until 2 PM, then
                    sunny (15-25 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 70.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........30-35 percent.
   24 hr trend......30 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......North winds 7 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......5100-5600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....500-540 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
Min temperature.....42-47.
   24 hr trend......10 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........84-89 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......North winds around 7 mph shifting to the east
                    around 6 mph overnight.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2000-2500 ft AGL decreasing to 0-500 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....North around 10 mph shifting to the east
                    overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....50-90 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 72.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........26-31 percent.
   24 hr trend......4 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......East winds 7 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......5100-5600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....560-650 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ065>067-072>074-052015-
Barry-Eaton-Ingham-Kalamazoo-Calhoun-Jackson-
Including the cities of Hastings, Charlotte, Lansing, Kalamazoo,
Battle Creek, and Jackson
415 AM EDT Sun May 5 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent) until 5 PM, then
                    mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 71.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........39-44 percent.
   24 hr trend......20 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......4600-5100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....400-480 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 47.
   24 hr trend......10 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........84-89 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......North winds around 5 mph shifting to the east
                    around 6 mph overnight.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......1000-1500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 10 mph shifting to the east
                    overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....50-90 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 72.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Min humidity........31-36 percent.
   24 hr trend......8 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......East winds 8 to 13 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4800-5300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....590-670 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. East winds 5 to
10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Chance of rain until midday, then showers
and a chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. Highs in the lower
70s. Southeast winds 9 to 14 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms in the evening. Lows in the lower 50s. Southwest winds
10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Chance of showers in the afternoon. Highs
in the lower 70s. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with showers likely. Lows in the
lower 50s. East winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Cooler. Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 60s. Northeast winds 13 to 18 mph
shifting to the north 14 to 19 mph in the afternoon.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the mid 40s.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the lower
60s.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s.

$$