105
FXUS62 KMFL 290532
AFDMFL

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Miami FL
132 AM EDT Mon Apr 29 2024

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(Rest of today through Monday)
Issued at 1218 PM EDT Sun Apr 28 2024

The influence of high pressure remains over South Florida as we
enter the work week with surface high pressure remaining situated in
the Western Atlantic. This surface high will slowly weaken as low
pressure over the central United States dissolves and the
combination of that with a weakening surface high will allow windy
conditions to slowly subside. Conditions will remain gusty
today into tonight and breezy into Monday as well.

Other than that, mostly dry weather will continue with isolated
Atlantic showers that could overspread the peninsula during peak
heating with assistance from sea breezes that could develop in the
afternoons. Temperatures will be mostly in the low to mid 80s on
Monday, though portions of Southwest Florida could see temperatures
rise into the upper 80s.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Monday night through next Saturday)
Issued at 203 PM EDT Sun Apr 28 2024

Long term begins with mid level ridging over the eastern seaboard
gradually migrating into the western Atlantic, while persisting sfc
high pressure keeping a relatively stable air mass over Soflo
through at least the middle of the work week. As the mid level ridge
moves further away from the region, pressure gradients across the
area will relax and allow for the breezy periods to subside.
Meanwhile, low-lvl winds across SoFlo gradually veer SE by this
time, allowing for a very modest moisture advection to briefly raise
chances of rain into the teens to low 20s, mainly over the east
coast and interior areas. But showers in general will remain very
limited through the long term as relatively dry/stable air stays in
place.

Afternoon high temperatures through Wednesday are expected to reach
the low-mid 80s near the coasts, and upper 80s to around 90 inland.
Then by the end of the work week, the mid level ridge strengthens
and drives high temperatures into the upper 80s near the coasts and
low 90s inland.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 129 AM EDT Mon Apr 29 2024

Mainly VFR conditions will prevail throughout the forecast period.
A gusty easterly wind flow will continue during the overnight
hours and through the day on Monday. Isolated shower activity is
possible across the east coast terminals mainly through Monday
morning. These showers could produce brief periods of MVFR as they
pass through. At KAPF, easterly winds overnight into Monday
morning may become more southerly in the afternoon as a Gulf
breeze tries to develop.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 1218 PM EDT Sun Apr 28 2024

Hazardous marine conditions will begin to subside this evening into
Monday. Calmer conditions should return by the middle of this
week.

&&

.BEACHES...
Issued at 1218 PM EDT Sun Apr 28 2024

A high risk for rip currents continues along the Atlantic coast as
gusty onshore winds remain in place on Sunday and into Monday. These
gusty winds will continue to assist in the potential formation of
larger waves in the surf zone up to 7-8 ft, but this risk should
lessen by Sunday evening.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Miami            82  72  83  73 /  20  20  40  20
West Kendall     83  71  84  69 /  20  20  40  20
Opa-Locka        83  72  83  71 /  20  20  40  20
Homestead        81  71  82  71 /  20  20  40  20
Fort Lauderdale  81  73  82  72 /  20  20  40  20
N Ft Lauderdale  81  72  82  71 /  20  20  40  20
Pembroke Pines   82  72  83  71 /  20  20  40  20
West Palm Beach  81  69  82  69 /  20  20  40  20
Boca Raton       80  72  81  71 /  20  20  40  20
Naples           85  68  85  70 /  10  10  30  10

&&

.MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...High Rip Current Risk through Tuesday evening for FLZ168-172-173.

AM...Small Craft Advisory until 8 AM EDT this morning for AMZ630.

     Small Craft Advisory until 11 AM EDT this morning for AMZ650-651-
     670-671.

GM...Small Craft Advisory until 8 AM EDT this morning for GMZ656-657-
     676.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...RAG
LONG TERM....AR
AVIATION...CWC