Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN
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686 FXUS64 KMEG 010755 AFDMEG Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Memphis TN 255 AM CDT Wed May 1 2024 ...New SYNOPSIS, DISCUSSION... .SYNOPSIS... Issued at 250 AM CDT Wed May 1 2024 Dry conditions with above normal temperatures will persist through Thursday morning as high pressure remains in place. Showers and thunderstorms will return to the Mid-South by Thursday afternoon and continue through the weekend as a stalled front remains over the region. Unsettled weather is expected to continue for Monday and Tuesday. && .DISCUSSION... (Today through Tuesday) Issued at 250 AM CDT Wed May 1 2024 Skies are mostly clear across the Mid-South early this morning with temperatures in the upper 50s to mid 60s. High pressure is centered over the Alabama/Georgia border at this time. With high pressure remaining to the east of the region, dry weather will continue for today and tonight. Temperatures will remain above normal today with highs in the mid to upper 80s. Another warm night is expected with lows Thursday morning in the low to mid 60s. A cold front will push into the central and southern Plains on Thursday. Showers and thunderstorms are expected to form ahead of the front with some of the activity expected to move into western sections of the Mid-South. Temperatures will remain quite warm for early May with highs in the mid to upper 80s. As the cold front inches reaches central Arkansas by Friday morning, showers and thunderstorms will become more widespread across the Mid-South for Thursday night. This cold front will move into the region on Friday and not exit the Mid-South until Saturday evening. This will mean more showers and thunderstorms are expected during this period. With additional clouds and rain, temperatures will be a little cooler for much of the weekend. A second cold front will move into the region on Sunday with scattered showers and thunderstorms expected for Saturday night and Sunday. By Monday, the frontal boundaries will have fallen apart. Unsettled weather is expected for Monday and Tuesday as weak upper level disturbances move through the region which could produce some additional showers and thunderstorms. Temperatures will return back to above normal levels for both days. && .AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 1037 PM CDT Tue Apr 30 2024 Mostly VFR conditions for the upcoming 24-30 hr TAF cycle. Patchy fog is possible near TUP late tonight. Winds less than 6kts generally from the south tonight and tomorrow, shifting more southeasterly tomorrow night. && .MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... AR...None. MO...None. MS...None. TN...None. && $$ PUBLIC FORECAST...ARS AVIATION...JDS